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Мир·RBA

Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in June?

Market icon
Мир·RBA

Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in June?

May 5

Jun 16

May 5

Jun 16

Increase 54%

No Change 41%

Decrease 8.4%

Polymarket
NEW

Increase 54%

No Change 41%

Decrease 8.4%

Polymarket
NEW

Decrease

$0 Объем

8%

No Change

$0 Объем

41%

Increase

$6,060 Объем

52%

This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.Traders on Polymarket price a 51% implied probability for the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) to hike its cash rate at the June 18 board meeting, edging out no change at 41%, driven by sticky underlying inflation. Q1 trimmed mean inflation accelerated to 3.8% year-over-year—above the 2-3% target and consensus forecasts—while the labor market remains tight with unemployment holding near 4.0% and robust jobs growth. The RBA's May decision maintained rates at 4.35% but adopted a hawkish tone, emphasizing data dependence amid persistent services inflation. A rate cut at 8% reflects low odds given cooling headline CPI but resilient wage pressures; focus now shifts to mid-June labor and inflation previews that could sway the closely contested hike/no-change dynamic.

Traders on Polymarket price a 51% implied probability for the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) to hike its cash rate at the June 18 board meeting, edging out no change at 41%, driven by sticky underlying inflation. Q1 trimmed mean inflation accelerated to 3.8% year-over-year—above the 2-3% target and consensus forecasts—while the labor market remains tight with unemployment holding near 4.0% and robust jobs growth. The RBA's May decision maintained rates at 4.35% but adopted a hawkish tone, emphasizing data dependence amid persistent services inflation. A rate cut at 8% reflects low odds given cooling headline CPI but resilient wage pressures; focus now shifts to mid-June labor and inflation previews that could sway the closely contested hike/no-change dynamic.

Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.Traders on Polymarket price a 51% implied probability for the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) to hike its cash rate at the June 18 board meeting, edging out no change at 41%, driven by sticky underlying inflation. Q1 trimmed mean inflation accelerated to 3.8% year-over-year—above the 2-3% target and consensus forecasts—while the labor market remains tight with unemployment holding near 4.0% and robust jobs growth. The RBA's May decision maintained rates at 4.35% but adopted a hawkish tone, emphasizing data dependence amid persistent services inflation. A rate cut at 8% reflects low odds given cooling headline CPI but resilient wage pressures; focus now shifts to mid-June labor and inflation previews that could sway the closely contested hike/no-change dynamic.

Traders on Polymarket price a 51% implied probability for the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) to hike its cash rate at the June 18 board meeting, edging out no change at 41%, driven by sticky underlying inflation. Q1 trimmed mean inflation accelerated to 3.8% year-over-year—above the 2-3% target and consensus forecasts—while the labor market remains tight with unemployment holding near 4.0% and robust jobs growth. The RBA's May decision maintained rates at 4.35% but adopted a hawkish tone, emphasizing data dependence amid persistent services inflation. A rate cut at 8% reflects low odds given cooling headline CPI but resilient wage pressures; focus now shifts to mid-June labor and inflation previews that could sway the closely contested hike/no-change dynamic.

Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in June?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 3 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Increase» с 52%, за ним следует «No Change» с 41%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 52¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 52%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in June?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Mar 19, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in June?», просмотри 3 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in June?» — «Increase» с 52%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 52%. Следующий ближайший исход — «No Change» с 41%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in June?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.