Microsoft’s current market capitalization near $3.68 trillion reflects balanced trader sentiment across 2026 year-end brackets, driven by robust Intelligent Cloud growth offset by elevated AI infrastructure spending. Azure revenue expanded over 40% year-over-year in recent quarters amid strong demand, while Microsoft Cloud revenue rose 27% or more, supporting margins despite heavy capital expenditures. July 2026 earnings triggered a record single-day market-cap gain exceeding $450 billion after upbeat forecasts, yet analyst price targets around $560 and risks from regulatory scrutiny plus competitive cloud pressures keep implied probabilities evenly distributed near 50% per range. Upcoming quarterly results and macroeconomic releases remain key catalysts that could shift the market-implied path.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено< $2,50 трлн 0
2,50–3,00 триллиона долларов 0
3,00–3,50 трлн долл. 0
$3,50-$4,00 трлн 0
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 дек. 2026 г.
< $2,50 трлн
-
2,50–3,00 триллиона долларов
-
3,00–3,50 трлн долл.
-
$3,50-$4,00 трлн
-
$4,00–$4,50 трлн
-
$4,50–$5,00 трлн
-
$5,00 трлн+
-
< $2,50 трлн 0
2,50–3,00 триллиона долларов 0
3,00–3,50 трлн долл. 0
$3,50-$4,00 трлн 0
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 дек. 2026 г.
< $2,50 трлн
$0 Объем
-
2,50–3,00 триллиона долларов
$0 Объем
-
3,00–3,50 трлн долл.
$0 Объем
-
$3,50-$4,00 трлн
$0 Объем
-
$4,00–$4,50 трлн
$0 Объем
-
$4,50–$5,00 трлн
$0 Объем
-
$5,00 трлн+
$0 Объем
-
This market will resolve according to Microsoft's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.Microsoft’s current market capitalization near $3.68 trillion reflects balanced trader sentiment across 2026 year-end brackets, driven by robust Intelligent Cloud growth offset by elevated AI infrastructure spending. Azure revenue expanded over 40% year-over-year in recent quarters amid strong demand, while Microsoft Cloud revenue rose 27% or more, supporting margins despite heavy capital expenditures. July 2026 earnings triggered a record single-day market-cap gain exceeding $450 billion after upbeat forecasts, yet analyst price targets around $560 and risks from regulatory scrutiny plus competitive cloud pressures keep implied probabilities evenly distributed near 50% per range. Upcoming quarterly results and macroeconomic releases remain key catalysts that could shift the market-implied path.
This market will resolve according to Microsoft's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Открытие рынка: Aug 5, 2026, 7:49 AM ET
Объем
$0Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 5, 2026, 7:49 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Microsoft's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.Microsoft’s current market capitalization near $3.68 trillion reflects balanced trader sentiment across 2026 year-end brackets, driven by robust Intelligent Cloud growth offset by elevated AI infrastructure spending. Azure revenue expanded over 40% year-over-year in recent quarters amid strong demand, while Microsoft Cloud revenue rose 27% or more, supporting margins despite heavy capital expenditures. July 2026 earnings triggered a record single-day market-cap gain exceeding $450 billion after upbeat forecasts, yet analyst price targets around $560 and risks from regulatory scrutiny plus competitive cloud pressures keep implied probabilities evenly distributed near 50% per range. Upcoming quarterly results and macroeconomic releases remain key catalysts that could shift the market-implied path.
This market will resolve according to Microsoft's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Объем
$0Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 5, 2026, 7:49 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Microsoft’s current market capitalization near $3.68 trillion reflects balanced trader sentiment across 2026 year-end brackets, driven by robust Intelligent Cloud growth offset by elevated AI infrastructure spending. Azure revenue expanded over 40% year-over-year in recent quarters amid strong demand, while Microsoft Cloud revenue rose 27% or more, supporting margins despite heavy capital expenditures. July 2026 earnings triggered a record single-day market-cap gain exceeding $450 billion after upbeat forecasts, yet analyst price targets around $560 and risks from regulatory scrutiny plus competitive cloud pressures keep implied probabilities evenly distributed near 50% per range. Upcoming quarterly results and macroeconomic releases remain key catalysts that could shift the market-implied path.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСвязанные
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