Trader sentiment on Polymarket tilts bearish for Tesla (TSLA) closing above key thresholds like $170 on March 24, driven primarily by Q1 delivery figures that missed estimates at 386,810 vehicles—a 9% year-over-year decline—amid softening EV demand, China competition, and high interest rates curbing consumer borrowing. Shares have shed 35% YTD, trading near $170 intraday, with implied probabilities reflecting trader consensus around 40-50% for upside breaches based on real-money positioning. Upcoming catalysts include March 28 Q1 earnings, where margins face scrutiny from price cuts, and FOMC signals on rate cuts; a close above $175 would signal bullish reversal, but historical post-delivery fades suggest caution amid $2.5T market cap volatility.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено$350
99%
$360
96%
$370
83%
$380
46%
$390
13%
$598 Объем
$350
99%
$360
96%
$370
83%
$380
46%
$390
13%
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Открытие рынка: Mar 23, 2026, 8:00 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader sentiment on Polymarket tilts bearish for Tesla (TSLA) closing above key thresholds like $170 on March 24, driven primarily by Q1 delivery figures that missed estimates at 386,810 vehicles—a 9% year-over-year decline—amid softening EV demand, China competition, and high interest rates curbing consumer borrowing. Shares have shed 35% YTD, trading near $170 intraday, with implied probabilities reflecting trader consensus around 40-50% for upside breaches based on real-money positioning. Upcoming catalysts include March 28 Q1 earnings, where margins face scrutiny from price cuts, and FOMC signals on rate cuts; a close above $175 would signal bullish reversal, but historical post-delivery fades suggest caution amid $2.5T market cap volatility.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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