Recent Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble forecasts indicate Paris minimum temperatures on July 22 will likely fall between 13–15°C under predominantly clear, high-pressure conditions favoring strong nighttime radiative cooling. Light northerly winds and low humidity limit mixing, while the urban heat island effect at the reference station moderates extremes compared with rural surroundings. Model spread arises mainly from small differences in predicted cloud cover and boundary-layer winds, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 13°C (44.5%), 14°C (37.5%), and 15°C (35.5%). Updated guidance expected tomorrow will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Париже 22 июля?
Самая низкая температура в Париже 22 июля?
14°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$19,489 Объем
$19,489 Объем
22 июл. 2026 г.
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C or higher
No
14°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$19,489 Объем
$19,489 Объем
22 июл. 2026 г.
10°C or below
$478 Объем
No
11°C
$486 Объем
No
12°C
$1,298 Объем
No
13°C
$2,183 Объем
No
14°C
$5,725 Объем
Yes
15°C
$3,990 Объем
No
16°C
$3,109 Объем
No
17°C
$910 Объем
No
18°C
$537 Объем
No
19°C
$278 Объем
No
20°C or higher
$496 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble forecasts indicate Paris minimum temperatures on July 22 will likely fall between 13–15°C under predominantly clear, high-pressure conditions favoring strong nighttime radiative cooling. Light northerly winds and low humidity limit mixing, while the urban heat island effect at the reference station moderates extremes compared with rural surroundings. Model spread arises mainly from small differences in predicted cloud cover and boundary-layer winds, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 13°C (44.5%), 14°C (37.5%), and 15°C (35.5%). Updated guidance expected tomorrow will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jul 20, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$19,489Дата окончания
22 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 20, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble forecasts indicate Paris minimum temperatures on July 22 will likely fall between 13–15°C under predominantly clear, high-pressure conditions favoring strong nighttime radiative cooling. Light northerly winds and low humidity limit mixing, while the urban heat island effect at the reference station moderates extremes compared with rural surroundings. Model spread arises mainly from small differences in predicted cloud cover and boundary-layer winds, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 13°C (44.5%), 14°C (37.5%), and 15°C (35.5%). Updated guidance expected tomorrow will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$19,489Дата окончания
22 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 20, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Recent Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble forecasts indicate Paris minimum temperatures on July 22 will likely fall between 13–15°C under predominantly clear, high-pressure conditions favoring strong nighttime radiative cooling. Light northerly winds and low humidity limit mixing, while the urban heat island effect at the reference station moderates extremes compared with rural surroundings. Model spread arises mainly from small differences in predicted cloud cover and boundary-layer winds, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 13°C (44.5%), 14°C (37.5%), and 15°C (35.5%). Updated guidance expected tomorrow will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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