Official Bureau of Transportation Statistics data confirms approximately 6,800 US commercial flights arrived over 15 minutes late on April 6, 2026—Easter Monday—locking trader consensus at 100% probability for the 6,500-7,000 bin amid peak post-holiday travel volume and lingering severe spring storms disrupting major hubs like Atlanta, Chicago O'Hare, New York-area airports, and San Francisco. FAA ground delay programs at SFO and Florida sites compounded air traffic control bottlenecks from high demand, elevating delays above typical spring averages of 5,000-6,000. While resolution awaits final DOT verification, realistic challenges include rare data revisions from carrier reports or reclassifications, though historical patterns show minimal post-preliminary adjustments.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$19,889 Объем
$19,889 Объем
6 апр. 2026 г.
6 000–6 500
Нет
6 500–7 000
Да
$19,889 Объем
$19,889 Объем
6 апр. 2026 г.
6 000–6 500
$8,016 Объем
Нет
6 500–7 000
$6,298 Объем
Да
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 6, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.Official Bureau of Transportation Statistics data confirms approximately 6,800 US commercial flights arrived over 15 minutes late on April 6, 2026—Easter Monday—locking trader consensus at 100% probability for the 6,500-7,000 bin amid peak post-holiday travel volume and lingering severe spring storms disrupting major hubs like Atlanta, Chicago O'Hare, New York-area airports, and San Francisco. FAA ground delay programs at SFO and Florida sites compounded air traffic control bottlenecks from high demand, elevating delays above typical spring averages of 5,000-6,000. While resolution awaits final DOT verification, realistic challenges include rare data revisions from carrier reports or reclassifications, though historical patterns show minimal post-preliminary adjustments.
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 6, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
Открытие рынка: Apr 3, 2026, 7:24 PM ET
Объем
$19,889Дата окончания
6 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 3, 2026, 7:24 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterdayResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 6, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.Official Bureau of Transportation Statistics data confirms approximately 6,800 US commercial flights arrived over 15 minutes late on April 6, 2026—Easter Monday—locking trader consensus at 100% probability for the 6,500-7,000 bin amid peak post-holiday travel volume and lingering severe spring storms disrupting major hubs like Atlanta, Chicago O'Hare, New York-area airports, and San Francisco. FAA ground delay programs at SFO and Florida sites compounded air traffic control bottlenecks from high demand, elevating delays above typical spring averages of 5,000-6,000. While resolution awaits final DOT verification, realistic challenges include rare data revisions from carrier reports or reclassifications, though historical patterns show minimal post-preliminary adjustments.
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 6, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
Объем
$19,889Дата окончания
6 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 3, 2026, 7:24 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterdayResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
Official Bureau of Transportation Statistics data confirms approximately 6,800 US commercial flights arrived over 15 minutes late on April 6, 2026—Easter Monday—locking trader consensus at 100% probability for the 6,500-7,000 bin amid peak post-holiday travel volume and lingering severe spring storms disrupting major hubs like Atlanta, Chicago O'Hare, New York-area airports, and San Francisco. FAA ground delay programs at SFO and Florida sites compounded air traffic control bottlenecks from high demand, elevating delays above typical spring averages of 5,000-6,000. While resolution awaits final DOT verification, realistic challenges include rare data revisions from carrier reports or reclassifications, though historical patterns show minimal post-preliminary adjustments.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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