North Korean state media and South Korean military detections confirm a ballistic missile launch on April 19 from near Sinpo toward eastern waters, the latest in a series of tests this month—including multiple short-range ballistic missiles on April 7-8 and cruise/anti-ship missiles from the Choe Hyon destroyer on April 12—driving trader consensus to 100% "Yes" for a missile test by April 30. Pyongyang's accelerated testing pace under Kim Jong Un, amid regional tensions and joint U.S.-South Korea drills, reflects routine demonstrations of military capability in violation of UN resolutions. While resolution awaits official verification per market criteria, scenarios like disputed launch classification or technical failure claims are improbable given precedents and multi-nation confirmations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоNorth Korea missile test/launch by April 30, 2026?
North Korea missile test/launch by April 30, 2026?
>99% вероятность
$87,801 Объем
$87,801 Объем
29 апр. 2026 г.
>99% вероятность
$87,801 Объем
$87,801 Объем
29 апр. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if North Korea (DPRK) launches a missile between market creation and the specified date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.
Launches of other systems such as SAMs, MLRS/rocket artillery, torpedoes, etc., will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution.
The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.North Korean state media and South Korean military detections confirm a ballistic missile launch on April 19 from near Sinpo toward eastern waters, the latest in a series of tests this month—including multiple short-range ballistic missiles on April 7-8 and cruise/anti-ship missiles from the Choe Hyon destroyer on April 12—driving trader consensus to 100% "Yes" for a missile test by April 30. Pyongyang's accelerated testing pace under Kim Jong Un, amid regional tensions and joint U.S.-South Korea drills, reflects routine demonstrations of military capability in violation of UN resolutions. While resolution awaits official verification per market criteria, scenarios like disputed launch classification or technical failure claims are improbable given precedents and multi-nation confirmations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if North Korea (DPRK) launches a missile between market creation and the specified date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.
Launches of other systems such as SAMs, MLRS/rocket artillery, torpedoes, etc., will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution.
The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
Only launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.
Launches of other systems such as SAMs, MLRS/rocket artillery, torpedoes, etc., will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution.
The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
Открытие рынка: Apr 14, 2026, 5:06 PM ET
Объем
$87,801Дата окончания
30 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 14, 2026, 5:06 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Предложенный исход: Yes
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if North Korea (DPRK) launches a missile between market creation and the specified date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.
Launches of other systems such as SAMs, MLRS/rocket artillery, torpedoes, etc., will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution.
The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.North Korean state media and South Korean military detections confirm a ballistic missile launch on April 19 from near Sinpo toward eastern waters, the latest in a series of tests this month—including multiple short-range ballistic missiles on April 7-8 and cruise/anti-ship missiles from the Choe Hyon destroyer on April 12—driving trader consensus to 100% "Yes" for a missile test by April 30. Pyongyang's accelerated testing pace under Kim Jong Un, amid regional tensions and joint U.S.-South Korea drills, reflects routine demonstrations of military capability in violation of UN resolutions. While resolution awaits official verification per market criteria, scenarios like disputed launch classification or technical failure claims are improbable given precedents and multi-nation confirmations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if North Korea (DPRK) launches a missile between market creation and the specified date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.
Launches of other systems such as SAMs, MLRS/rocket artillery, torpedoes, etc., will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution.
The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
Only launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.
Launches of other systems such as SAMs, MLRS/rocket artillery, torpedoes, etc., will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution.
The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
Объем
$87,801Дата окончания
30 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 14, 2026, 5:06 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Предложенный исход: Yes
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Yes
North Korean state media and South Korean military detections confirm a ballistic missile launch on April 19 from near Sinpo toward eastern waters, the latest in a series of tests this month—including multiple short-range ballistic missiles on April 7-8 and cruise/anti-ship missiles from the Choe Hyon destroyer on April 12—driving trader consensus to 100% "Yes" for a missile test by April 30. Pyongyang's accelerated testing pace under Kim Jong Un, amid regional tensions and joint U.S.-South Korea drills, reflects routine demonstrations of military capability in violation of UN resolutions. While resolution awaits official verification per market criteria, scenarios like disputed launch classification or technical failure claims are improbable given precedents and multi-nation confirmations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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