Mojtaba Khamenei was selected as Iran's Supreme Leader in March 2026 by the Assembly of Experts following U.S.-Israeli strikes that killed his father, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. He has maintained a minimal public profile since appointment, issuing statements via state media without in-person appearances or verified video, amid reports of injuries sustained in the strikes and intelligence assessments placing him in an undisclosed secure location. Iranian officials have denied rumors of medical evacuation abroad or incapacity, while emphasizing his continued role in directing policy. Ongoing regional hostilities, targeted threats against leadership, and questions over succession stability amid the Assembly of Experts process remain central factors in trader assessments of any potential departure timeline.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$1,823,785 Объем
30 июн. 2026 г.
30 июня
2%
$1,823,785 Объем
30 июня
$413,554 Объем
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Mojtaba Khamenei was selected as Iran's Supreme Leader in March 2026 by the Assembly of Experts following U.S.-Israeli strikes that killed his father, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. He has maintained a minimal public profile since appointment, issuing statements via state media without in-person appearances or verified video, amid reports of injuries sustained in the strikes and intelligence assessments placing him in an undisclosed secure location. Iranian officials have denied rumors of medical evacuation abroad or incapacity, while emphasizing his continued role in directing policy. Ongoing regional hostilities, targeted threats against leadership, and questions over succession stability amid the Assembly of Experts process remain central factors in trader assessments of any potential departure timeline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Mar 24, 2026, 4:25 PM ET
Объем
$1,823,785Дата окончания
30 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 24, 2026, 4:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Mojtaba Khamenei was selected as Iran's Supreme Leader in March 2026 by the Assembly of Experts following U.S.-Israeli strikes that killed his father, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. He has maintained a minimal public profile since appointment, issuing statements via state media without in-person appearances or verified video, amid reports of injuries sustained in the strikes and intelligence assessments placing him in an undisclosed secure location. Iranian officials have denied rumors of medical evacuation abroad or incapacity, while emphasizing his continued role in directing policy. Ongoing regional hostilities, targeted threats against leadership, and questions over succession stability amid the Assembly of Experts process remain central factors in trader assessments of any potential departure timeline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$1,823,785Дата окончания
30 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 24, 2026, 4:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Mojtaba Khamenei was selected as Iran's Supreme Leader in March 2026 by the Assembly of Experts following U.S.-Israeli strikes that killed his father, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. He has maintained a minimal public profile since appointment, issuing statements via state media without in-person appearances or verified video, amid reports of injuries sustained in the strikes and intelligence assessments placing him in an undisclosed secure location. Iranian officials have denied rumors of medical evacuation abroad or incapacity, while emphasizing his continued role in directing policy. Ongoing regional hostilities, targeted threats against leadership, and questions over succession stability amid the Assembly of Experts process remain central factors in trader assessments of any potential departure timeline.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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