Avengers: Doomsday leads trader sentiment at 63.5% implied probability due to its record domestic presales exceeding $50 million three months before the December 18 release, driven by strong trailer performance and Avengers-scale ensemble hype that outpaces typical tracking. This positions the MCU tentpole for a potential $260–300 million domestic opening, leveraging holiday timing and crossover appeal despite sharing the weekend with Dune: Messiah. Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s 36.5% reflects its actual $360 million July debut—the year’s largest so far—but traders see limited upside for it to remain the annual leader. The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping and Dune: Messiah sit near 0.1% each, as their November and December slots lack comparable presale momentum or franchise event status. Key upcoming catalysts include further presale updates and final tracking before year-end.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоWhich movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
Avengers: Doomsday 64%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 37%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping <1%
Dune: Messiah <1%
$172,196 Объем
$172,196 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Avengers: Doomsday
64%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
37%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
<1%
Dune: Messiah
<1%
Avengers: Doomsday 64%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 37%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping <1%
Dune: Messiah <1%
$172,196 Объем
$172,196 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Avengers: Doomsday
$76,391 Объем
64%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
$62,870 Объем
37%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
$3,404 Объем
<1%
Dune: Messiah
$3,728 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Avengers: Doomsday leads trader sentiment at 63.5% implied probability due to its record domestic presales exceeding $50 million three months before the December 18 release, driven by strong trailer performance and Avengers-scale ensemble hype that outpaces typical tracking. This positions the MCU tentpole for a potential $260–300 million domestic opening, leveraging holiday timing and crossover appeal despite sharing the weekend with Dune: Messiah. Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s 36.5% reflects its actual $360 million July debut—the year’s largest so far—but traders see limited upside for it to remain the annual leader. The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping and Dune: Messiah sit near 0.1% each, as their November and December slots lack comparable presale momentum or franchise event status. Key upcoming catalysts include further presale updates and final tracking before year-end.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Открытие рынка: Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ET
Объем
$172,196Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Avengers: Doomsday leads trader sentiment at 63.5% implied probability due to its record domestic presales exceeding $50 million three months before the December 18 release, driven by strong trailer performance and Avengers-scale ensemble hype that outpaces typical tracking. This positions the MCU tentpole for a potential $260–300 million domestic opening, leveraging holiday timing and crossover appeal despite sharing the weekend with Dune: Messiah. Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s 36.5% reflects its actual $360 million July debut—the year’s largest so far—but traders see limited upside for it to remain the annual leader. The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping and Dune: Messiah sit near 0.1% each, as their November and December slots lack comparable presale momentum or franchise event status. Key upcoming catalysts include further presale updates and final tracking before year-end.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Объем
$172,196Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Avengers: Doomsday leads trader sentiment at 63.5% implied probability due to its record domestic presales exceeding $50 million three months before the December 18 release, driven by strong trailer performance and Avengers-scale ensemble hype that outpaces typical tracking. This positions the MCU tentpole for a potential $260–300 million domestic opening, leveraging holiday timing and crossover appeal despite sharing the weekend with Dune: Messiah. Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s 36.5% reflects its actual $360 million July debut—the year’s largest so far—but traders see limited upside for it to remain the annual leader. The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping and Dune: Messiah sit near 0.1% each, as their November and December slots lack comparable presale momentum or franchise event status. Key upcoming catalysts include further presale updates and final tracking before year-end.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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