Mojtaba Khamenei assumed Iran’s supreme leadership in March 2026 after his father Ali Khamenei’s assassination in U.S.-Israeli strikes that also wounded the successor. He has issued statements through state media but made no verified public appearances since appointment, with reports placing him under medical care in Qom or secure domestic sites amid the ongoing conflict and protests. Trader consensus reflects his continued direction of regime policy from inside Iran, including military posture and succession consolidation, with no credible confirmation of travel abroad despite speculation about injury-related evacuation or contingency plans. Ceasefire negotiations, IRGC operations, and regime stability through mid-2026 remain the main variables that could prompt any departure.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$1,958,031 Объем
30 июня
1%
$1,958,031 Объем
30 июня
1%
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Mar 24, 2026, 4:25 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Mojtaba Khamenei assumed Iran’s supreme leadership in March 2026 after his father Ali Khamenei’s assassination in U.S.-Israeli strikes that also wounded the successor. He has issued statements through state media but made no verified public appearances since appointment, with reports placing him under medical care in Qom or secure domestic sites amid the ongoing conflict and protests. Trader consensus reflects his continued direction of regime policy from inside Iran, including military posture and succession consolidation, with no credible confirmation of travel abroad despite speculation about injury-related evacuation or contingency plans. Ceasefire negotiations, IRGC operations, and regime stability through mid-2026 remain the main variables that could prompt any departure.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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