Trader consensus on the S&P 500's 2026 year-end close reflects a closely contested range around current levels near 7,650, with the highest implied probabilities on finishes above 8,000 (35%) or between 7,500 and 8,000 (29%). Strong second-quarter earnings growth, led by technology and AI sectors, supports upside momentum and has prompted upward EPS revisions at several firms. However, recent Federal Reserve rate hikes, 10-year Treasury yields approaching 5%, and elevated oil prices have tempered valuations and introduced downside risks. Analyst targets cluster between 7,400 and 8,100, underscoring uncertainty over whether earnings momentum can overcome monetary policy headwinds in the final months of the year.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено>$8,000 29%
$7,500–$8,000 19%
$7,000–$7,500 17%
$6,500–$7,000 10%
$44,814 Объем
$44,814 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
< $6,000
8%
$6,000–$6,500
7%
$6,500–$7,000
10%
$7,000–$7,500
21%
$7,500–$8,000
29%
>$8,000
35%
>$8,000 29%
$7,500–$8,000 19%
$7,000–$7,500 17%
$6,500–$7,000 10%
$44,814 Объем
$44,814 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
< $6,000
$23,712 Объем
8%
$6,000–$6,500
$2,380 Объем
7%
$6,500–$7,000
$4,657 Объем
10%
$7,000–$7,500
$2,769 Объем
21%
$7,500–$8,000
$4,333 Объем
29%
>$8,000
$6,963 Объем
35%
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."Trader consensus on the S&P 500's 2026 year-end close reflects a closely contested range around current levels near 7,650, with the highest implied probabilities on finishes above 8,000 (35%) or between 7,500 and 8,000 (29%). Strong second-quarter earnings growth, led by technology and AI sectors, supports upside momentum and has prompted upward EPS revisions at several firms. However, recent Federal Reserve rate hikes, 10-year Treasury yields approaching 5%, and elevated oil prices have tempered valuations and introduced downside risks. Analyst targets cluster between 7,400 and 8,100, underscoring uncertainty over whether earnings momentum can overcome monetary policy headwinds in the final months of the year.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Открытие рынка: Jan 6, 2026, 9:22 PM ET
Объем
$44,814Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 6, 2026, 9:22 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/historyКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."Trader consensus on the S&P 500's 2026 year-end close reflects a closely contested range around current levels near 7,650, with the highest implied probabilities on finishes above 8,000 (35%) or between 7,500 and 8,000 (29%). Strong second-quarter earnings growth, led by technology and AI sectors, supports upside momentum and has prompted upward EPS revisions at several firms. However, recent Federal Reserve rate hikes, 10-year Treasury yields approaching 5%, and elevated oil prices have tempered valuations and introduced downside risks. Analyst targets cluster between 7,400 and 8,100, underscoring uncertainty over whether earnings momentum can overcome monetary policy headwinds in the final months of the year.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Объем
$44,814Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 6, 2026, 9:22 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/historyКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on the S&P 500's 2026 year-end close reflects a closely contested range around current levels near 7,650, with the highest implied probabilities on finishes above 8,000 (35%) or between 7,500 and 8,000 (29%). Strong second-quarter earnings growth, led by technology and AI sectors, supports upside momentum and has prompted upward EPS revisions at several firms. However, recent Federal Reserve rate hikes, 10-year Treasury yields approaching 5%, and elevated oil prices have tempered valuations and introduced downside risks. Analyst targets cluster between 7,400 and 8,100, underscoring uncertainty over whether earnings momentum can overcome monetary policy headwinds in the final months of the year.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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