Persistent heat across northern France has elevated overnight minimums in Paris well above July climatology, with recent Météo-France guidance and ensemble models showing 20–23 °C lows through mid-month under warm advection and limited nocturnal cooling. The tight spread between 22 °C and 23 °C outcomes reflects model uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing, residual cloud cover, and any weak Atlantic front timing that could shave a degree or two. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to these central bins because current high-pressure dominance and above-average soil moisture favor sustained warmth, while tail risks of 21 °C or below hinge on faster cooling signals that have yet to materialize in the latest runs.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Париже 15 июля?
Самая низкая температура в Париже 15 июля?
22°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$12,052 Объем
$12,052 Объем
15 июл. 2026 г.
21°C or below
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$12,052 Объем
$12,052 Объем
15 июл. 2026 г.
21°C or below
$2,282 Объем
No
22°C
$3,956 Объем
Yes
23°C
$1,642 Объем
No
24°C
$866 Объем
No
25°C
$799 Объем
No
26°C
$512 Объем
No
27°C
$506 Объем
No
28°C
$395 Объем
No
29°C
$334 Объем
No
30°C
$334 Объем
No
31°C or higher
$427 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent heat across northern France has elevated overnight minimums in Paris well above July climatology, with recent Météo-France guidance and ensemble models showing 20–23 °C lows through mid-month under warm advection and limited nocturnal cooling. The tight spread between 22 °C and 23 °C outcomes reflects model uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing, residual cloud cover, and any weak Atlantic front timing that could shave a degree or two. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to these central bins because current high-pressure dominance and above-average soil moisture favor sustained warmth, while tail risks of 21 °C or below hinge on faster cooling signals that have yet to materialize in the latest runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jul 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$12,052Дата окончания
15 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent heat across northern France has elevated overnight minimums in Paris well above July climatology, with recent Météo-France guidance and ensemble models showing 20–23 °C lows through mid-month under warm advection and limited nocturnal cooling. The tight spread between 22 °C and 23 °C outcomes reflects model uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing, residual cloud cover, and any weak Atlantic front timing that could shave a degree or two. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to these central bins because current high-pressure dominance and above-average soil moisture favor sustained warmth, while tail risks of 21 °C or below hinge on faster cooling signals that have yet to materialize in the latest runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$12,052Дата окончания
15 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Persistent heat across northern France has elevated overnight minimums in Paris well above July climatology, with recent Météo-France guidance and ensemble models showing 20–23 °C lows through mid-month under warm advection and limited nocturnal cooling. The tight spread between 22 °C and 23 °C outcomes reflects model uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing, residual cloud cover, and any weak Atlantic front timing that could shave a degree or two. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to these central bins because current high-pressure dominance and above-average soil moisture favor sustained warmth, while tail risks of 21 °C or below hinge on faster cooling signals that have yet to materialize in the latest runs.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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