Mojtaba Khamenei assumed Iran’s supreme leadership in March 2026 after the Assembly of Experts selected him to succeed his father, Ali Khamenei, who was killed during U.S.-Israeli strikes in late February. As the sitting supreme leader, he directs policy through clerical and IRGC networks from Tehran despite limited public visibility and April reports of medical treatment in Qom following his own injuries in the conflict. Ongoing ceasefire monitoring, reconstruction priorities, and external diplomatic pressures create structural incentives for continuity in Iran. Health updates, internal elite dynamics, or renewed military escalation remain the primary variables that could influence any near-term departure scenario.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$1,813,862 Объем
30 июн. 2026 г.
30 июня
2%
$1,813,862 Объем
30 июня
$403,631 Объем
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Mojtaba Khamenei assumed Iran’s supreme leadership in March 2026 after the Assembly of Experts selected him to succeed his father, Ali Khamenei, who was killed during U.S.-Israeli strikes in late February. As the sitting supreme leader, he directs policy through clerical and IRGC networks from Tehran despite limited public visibility and April reports of medical treatment in Qom following his own injuries in the conflict. Ongoing ceasefire monitoring, reconstruction priorities, and external diplomatic pressures create structural incentives for continuity in Iran. Health updates, internal elite dynamics, or renewed military escalation remain the primary variables that could influence any near-term departure scenario.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Mar 24, 2026, 4:25 PM ET
Объем
$1,813,862Дата окончания
30 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 24, 2026, 4:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Mojtaba Khamenei assumed Iran’s supreme leadership in March 2026 after the Assembly of Experts selected him to succeed his father, Ali Khamenei, who was killed during U.S.-Israeli strikes in late February. As the sitting supreme leader, he directs policy through clerical and IRGC networks from Tehran despite limited public visibility and April reports of medical treatment in Qom following his own injuries in the conflict. Ongoing ceasefire monitoring, reconstruction priorities, and external diplomatic pressures create structural incentives for continuity in Iran. Health updates, internal elite dynamics, or renewed military escalation remain the primary variables that could influence any near-term departure scenario.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$1,813,862Дата окончания
30 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 24, 2026, 4:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Mojtaba Khamenei assumed Iran’s supreme leadership in March 2026 after the Assembly of Experts selected him to succeed his father, Ali Khamenei, who was killed during U.S.-Israeli strikes in late February. As the sitting supreme leader, he directs policy through clerical and IRGC networks from Tehran despite limited public visibility and April reports of medical treatment in Qom following his own injuries in the conflict. Ongoing ceasefire monitoring, reconstruction priorities, and external diplomatic pressures create structural incentives for continuity in Iran. Health updates, internal elite dynamics, or renewed military escalation remain the primary variables that could influence any near-term departure scenario.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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