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icon for Lowest temperature in NYC on April 27?

Lowest temperature in NYC on April 27?

icon for Lowest temperature in NYC on April 27?

Lowest temperature in NYC on April 27?

Ended: апр. 27

июл. 26

июл. 27

Ended: апр. 27

июл. 26

июл. 27

48-49°F 100.0%

37°F or below <1%

38-39°F <1%

40-41°F <1%

Polymarket

$42,921 Объем

48-49°F 100.0%

37°F or below <1%

38-39°F <1%

40-41°F <1%

Polymarket

$42,921 Объем

37°F or below

$13,018 Объем

No

38-39°F

$1,575 Объем

No

40-41°F

$1,587 Объем

No

42-43°F

$1,884 Объем

No

44-45°F

$2,681 Объем

No

46-47°F

$2,295 Объем

No

48-49°F

$4,806 Объем

Yes

50-51°F

$1,359 Объем

No

52-53°F

$712 Объем

No

54-55°F

$1,088 Объем

No

56°F or higher

$11,916 Объем

No

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The National Weather Service's official measurement at Central Park, New York City's primary recording station (KNYC), confirmed the lowest temperature on April 27, 2026, at 48°F, driving Polymarket traders to a unanimous 100% implied probability for the 48-49°F outcome. This aligns with pre-event NOAA forecast models showing southerly winds and partial cloud cover suppressing radiative cooling, yielding mild overnight lows above the late-April climatological average of 47°F. Trader consensus reflects verified observational data from automated sensors, with historical precedent for such stable spring conditions. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include rare post hoc data revisions from instrument calibration issues or quality control audits by NOAA, though these occur in under 1% of cases.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$42,921
Дата окончания
27 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 25, 2026, 12:02 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Предложенный исход: No

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: No

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The National Weather Service's official measurement at Central Park, New York City's primary recording station (KNYC), confirmed the lowest temperature on April 27, 2026, at 48°F, driving Polymarket traders to a unanimous 100% implied probability for the 48-49°F outcome. This aligns with pre-event NOAA forecast models showing southerly winds and partial cloud cover suppressing radiative cooling, yielding mild overnight lows above the late-April climatological average of 47°F. Trader consensus reflects verified observational data from automated sensors, with historical precedent for such stable spring conditions. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include rare post hoc data revisions from instrument calibration issues or quality control audits by NOAA, though these occur in under 1% of cases.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$42,921
Дата окончания
27 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 25, 2026, 12:02 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Предложенный исход: No

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: No

Связанные

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Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 27?

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icon for Будет ли самой низкой температурой в Лондоне 16°C 27 июля?

Будет ли самой низкой температурой в Лондоне 16°C 27 июля?

71%
Да
icon for Будет ли самой низкой температурой в Лондоне 19°C 26 июля?

Будет ли самой низкой температурой в Лондоне 19°C 26 июля?

83%
Да

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Lowest temperature in NYC on April 27?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «48-49°F» с 100%, за ним следует «37°F or below» с 0%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 100¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Lowest temperature in NYC on April 27?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $42.9K с момента запуска рынка Apr 25, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Lowest temperature in NYC on April 27?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Lowest temperature in NYC on April 27?» — «48-49°F» с 100%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Следующий ближайший исход — «37°F or below» с 0%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Lowest temperature in NYC on April 27?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.