**Low and stable Swiss inflation, with the policy rate already near its estimated neutral level of zero, anchors the 90% market-implied probability of no change at the SNB’s September 24 monetary policy assessment.** Recent readings place annual inflation between 0.4% and 0.8%, well inside the 0–2% price-stability range, while second-round effects from higher energy prices have remained muted. Bankers’ and economist surveys show near-unanimous expectations for a hold through 2026 and into 2027, consistent with the franc’s real effective exchange rate showing limited net movement and Swiss GDP growth proving resilient without overheating. Although several G7 central banks face hawkish pressure from energy costs, the SNB’s unique inflation dynamics and neutral-rate positioning limit the case for immediate adjustment. Traders will monitor the updated inflation forecast and any comments on franc intervention for signs of a policy shift at the meeting.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоБез изменений 90%
Повышение на 25 б.п. 3.7%
Снижение на 25 б.п. 2.4%
Снижение более чем на 50 б.п. 1.8%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
23 сент. 2026 г.
Повышение на 50+ базисных пунктов
2%
Повышение на 25 б.п.
4%
Без изменений
90%
Снижение на 25 б.п.
2%
Снижение более чем на 50 б.п.
2%
Без изменений 90%
Повышение на 25 б.п. 3.7%
Снижение на 25 б.п. 2.4%
Снижение более чем на 50 б.п. 1.8%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
23 сент. 2026 г.
Повышение на 50+ базисных пунктов
$441 Объем
2%
Повышение на 25 б.п.
$713 Объем
4%
Без изменений
$3,245 Объем
90%
Снижение на 25 б.п.
$361 Объем
2%
Снижение более чем на 50 б.п.
$381 Объем
2%
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the SNB policy rate resulting from the September 2026 meeting of the Swiss National Bank, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Swiss National Bank, including the statement or release from its September 2026 monetary policy assessment, scheduled for September 24, 2026, as listed on the official Swiss National Bank calendar (https://www.snb.ch/en/services-events/digital-services/event-schedule). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Swiss National Bank resulting from its September 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.**Low and stable Swiss inflation, with the policy rate already near its estimated neutral level of zero, anchors the 90% market-implied probability of no change at the SNB’s September 24 monetary policy assessment.**
Recent readings place annual inflation between 0.4% and 0.8%, well inside the 0–2% price-stability range, while second-round effects from higher energy prices have remained muted. Bankers’ and economist surveys show near-unanimous expectations for a hold through 2026 and into 2027, consistent with the franc’s real effective exchange rate showing limited net movement and Swiss GDP growth proving resilient without overheating.
Although several G7 central banks face hawkish pressure from energy costs, the SNB’s unique inflation dynamics and neutral-rate positioning limit the case for immediate adjustment. Traders will monitor the updated inflation forecast and any comments on franc intervention for signs of a policy shift at the meeting.
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the SNB policy rate resulting from the September 2026 meeting of the Swiss National Bank, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Swiss National Bank, including the statement or release from its September 2026 monetary policy assessment, scheduled for September 24, 2026, as listed on the official Swiss National Bank calendar (https://www.snb.ch/en/services-events/digital-services/event-schedule). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Swiss National Bank resulting from its September 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
The resolution source will be official information from the Swiss National Bank, including the statement or release from its September 2026 monetary policy assessment, scheduled for September 24, 2026, as listed on the official Swiss National Bank calendar (https://www.snb.ch/en/services-events/digital-services/event-schedule). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Swiss National Bank resulting from its September 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 10, 2026, 2:41 PM ET
Объем
$5,140Дата окончания
24 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 10, 2026, 2:41 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the SNB policy rate resulting from the September 2026 meeting of the Swiss National Bank, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Swiss National Bank, including the statement or release from its September 2026 monetary policy assessment, scheduled for September 24, 2026, as listed on the official Swiss National Bank calendar (https://www.snb.ch/en/services-events/digital-services/event-schedule). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Swiss National Bank resulting from its September 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.**Low and stable Swiss inflation, with the policy rate already near its estimated neutral level of zero, anchors the 90% market-implied probability of no change at the SNB’s September 24 monetary policy assessment.**
Recent readings place annual inflation between 0.4% and 0.8%, well inside the 0–2% price-stability range, while second-round effects from higher energy prices have remained muted. Bankers’ and economist surveys show near-unanimous expectations for a hold through 2026 and into 2027, consistent with the franc’s real effective exchange rate showing limited net movement and Swiss GDP growth proving resilient without overheating.
Although several G7 central banks face hawkish pressure from energy costs, the SNB’s unique inflation dynamics and neutral-rate positioning limit the case for immediate adjustment. Traders will monitor the updated inflation forecast and any comments on franc intervention for signs of a policy shift at the meeting.
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the SNB policy rate resulting from the September 2026 meeting of the Swiss National Bank, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Swiss National Bank, including the statement or release from its September 2026 monetary policy assessment, scheduled for September 24, 2026, as listed on the official Swiss National Bank calendar (https://www.snb.ch/en/services-events/digital-services/event-schedule). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Swiss National Bank resulting from its September 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
The resolution source will be official information from the Swiss National Bank, including the statement or release from its September 2026 monetary policy assessment, scheduled for September 24, 2026, as listed on the official Swiss National Bank calendar (https://www.snb.ch/en/services-events/digital-services/event-schedule). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Swiss National Bank resulting from its September 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
Объем
$5,140Дата окончания
24 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 10, 2026, 2:41 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Low and stable Swiss inflation, with the policy rate already near its estimated neutral level of zero, anchors the 90% market-implied probability of no change at the SNB’s September 24 monetary policy assessment.** Recent readings place annual inflation between 0.4% and 0.8%, well inside the 0–2% price-stability range, while second-round effects from higher energy prices have remained muted. Bankers’ and economist surveys show near-unanimous expectations for a hold through 2026 and into 2027, consistent with the franc’s real effective exchange rate showing limited net movement and Swiss GDP growth proving resilient without overheating. Although several G7 central banks face hawkish pressure from energy costs, the SNB’s unique inflation dynamics and neutral-rate positioning limit the case for immediate adjustment. Traders will monitor the updated inflation forecast and any comments on franc intervention for signs of a policy shift at the meeting.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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