Recent ensemble forecasts from major models show overnight lows in Paris on August 30 clustering around 16–17°C, driven by persistent cloud cover limiting radiative cooling and moderate southwesterly flow advecting milder maritime air. This pattern follows several days of showers that have maintained elevated dew points and reduced diurnal temperature ranges. Historical August 30 averages near 13°C, yet the current setup favors values several degrees above normal. Model spread in cloud thickness and wind speed creates the tight clustering between 16°C and 18°C outcomes, with updates from the next ECMWF and GFS runs likely to refine resolution probabilities ahead of the date.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Париже 30 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Париже 30 августа?
18°C 37%
16°C 36%
15°C 32%
17°C 31%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 авг. 2026 г.
12°C или ниже
9%
13°C
9%
14°C
15%
15°C
32%
16°C
36%
17°C
40%
18°C
37%
19°C
17%
20°C
16%
21°C
2%
22°C или выше
9%
18°C 37%
16°C 36%
15°C 32%
17°C 31%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 авг. 2026 г.
12°C или ниже
$5 Объем
9%
13°C
$0 Объем
9%
14°C
$0 Объем
15%
15°C
$0 Объем
32%
16°C
$0 Объем
36%
17°C
$36 Объем
40%
18°C
$0 Объем
37%
19°C
$0 Объем
17%
20°C
$0 Объем
16%
21°C
$5 Объем
2%
22°C или выше
$5 Объем
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major models show overnight lows in Paris on August 30 clustering around 16–17°C, driven by persistent cloud cover limiting radiative cooling and moderate southwesterly flow advecting milder maritime air. This pattern follows several days of showers that have maintained elevated dew points and reduced diurnal temperature ranges. Historical August 30 averages near 13°C, yet the current setup favors values several degrees above normal. Model spread in cloud thickness and wind speed creates the tight clustering between 16°C and 18°C outcomes, with updates from the next ECMWF and GFS runs likely to refine resolution probabilities ahead of the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Объем
$51Дата окончания
30 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major models show overnight lows in Paris on August 30 clustering around 16–17°C, driven by persistent cloud cover limiting radiative cooling and moderate southwesterly flow advecting milder maritime air. This pattern follows several days of showers that have maintained elevated dew points and reduced diurnal temperature ranges. Historical August 30 averages near 13°C, yet the current setup favors values several degrees above normal. Model spread in cloud thickness and wind speed creates the tight clustering between 16°C and 18°C outcomes, with updates from the next ECMWF and GFS runs likely to refine resolution probabilities ahead of the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$51Дата окончания
30 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from major models show overnight lows in Paris on August 30 clustering around 16–17°C, driven by persistent cloud cover limiting radiative cooling and moderate southwesterly flow advecting milder maritime air. This pattern follows several days of showers that have maintained elevated dew points and reduced diurnal temperature ranges. Historical August 30 averages near 13°C, yet the current setup favors values several degrees above normal. Model spread in cloud thickness and wind speed creates the tight clustering between 16°C and 18°C outcomes, with updates from the next ECMWF and GFS runs likely to refine resolution probabilities ahead of the date.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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