Recent downward revisions to box office tracking for Nate Bargatze’s family comedy *The Breadwinner* explain the market’s lean toward a $6–7 million or low-seven-figure opening. Thursday previews of $750,000 across 2,750 theaters fell short of earlier hopes, prompting analysts to trim estimates from the mid-teens into the $7–14 million range amid a crowded Memorial Day weekend slate. Sony’s PG-rated title retains family and faith-based appeal plus Bargatze’s broad fanbase, supporting the 59.5% implied probability above $7 million, yet traditional comedies’ recent softness and competition keep the 6–7 million bracket at 34.2% as traders weigh last-minute word-of-mouth.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено"The Breadwinner" Opening Weekend Box Office
"The Breadwinner" Opening Weekend Box Office
>7m 62%
6-7m 36.0%
5-6m <1%
<4m <1%
$145,221 Объем
$145,221 Объем
1 июн. 2026 г.
<4m
<1%
4-5m
<1%
5-6m
1%
6-7m
36%
>7m
62%
>7m 62%
6-7m 36.0%
5-6m <1%
<4m <1%
$145,221 Объем
$145,221 Объем
1 июн. 2026 г.
<4m
$5,277 Объем
<1%
4-5m
$23,387 Объем
<1%
5-6m
$10,534 Объем
1%
6-7m
$15,286 Объем
36%
>7m
$91,076 Объем
62%
This market will resolve according to how much "The Breadwinner" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (May 29 - May 31) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Recent downward revisions to box office tracking for Nate Bargatze’s family comedy *The Breadwinner* explain the market’s lean toward a $6–7 million or low-seven-figure opening. Thursday previews of $750,000 across 2,750 theaters fell short of earlier hopes, prompting analysts to trim estimates from the mid-teens into the $7–14 million range amid a crowded Memorial Day weekend slate. Sony’s PG-rated title retains family and faith-based appeal plus Bargatze’s broad fanbase, supporting the 59.5% implied probability above $7 million, yet traditional comedies’ recent softness and competition keep the 6–7 million bracket at 34.2% as traders weigh last-minute word-of-mouth.
This market will resolve according to how much "The Breadwinner" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (May 29 - May 31) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Открытие рынка: May 26, 2026, 5:10 PM ET
Объем
$145,221Дата окончания
1 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 26, 2026, 5:10 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "The Breadwinner" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (May 29 - May 31) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Recent downward revisions to box office tracking for Nate Bargatze’s family comedy *The Breadwinner* explain the market’s lean toward a $6–7 million or low-seven-figure opening. Thursday previews of $750,000 across 2,750 theaters fell short of earlier hopes, prompting analysts to trim estimates from the mid-teens into the $7–14 million range amid a crowded Memorial Day weekend slate. Sony’s PG-rated title retains family and faith-based appeal plus Bargatze’s broad fanbase, supporting the 59.5% implied probability above $7 million, yet traditional comedies’ recent softness and competition keep the 6–7 million bracket at 34.2% as traders weigh last-minute word-of-mouth.
This market will resolve according to how much "The Breadwinner" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (May 29 - May 31) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Объем
$145,221Дата окончания
1 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 26, 2026, 5:10 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent downward revisions to box office tracking for Nate Bargatze’s family comedy *The Breadwinner* explain the market’s lean toward a $6–7 million or low-seven-figure opening. Thursday previews of $750,000 across 2,750 theaters fell short of earlier hopes, prompting analysts to trim estimates from the mid-teens into the $7–14 million range amid a crowded Memorial Day weekend slate. Sony’s PG-rated title retains family and faith-based appeal plus Bargatze’s broad fanbase, supporting the 59.5% implied probability above $7 million, yet traditional comedies’ recent softness and competition keep the 6–7 million bracket at 34.2% as traders weigh last-minute word-of-mouth.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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