Mojtaba Khamenei was appointed Iran's Supreme Leader by the Assembly of Experts in March 2026 following his father Ali Khamenei's death in late February strikes that initiated the 2026 Iran war. He has since issued statements through state media on regional policy, including opposition to U.S. military bases, while remaining based in Iran amid ongoing conflict with the United States and Israel. Reports indicate he sustained injuries in the initial attacks but has not appeared publicly. The Assembly's unanimous selection reflected IRGC influence and a preference for internal continuity over broader clerical consensus during wartime pressures. Any departure from Iran would represent a significant shift in leadership positioning, with traders assessing risks from targeted actions, internal regime dynamics, and diplomatic developments through mid-2026.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$1,824,325 Объем
30 июн. 2026 г.
30 июня
2%
$1,824,325 Объем
30 июня
$414,094 Объем
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Mojtaba Khamenei was appointed Iran's Supreme Leader by the Assembly of Experts in March 2026 following his father Ali Khamenei's death in late February strikes that initiated the 2026 Iran war. He has since issued statements through state media on regional policy, including opposition to U.S. military bases, while remaining based in Iran amid ongoing conflict with the United States and Israel. Reports indicate he sustained injuries in the initial attacks but has not appeared publicly. The Assembly's unanimous selection reflected IRGC influence and a preference for internal continuity over broader clerical consensus during wartime pressures. Any departure from Iran would represent a significant shift in leadership positioning, with traders assessing risks from targeted actions, internal regime dynamics, and diplomatic developments through mid-2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Mar 24, 2026, 4:25 PM ET
Объем
$1,824,325Дата окончания
30 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 24, 2026, 4:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Mojtaba Khamenei was appointed Iran's Supreme Leader by the Assembly of Experts in March 2026 following his father Ali Khamenei's death in late February strikes that initiated the 2026 Iran war. He has since issued statements through state media on regional policy, including opposition to U.S. military bases, while remaining based in Iran amid ongoing conflict with the United States and Israel. Reports indicate he sustained injuries in the initial attacks but has not appeared publicly. The Assembly's unanimous selection reflected IRGC influence and a preference for internal continuity over broader clerical consensus during wartime pressures. Any departure from Iran would represent a significant shift in leadership positioning, with traders assessing risks from targeted actions, internal regime dynamics, and diplomatic developments through mid-2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$1,824,325Дата окончания
30 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 24, 2026, 4:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Mojtaba Khamenei was appointed Iran's Supreme Leader by the Assembly of Experts in March 2026 following his father Ali Khamenei's death in late February strikes that initiated the 2026 Iran war. He has since issued statements through state media on regional policy, including opposition to U.S. military bases, while remaining based in Iran amid ongoing conflict with the United States and Israel. Reports indicate he sustained injuries in the initial attacks but has not appeared publicly. The Assembly's unanimous selection reflected IRGC influence and a preference for internal continuity over broader clerical consensus during wartime pressures. Any departure from Iran would represent a significant shift in leadership positioning, with traders assessing risks from targeted actions, internal regime dynamics, and diplomatic developments through mid-2026.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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