Justice Samuel Alito confirmed in August 2026 that he plans to remain on the Supreme Court for at least another full term, extending through the 2026-2027 session ending in mid-2027, directly addressing and reducing prior retirement speculation. No other justices have announced departures or health-related exits for 2026, and official judicial vacancy reports list zero openings on the nine-member Court as of September. With Clarence Thomas also continuing service at age 78 and no scheduled confirmation processes or Senate actions tied to a vacancy, trader consensus reflects the absence of recent catalysts that would shift probabilities toward an opening before year-end.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДа
24% вероятность
$19,108 Объем
$19,108 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Да
24% вероятность
$19,108 Объем
$19,108 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one seat on the United States Supreme Court becomes vacant between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from the U.S. Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Justice Samuel Alito confirmed in August 2026 that he plans to remain on the Supreme Court for at least another full term, extending through the 2026-2027 session ending in mid-2027, directly addressing and reducing prior retirement speculation. No other justices have announced departures or health-related exits for 2026, and official judicial vacancy reports list zero openings on the nine-member Court as of September. With Clarence Thomas also continuing service at age 78 and no scheduled confirmation processes or Senate actions tied to a vacancy, trader consensus reflects the absence of recent catalysts that would shift probabilities toward an opening before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one seat on the United States Supreme Court becomes vacant between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from the U.S. Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from the U.S. Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Dec 15, 2025, 7:18 PM ET
Объем
$19,108Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 15, 2025, 7:18 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one seat on the United States Supreme Court becomes vacant between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from the U.S. Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Justice Samuel Alito confirmed in August 2026 that he plans to remain on the Supreme Court for at least another full term, extending through the 2026-2027 session ending in mid-2027, directly addressing and reducing prior retirement speculation. No other justices have announced departures or health-related exits for 2026, and official judicial vacancy reports list zero openings on the nine-member Court as of September. With Clarence Thomas also continuing service at age 78 and no scheduled confirmation processes or Senate actions tied to a vacancy, trader consensus reflects the absence of recent catalysts that would shift probabilities toward an opening before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one seat on the United States Supreme Court becomes vacant between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from the U.S. Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from the U.S. Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$19,108Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 15, 2025, 7:18 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Justice Samuel Alito confirmed in August 2026 that he plans to remain on the Supreme Court for at least another full term, extending through the 2026-2027 session ending in mid-2027, directly addressing and reducing prior retirement speculation. No other justices have announced departures or health-related exits for 2026, and official judicial vacancy reports list zero openings on the nine-member Court as of September. With Clarence Thomas also continuing service at age 78 and no scheduled confirmation processes or Senate actions tied to a vacancy, trader consensus reflects the absence of recent catalysts that would shift probabilities toward an opening before year-end.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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