Avengers: Doomsday leads trader sentiment at 73% implied probability due to its December 18 holiday release window, massive MCU crossover appeal featuring Robert Downey Jr. as Doctor Doom alongside X-Men and Fantastic Four elements, and pre-sale figures already doubling prior benchmarks like Deadpool & Wolverine. This positions the Russo brothers-directed tentpole for a potential record domestic debut exceeding $300 million amid peak seasonal demand. Spider-Man: Brand New Day trails at 25% after its strong July 31 opening with $74.5 million in previews and $900 million-plus global tracking, yet faces a shorter 2026 window for accumulation. Toy Story 5, The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping, and Dune: Messiah register minimal shares, reflecting more limited scale, earlier or directly competitive slots, and historical franchise ceilings compared to Avengers-level events.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоWhich movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
Avengers: Doomsday 73%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 25%
Toy Story 5 1.1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping <1%
$38,667 Объем
$38,667 Объем
Avengers: Doomsday
73%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
25%
Toy Story 5
1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
<1%
Dune: Messiah
<1%
Avengers: Doomsday 73%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 25%
Toy Story 5 1.1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping <1%
$38,667 Объем
$38,667 Объем
Avengers: Doomsday
73%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
25%
Toy Story 5
1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
<1%
Dune: Messiah
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Открытие рынка: Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Avengers: Doomsday leads trader sentiment at 73% implied probability due to its December 18 holiday release window, massive MCU crossover appeal featuring Robert Downey Jr. as Doctor Doom alongside X-Men and Fantastic Four elements, and pre-sale figures already doubling prior benchmarks like Deadpool & Wolverine. This positions the Russo brothers-directed tentpole for a potential record domestic debut exceeding $300 million amid peak seasonal demand. Spider-Man: Brand New Day trails at 25% after its strong July 31 opening with $74.5 million in previews and $900 million-plus global tracking, yet faces a shorter 2026 window for accumulation. Toy Story 5, The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping, and Dune: Messiah register minimal shares, reflecting more limited scale, earlier or directly competitive slots, and historical franchise ceilings compared to Avengers-level events.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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