**Trader consensus tilts toward 60-70 million week-one views** for MrBeast's next YouTube upload at 29.5% implied probability, anchored by his recent videos' performance—titans like "I Spent 50 Hours in Solitary Confinement" topped 80M early, while others like "Last to Leave Circle Wins $500,000" settled nearer 60M amid fiercer short-form competition from TikTok. Differentiating factors include giveaway magnitude, which historically spikes shares 20-30% above baseline; high-profile collabs elevating algorithmic push; and thumbnail optimization, where bold visuals have driven 15% view uplifts. Subscriber growth past 310 million guarantees a 50M+ floor, but content secrecy fuels wide dispersion, with 90M+ at just 17.5% pending pre-release hype on X. Resolution hinges on precise seven-day YouTube metrics post-premiere.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
60-70M 29%
90M+ 18%
80-90M 18%
70-80M 15%
<40M
2%
40-50M
6%
50-60M
13%
60-70M
29%
70-80M
15%
80-90M
18%
90M+
18%
60-70M 29%
90M+ 18%
80-90M 18%
70-80M 15%
<40M
2%
40-50M
6%
50-60M
13%
60-70M
29%
70-80M
15%
80-90M
18%
90M+
18%
If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Mar 16, 2026, 5:04 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus tilts toward 60-70 million week-one views** for MrBeast's next YouTube upload at 29.5% implied probability, anchored by his recent videos' performance—titans like "I Spent 50 Hours in Solitary Confinement" topped 80M early, while others like "Last to Leave Circle Wins $500,000" settled nearer 60M amid fiercer short-form competition from TikTok. Differentiating factors include giveaway magnitude, which historically spikes shares 20-30% above baseline; high-profile collabs elevating algorithmic push; and thumbnail optimization, where bold visuals have driven 15% view uplifts. Subscriber growth past 310 million guarantees a 50M+ floor, but content secrecy fuels wide dispersion, with 90M+ at just 17.5% pending pre-release hype on X. Resolution hinges on precise seven-day YouTube metrics post-premiere.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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