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icon for Трехсторонняя комбинация Сената: Техас, Мичиган, Мэн
Политика·выборы

Трехсторонняя комбинация Сената: Техас, Мичиган, Мэн

icon for Трехсторонняя комбинация Сената: Техас, Мичиган, Мэн
Политика·выборы

Трехсторонняя комбинация Сената: Техас, Мичиган, Мэн

Демократы выигрывают все 44%

Демы Техас и Мичиган, Респы Мэн 13.7%

Респы Техас и Мичиган, Демы Мэн 12%

Республиканцы Техас, Демократы Мичиган и Мэн 11%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

Демократы выигрывают все 44%

Демы Техас и Мичиган, Респы Мэн 13.7%

Респы Техас и Мичиган, Демы Мэн 12%

Республиканцы Техас, Демократы Мичиган и Мэн 11%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

Демократы выигрывают все

$1,338 Объем

44%

Демы Техас и Мичиган, Респы Мэн

$116 Объем

14%

Респы Техас и Мичиган, Демы Мэн

$169 Объем

12%

Республиканцы Техас, Демократы Мичиган и Мэн

$157 Объем

11%

Победа республиканцев во всех округах

$131 Объем

7%

Демы Техас и Мэн, Респы Мичиган

$164 Объем

7%

Республиканцы Техас и Мэн, демократы Мичиган

$142 Объем

6%

Демы Техас, Репы Мичиган и Мэн

$119 Объем

18%

This market will resolve according to the outcome of the United States Senate general elections in Texas, Michigan, and Maine that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, inclusive of any potential runoffs. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins all races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification. All three 2026 Senate contests remain toss-ups according to recent polling averages and forecaster ratings, with Texas pitting Ken Paxton against James Talarico, Michigan featuring Mike Rogers versus Abdul El-Sayed in the open seat, and Maine matching Susan Collins against Troy Jackson. These tight individual races—each decided by low-single-digit margins in most surveys—drive the near-even trader split between a Democratic sweep and all other outcomes, as small shifts in turnout or national generic ballot trends could alter multiple results simultaneously. Late-cycle developments such as candidate consolidation in Maine and consistent fundraising edges have kept probabilities fluid without producing decisive separation.

This market will resolve according to the outcome of the United States Senate general elections in Texas, Michigan, and Maine that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, inclusive of any potential runoffs.

A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

If the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".

For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins all races.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of the United States Senate general elections in Texas, Michigan, and Maine that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, inclusive of any potential runoffs. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins all races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Объем
$2,336
Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Sep 17, 2026, 1:26 PM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the outcome of the United States Senate general elections in Texas, Michigan, and Maine that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, inclusive of any potential runoffs. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins all races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification. All three 2026 Senate contests remain toss-ups according to recent polling averages and forecaster ratings, with Texas pitting Ken Paxton against James Talarico, Michigan featuring Mike Rogers versus Abdul El-Sayed in the open seat, and Maine matching Susan Collins against Troy Jackson. These tight individual races—each decided by low-single-digit margins in most surveys—drive the near-even trader split between a Democratic sweep and all other outcomes, as small shifts in turnout or national generic ballot trends could alter multiple results simultaneously. Late-cycle developments such as candidate consolidation in Maine and consistent fundraising edges have kept probabilities fluid without producing decisive separation.

This market will resolve according to the outcome of the United States Senate general elections in Texas, Michigan, and Maine that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, inclusive of any potential runoffs.

A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

If the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".

For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins all races.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of the United States Senate general elections in Texas, Michigan, and Maine that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, inclusive of any potential runoffs. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins all races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Объем
$2,336
Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Sep 17, 2026, 1:26 PM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...

Связанные

icon for Республиканцы выиграют выборы губернатора Техаса, а демократы выиграют выборы в Сенат Техаса?

Республиканцы выиграют выборы губернатора Техаса, а демократы выиграют выборы в Сенат Техаса?

44%
Да
icon for Смогут ли демократы одержать победу на выборах в сенат и на пост губернатора штата Мэн?

Смогут ли демократы одержать победу на выборах в сенат и на пост губернатора штата Мэн?

70%
Да
icon for Победят ли демократы на выборах в сенат и на пост губернатора Мичигана?

Победят ли демократы на выборах в сенат и на пост губернатора Мичигана?

63%
Да

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Трехсторонняя комбинация Сената: Техас, Мичиган, Мэн» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 8 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Демократы выигрывают все» с 44%, за ним следует «Демы Техас, Репы Мичиган и Мэн» с 18%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 44¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 44%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Трехсторонняя комбинация Сената: Техас, Мичиган, Мэн» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Sep 17, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Трехсторонняя комбинация Сената: Техас, Мичиган, Мэн», просмотри 8 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Трехсторонняя комбинация Сената: Техас, Мичиган, Мэн» — «Демократы выигрывают все» с 44%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 44%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Демы Техас, Репы Мичиган и Мэн» с 18%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Трехсторонняя комбинация Сената: Техас, Мичиган, Мэн» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.