Maryland's 2026 gubernatorial general election features incumbent Democrat Wes Moore facing Republican Dan Cox following low-turnout June primaries. The race remains noncompetitive based on available polling, which limits base mobilization and enthusiasm-driven participation compared to closer contests. Key variables shaping total ballots include expansion of early and mail voting, demographic shifts in suburban and urban areas, and any spillover from national midterm dynamics or state-specific issues like the economy and public services. Historical turnout patterns in off-year elections with favored incumbents point to moderate participation levels, sustaining tight probabilities across the 1.55M–2.45M+ ranges as traders weigh these offsetting influences without a single dominant catalyst yet emerging.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено1,7M-1,85M 44%
<1,55 млн 43%
2,45 млн+ 42%
1,85–2 млн 42%
<1,55 млн
43%
1,55М–1,7М
41%
1,7M-1,85M
44%
1,85–2 млн
42%
2–2,15 млн
42%
2,15М–2,3М
42%
2,3M–2,45M
42%
2,45 млн+
42%
1,7M-1,85M 44%
<1,55 млн 43%
2,45 млн+ 42%
1,85–2 млн 42%
<1,55 млн
43%
1,55М–1,7М
41%
1,7M-1,85M
44%
1,85–2 млн
42%
2–2,15 млн
42%
2,15М–2,3М
42%
2,3M–2,45M
42%
2,45 млн+
42%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Maryland, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Aug 18, 2026, 10:14 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Maryland, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Maryland's 2026 gubernatorial general election features incumbent Democrat Wes Moore facing Republican Dan Cox following low-turnout June primaries. The race remains noncompetitive based on available polling, which limits base mobilization and enthusiasm-driven participation compared to closer contests. Key variables shaping total ballots include expansion of early and mail voting, demographic shifts in suburban and urban areas, and any spillover from national midterm dynamics or state-specific issues like the economy and public services. Historical turnout patterns in off-year elections with favored incumbents point to moderate participation levels, sustaining tight probabilities across the 1.55M–2.45M+ ranges as traders weigh these offsetting influences without a single dominant catalyst yet emerging.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСвязанные
Будет ли общее количество голосов, поданных на промежуточных выборах 2026 года за губернатора Пенсильвании, 6 500 000 или больше?
Будет ли общее количество поданных голосов на промежуточных выборах губернатора Коннектикута в 2026 году в диапазоне от 1 000 000 до 1 100 000?
Будет ли общее количество поданных голосов на промежуточных выборах 2026 года за губернатора Нью-Йорка находиться в диапазоне от 4 500 000 до 5 000 000?
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