Mojtaba Khamenei was selected by Iran's Assembly of Experts as supreme leader on March 9, 2026, days after his father Ali Khamenei's assassination in late February during U.S.-Israeli strikes that opened a broader regional conflict. He has issued written statements through state media vowing continuity in hardline foreign policy, including threats against U.S. bases and closure of the Strait of Hormuz, while maintaining a low public profile with no verified video appearances or images since taking office. Reports of possible injury during the strikes and internal power consolidation favoring IRGC networks have shaped discussions around regime stability. No confirmed diplomatic travel, exile, or departure from Iranian territory has occurred, and scheduled events such as further military responses or leadership statements could influence assessments of his location and role through mid-2026.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$1,864,152 Объем
30 июн. 2026 г.
30 июня
2%
$1,864,152 Объем
30 июня
$453,920 Объем
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Mojtaba Khamenei was selected by Iran's Assembly of Experts as supreme leader on March 9, 2026, days after his father Ali Khamenei's assassination in late February during U.S.-Israeli strikes that opened a broader regional conflict. He has issued written statements through state media vowing continuity in hardline foreign policy, including threats against U.S. bases and closure of the Strait of Hormuz, while maintaining a low public profile with no verified video appearances or images since taking office. Reports of possible injury during the strikes and internal power consolidation favoring IRGC networks have shaped discussions around regime stability. No confirmed diplomatic travel, exile, or departure from Iranian territory has occurred, and scheduled events such as further military responses or leadership statements could influence assessments of his location and role through mid-2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Mar 24, 2026, 4:25 PM ET
Объем
$1,864,152Дата окончания
30 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 24, 2026, 4:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Mojtaba Khamenei was selected by Iran's Assembly of Experts as supreme leader on March 9, 2026, days after his father Ali Khamenei's assassination in late February during U.S.-Israeli strikes that opened a broader regional conflict. He has issued written statements through state media vowing continuity in hardline foreign policy, including threats against U.S. bases and closure of the Strait of Hormuz, while maintaining a low public profile with no verified video appearances or images since taking office. Reports of possible injury during the strikes and internal power consolidation favoring IRGC networks have shaped discussions around regime stability. No confirmed diplomatic travel, exile, or departure from Iranian territory has occurred, and scheduled events such as further military responses or leadership statements could influence assessments of his location and role through mid-2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$1,864,152Дата окончания
30 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 24, 2026, 4:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Mojtaba Khamenei was selected by Iran's Assembly of Experts as supreme leader on March 9, 2026, days after his father Ali Khamenei's assassination in late February during U.S.-Israeli strikes that opened a broader regional conflict. He has issued written statements through state media vowing continuity in hardline foreign policy, including threats against U.S. bases and closure of the Strait of Hormuz, while maintaining a low public profile with no verified video appearances or images since taking office. Reports of possible injury during the strikes and internal power consolidation favoring IRGC networks have shaped discussions around regime stability. No confirmed diplomatic travel, exile, or departure from Iranian territory has occurred, and scheduled events such as further military responses or leadership statements could influence assessments of his location and role through mid-2026.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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