Recent weakness in Tesla shares, with closes between $415.88 and $423.70 in the first three sessions of the week, has anchored trader sentiment around a sub-$420 finish. Mixed developments, including expanded Austin robotaxi operations offset by intensifying competition from Waymo and softer resale values for Model Y, have weighed on momentum while broader EV sales data and legal matters add uncertainty. With no major catalysts scheduled before Friday’s close and the stock hovering near current levels, the 56% implied probability on a sub-$420 outcome captures the market’s assessment of contained upside in the near term.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено<$420 52%
$425-$430 21%
$420-$425 17%
>$465 9.5%
<$420
65%
$420-$425
25%
$425-$430
21%
$430-$435
8%
$435-$440
7%
$440-$445
6%
$445-$450
6%
$450-$455
6%
$455-$460
6%
$460-$465
6%
>$465
10%
<$420 52%
$425-$430 21%
$420-$425 17%
>$465 9.5%
<$420
65%
$420-$425
25%
$425-$430
21%
$430-$435
8%
$435-$440
7%
$440-$445
6%
$445-$450
6%
$450-$455
6%
$455-$460
6%
$460-$465
6%
>$465
10%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Открытие рынка: May 29, 2026, 6:03 PM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Источник определения исхода
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent weakness in Tesla shares, with closes between $415.88 and $423.70 in the first three sessions of the week, has anchored trader sentiment around a sub-$420 finish. Mixed developments, including expanded Austin robotaxi operations offset by intensifying competition from Waymo and softer resale values for Model Y, have weighed on momentum while broader EV sales data and legal matters add uncertainty. With no major catalysts scheduled before Friday’s close and the stock hovering near current levels, the 56% implied probability on a sub-$420 outcome captures the market’s assessment of contained upside in the near term.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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