Tesla shares closed near $311 on July 31 after Q2 results showed revenue beating estimates at $28.24 billion while adjusted EPS of $0.33 missed forecasts, pressuring margins and turning free cash flow negative amid heavy spending on Robotaxi, Optimus, and Cybercab initiatives. This mixed performance, combined with reduced regulatory credit income and operating margin compression to 1.4%, has elevated near-term volatility expectations for the Aug 3-7 trading week. With current levels clustered around multiple 49-49.5% probability bins from $310-$330 and below, trader consensus reflects uncertainty over whether momentum from record deliveries and energy storage growth can offset valuation concerns and broader EV sector headwinds before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$300-$305 50%
$320-$325 50%
<$285 49%
$285-$290 49%
<$285
49%
$285-$290
49%
$290-$295
49%
$295-$300
48%
$300-$305
50%
$305-$310
49%
$310-$315
48%
$315-$320
49%
$320-$325
50%
$325-$330
49%
>$330
48%
$300-$305 50%
$320-$325 50%
<$285 49%
$285-$290 49%
<$285
49%
$285-$290
49%
$290-$295
49%
$295-$300
48%
$300-$305
50%
$305-$310
49%
$310-$315
48%
$315-$320
49%
$320-$325
50%
$325-$330
49%
>$330
48%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD.
Открытие рынка: Jul 31, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSDResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD.
Источник определения исхода
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Tesla shares closed near $311 on July 31 after Q2 results showed revenue beating estimates at $28.24 billion while adjusted EPS of $0.33 missed forecasts, pressuring margins and turning free cash flow negative amid heavy spending on Robotaxi, Optimus, and Cybercab initiatives. This mixed performance, combined with reduced regulatory credit income and operating margin compression to 1.4%, has elevated near-term volatility expectations for the Aug 3-7 trading week. With current levels clustered around multiple 49-49.5% probability bins from $310-$330 and below, trader consensus reflects uncertainty over whether momentum from record deliveries and energy storage growth can offset valuation concerns and broader EV sector headwinds before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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