Polymarket traders' overwhelming consensus at 100% implied probability for the S&P 500 opening in the 6700–6800 range on April 8, 2026, reflects the index's actual premarket print of 6,754.36, up sharply from the prior close of 6,616.85 amid reports of a U.S.-brokered two-week Middle East ceasefire. This geopolitical de-escalation plunged oil prices over $20 to below $93 per barrel, alleviating inflation fears and boosting risk appetite, with S&P 500 futures surging 2.6% pre-open. The session closed at 6,782.81, a 2.5% gain, underscoring equities' leverage to energy costs and global trade flows. While resolved with certainty, pre-event positioning hinged on sustained futures momentum; renewed conflict or supply shocks could have pressured a lower open.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоS&P 500 (SPX) Opening Price on April 8?
S&P 500 (SPX) Opening Price on April 8?
<6600 <1%
6800–6900 <1%
6900–7000 <1%
7000+ <1%
$54,146 Объем
$54,146 Объем
8 апр. 2026 г.
<6600
<1%
6800–6900
<1%
6900–7000
<1%
7000+
<1%
<6600 <1%
6800–6900 <1%
6900–7000 <1%
7000+ <1%
$54,146 Объем
$54,146 Объем
8 апр. 2026 г.
<6600
$15,621 Объем
<1%
6800–6900
$7,282 Объем
<1%
6900–7000
$1,009 Объем
<1%
7000+
$4,315 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve according to the official opening price for the S&P 500 (SPX) on April 8, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the April 8, 2026 trading day is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official opening price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official opening price is published for that session (for example, due to a delayed open, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the first valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective opening price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) “Open” prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under “Historical Prices.”Polymarket traders' overwhelming consensus at 100% implied probability for the S&P 500 opening in the 6700–6800 range on April 8, 2026, reflects the index's actual premarket print of 6,754.36, up sharply from the prior close of 6,616.85 amid reports of a U.S.-brokered two-week Middle East ceasefire. This geopolitical de-escalation plunged oil prices over $20 to below $93 per barrel, alleviating inflation fears and boosting risk appetite, with S&P 500 futures surging 2.6% pre-open. The session closed at 6,782.81, a 2.5% gain, underscoring equities' leverage to energy costs and global trade flows. While resolved with certainty, pre-event positioning hinged on sustained futures momentum; renewed conflict or supply shocks could have pressured a lower open.
This market will resolve according to the official opening price for the S&P 500 (SPX) on April 8, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the April 8, 2026 trading day is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official opening price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official opening price is published for that session (for example, due to a delayed open, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the first valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective opening price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) “Open” prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under “Historical Prices.”
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the April 8, 2026 trading day is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official opening price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official opening price is published for that session (for example, due to a delayed open, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the first valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective opening price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) “Open” prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under “Historical Prices.”
Открытие рынка: Apr 7, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Объем
$54,146Дата окончания
8 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 7, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the official opening price for the S&P 500 (SPX) on April 8, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the April 8, 2026 trading day is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official opening price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official opening price is published for that session (for example, due to a delayed open, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the first valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective opening price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) “Open” prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under “Historical Prices.”Polymarket traders' overwhelming consensus at 100% implied probability for the S&P 500 opening in the 6700–6800 range on April 8, 2026, reflects the index's actual premarket print of 6,754.36, up sharply from the prior close of 6,616.85 amid reports of a U.S.-brokered two-week Middle East ceasefire. This geopolitical de-escalation plunged oil prices over $20 to below $93 per barrel, alleviating inflation fears and boosting risk appetite, with S&P 500 futures surging 2.6% pre-open. The session closed at 6,782.81, a 2.5% gain, underscoring equities' leverage to energy costs and global trade flows. While resolved with certainty, pre-event positioning hinged on sustained futures momentum; renewed conflict or supply shocks could have pressured a lower open.
This market will resolve according to the official opening price for the S&P 500 (SPX) on April 8, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the April 8, 2026 trading day is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official opening price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official opening price is published for that session (for example, due to a delayed open, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the first valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective opening price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) “Open” prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under “Historical Prices.”
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the April 8, 2026 trading day is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official opening price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official opening price is published for that session (for example, due to a delayed open, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the first valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective opening price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) “Open” prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under “Historical Prices.”
Объем
$54,146Дата окончания
8 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 7, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket traders' overwhelming consensus at 100% implied probability for the S&P 500 opening in the 6700–6800 range on April 8, 2026, reflects the index's actual premarket print of 6,754.36, up sharply from the prior close of 6,616.85 amid reports of a U.S.-brokered two-week Middle East ceasefire. This geopolitical de-escalation plunged oil prices over $20 to below $93 per barrel, alleviating inflation fears and boosting risk appetite, with S&P 500 futures surging 2.6% pre-open. The session closed at 6,782.81, a 2.5% gain, underscoring equities' leverage to energy costs and global trade flows. While resolved with certainty, pre-event positioning hinged on sustained futures momentum; renewed conflict or supply shocks could have pressured a lower open.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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