Trader consensus on US flight delays for March 29 reflects a tight contest between under 6,000 (45.5%) and over 9,000 (40%), driven by spring break travel demand pushing volumes near record highs amid FAA air traffic control staffing shortages, offset by favorable weather forecasts across major hubs. Recent days saw delays averaging 10,000-12,000 daily—March 27 topped 11,500 due to Northeast thunderstorms and crew constraints at Atlanta and Denver—but March 28 eased to around 9,200 as storms cleared, fueling bets on lighter disruptions. Key wildcards include midday convective activity in Florida and Texas or unexpected FAA ground stops, with real-time FlightAware data and DOT reports likely to sharpen odds as the day unfolds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено<6 000 46%
>9 000 40%
6 000–6 500 34%
6 500–7 000 33%
NEW
NEW
Mar 27, 2026
<6 000
46%
6 000–6 500
34%
6 500–7 000
33%
7 000–7 500
28%
7 500–8 000
28%
8 000–8 500
33%
8 500–9 000
28%
>9 000
40%
<6 000 46%
>9 000 40%
6 000–6 500 34%
6 500–7 000 33%
NEW
NEW
Mar 27, 2026
<6 000
$0 Объем
46%
6 000–6 500
$0 Объем
34%
6 500–7 000
$0 Объем
33%
7 000–7 500
$0 Объем
28%
7 500–8 000
$0 Объем
28%
8 000–8 500
$10 Объем
33%
8 500–9 000
$10 Объем
28%
>9 000
$0 Объем
40%
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 29, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.Trader consensus on US flight delays for March 29 reflects a tight contest between under 6,000 (45.5%) and over 9,000 (40%), driven by spring break travel demand pushing volumes near record highs amid FAA air traffic control staffing shortages, offset by favorable weather forecasts across major hubs. Recent days saw delays averaging 10,000-12,000 daily—March 27 topped 11,500 due to Northeast thunderstorms and crew constraints at Atlanta and Denver—but March 28 eased to around 9,200 as storms cleared, fueling bets on lighter disruptions. Key wildcards include midday convective activity in Florida and Texas or unexpected FAA ground stops, with real-time FlightAware data and DOT reports likely to sharpen odds as the day unfolds.
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 29, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
Открытие рынка: Mar 27, 2026, 5:42 PM ET
Объем
$20Дата окончания
Mar 29, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 27, 2026, 5:42 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterdayResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 29, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.Trader consensus on US flight delays for March 29 reflects a tight contest between under 6,000 (45.5%) and over 9,000 (40%), driven by spring break travel demand pushing volumes near record highs amid FAA air traffic control staffing shortages, offset by favorable weather forecasts across major hubs. Recent days saw delays averaging 10,000-12,000 daily—March 27 topped 11,500 due to Northeast thunderstorms and crew constraints at Atlanta and Denver—but March 28 eased to around 9,200 as storms cleared, fueling bets on lighter disruptions. Key wildcards include midday convective activity in Florida and Texas or unexpected FAA ground stops, with real-time FlightAware data and DOT reports likely to sharpen odds as the day unfolds.
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 29, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
Объем
$20Дата окончания
Mar 29, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 27, 2026, 5:42 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterdayResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on US flight delays for March 29 reflects a tight contest between under 6,000 (45.5%) and over 9,000 (40%), driven by spring break travel demand pushing volumes near record highs amid FAA air traffic control staffing shortages, offset by favorable weather forecasts across major hubs. Recent days saw delays averaging 10,000-12,000 daily—March 27 topped 11,500 due to Northeast thunderstorms and crew constraints at Atlanta and Denver—but March 28 eased to around 9,200 as storms cleared, fueling bets on lighter disruptions. Key wildcards include midday convective activity in Florida and Texas or unexpected FAA ground stops, with real-time FlightAware data and DOT reports likely to sharpen odds as the day unfolds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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