Recent forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models indicate a heatwave peaking June 18 with daytime maxima near 36–37°C under clear skies and light winds, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures around 19–20°C in central Paris. Trader consensus favoring 17°C (48.5%) over 18°C (40.0%) likely stems from minor downward revisions in overnight guidance, urban heat-island effects at official stations, or slight variations in boundary-layer moisture. With probabilities tightly clustered, small forecast shifts in wind speed or cloud cover could easily tip the recorded low between these two thresholds before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Париже 18 июня?
17°C 100.0%
13°C или ниже <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$24,737 Объем
$24,737 Объем
13°C или ниже
Нет
14°C
Нет
15°C
Нет
16°C
Нет
17°C
Да
18°C
Нет
19°C
Нет
20°C
Нет
21°C
Нет
22°C
Нет
23°C или выше
Нет
17°C 100.0%
13°C или ниже <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$24,737 Объем
$24,737 Объем
13°C или ниже
Нет
14°C
Нет
15°C
Нет
16°C
Нет
17°C
Да
18°C
Нет
19°C
Нет
20°C
Нет
21°C
Нет
22°C
Нет
23°C или выше
Нет
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jun 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
Recent forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models indicate a heatwave peaking June 18 with daytime maxima near 36–37°C under clear skies and light winds, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures around 19–20°C in central Paris. Trader consensus favoring 17°C (48.5%) over 18°C (40.0%) likely stems from minor downward revisions in overnight guidance, urban heat-island effects at official stations, or slight variations in boundary-layer moisture. With probabilities tightly clustered, small forecast shifts in wind speed or cloud cover could easily tip the recorded low between these two thresholds before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено

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