Tensions between Pakistan and Afghanistan, fueled by cross-border strikes and Tehrik-i-Taliban Pakistan (TTP) militancy, escalated into open conflict in late February 2026 with Pakistani airstrikes on Afghan provinces, prompting retaliatory actions and temporary pauses that quickly broke down by late March. China-mediated peace talks in early April yielded "useful" progress, with both sides agreeing not to escalate and explore a comprehensive solution, as announced April 8. A localized ceasefire via tribal jirga took hold in the Chitral sector on April 14, while Pakistani mediators arrived in Iran on April 15 for further de-escalation efforts. U.S. Vice President JD Vance's April 11 Islamabad visit underscored international pressure, though no durable nationwide ceasefire has materialized amid fragile diplomacy.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$143,160 Объем
30 апр. 2026 г.
30 апреля
39%
$143,160 Объем
30 апреля
$13,457 Объем
39%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Pakistan and the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from the governments of Pakistan and the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement has been reached will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Pakistan and the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from the governments of Pakistan and the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement has been reached will suffice.Tensions between Pakistan and Afghanistan, fueled by cross-border strikes and Tehrik-i-Taliban Pakistan (TTP) militancy, escalated into open conflict in late February 2026 with Pakistani airstrikes on Afghan provinces, prompting retaliatory actions and temporary pauses that quickly broke down by late March. China-mediated peace talks in early April yielded "useful" progress, with both sides agreeing not to escalate and explore a comprehensive solution, as announced April 8. A localized ceasefire via tribal jirga took hold in the Chitral sector on April 14, while Pakistani mediators arrived in Iran on April 15 for further de-escalation efforts. U.S. Vice President JD Vance's April 11 Islamabad visit underscored international pressure, though no durable nationwide ceasefire has materialized amid fragile diplomacy.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Pakistan and the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from the governments of Pakistan and the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from the governments of Pakistan and the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement has been reached will suffice.
Открытие рынка: Mar 30, 2026, 4:58 PM ET
Объем
$143,160Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 30, 2026, 4:58 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Pakistan and the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from the governments of Pakistan and the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement has been reached will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Pakistan and the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from the governments of Pakistan and the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement has been reached will suffice.Tensions between Pakistan and Afghanistan, fueled by cross-border strikes and Tehrik-i-Taliban Pakistan (TTP) militancy, escalated into open conflict in late February 2026 with Pakistani airstrikes on Afghan provinces, prompting retaliatory actions and temporary pauses that quickly broke down by late March. China-mediated peace talks in early April yielded "useful" progress, with both sides agreeing not to escalate and explore a comprehensive solution, as announced April 8. A localized ceasefire via tribal jirga took hold in the Chitral sector on April 14, while Pakistani mediators arrived in Iran on April 15 for further de-escalation efforts. U.S. Vice President JD Vance's April 11 Islamabad visit underscored international pressure, though no durable nationwide ceasefire has materialized amid fragile diplomacy.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Pakistan and the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from the governments of Pakistan and the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from the governments of Pakistan and the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement has been reached will suffice.
Объем
$143,160Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 30, 2026, 4:58 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Tensions between Pakistan and Afghanistan, fueled by cross-border strikes and Tehrik-i-Taliban Pakistan (TTP) militancy, escalated into open conflict in late February 2026 with Pakistani airstrikes on Afghan provinces, prompting retaliatory actions and temporary pauses that quickly broke down by late March. China-mediated peace talks in early April yielded "useful" progress, with both sides agreeing not to escalate and explore a comprehensive solution, as announced April 8. A localized ceasefire via tribal jirga took hold in the Chitral sector on April 14, while Pakistani mediators arrived in Iran on April 15 for further de-escalation efforts. U.S. Vice President JD Vance's April 11 Islamabad visit underscored international pressure, though no durable nationwide ceasefire has materialized amid fragile diplomacy.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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