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icon for Кого арестуют до 2027 года?
Политика·Джеймс Коми

Кого арестуют до 2027 года?

icon for Кого арестуют до 2027 года?
Политика·Джеймс Коми

Кого арестуют до 2027 года?

$424,613 Объем

Polymarket

$424,613 Объем

Polymarket

Энтони Фаучи

$167,175 Объем

8%

Джон Бреннан

$25,408 Объем

24%

Хосе Луис Родригес Сапатеро

$23,915 Объем

13%

Адам Шифф

$17,036 Объем

3%

Барак Обама

$29,681 Объем

2%

Джеймс Коми

$10,852 Объем

8%

Махмуд Халиль

$1,385 Объем

18%

Джеймс Клэппер

$8,469 Объем

12%

Летишия Джеймс

$4,399 Объем

8%

Хиллари Клинтон

$26,360 Объем

2%

Билл Клинтон

$2,889 Объем

1%

Лоретта Линч

$2,411 Объем

8%

Сьюзан Райс

$304 Объем

9%

Кэндис Оуэнс

$288 Объем

6%

Гэвин Ньюсом

$39,441 Объем

3%

Биньямин Нетаньяху

$1,949 Объем

5%

Джон Керри

$503 Объем

1%

Пэм Бонди

$2,189 Объем

2%

Том Хоман

$42,112 Объем

4%

Каш Патель

$607 Объем

1%

Брэндон Джонсон

$3,290 Объем

10%

Лиза Кук

$4,042 Объем

3%

Ли Джун Сок

$794 Объем

11%

Джо Байден

$9,115 Объем

1%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ongoing federal investigations into former intelligence and administration officials continue to shape trader assessments in this multi-outcome market. Leading contracts center on figures such as John Brennan and James Comey, where active grand jury proceedings and related subpoenas provide the primary basis for elevated implied probabilities. Resolution requires a qualifying arrest or detention by December 31, 2026, including voluntary surrender following indictment. No major new indictments or enforcement actions have resolved any contracts in recent weeks, leaving probabilities anchored to the pace of Department of Justice reviews and any scheduled court developments through the remainder of the year. Historical patterns of prosecutorial timelines for similar cases inform the current trader consensus reflected in pricing.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring

The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$424,613
Открытие рынка
Apr 30, 2026, 5:49 PM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ongoing federal investigations into former intelligence and administration officials continue to shape trader assessments in this multi-outcome market. Leading contracts center on figures such as John Brennan and James Comey, where active grand jury proceedings and related subpoenas provide the primary basis for elevated implied probabilities. Resolution requires a qualifying arrest or detention by December 31, 2026, including voluntary surrender following indictment. No major new indictments or enforcement actions have resolved any contracts in recent weeks, leaving probabilities anchored to the pace of Department of Justice reviews and any scheduled court developments through the remainder of the year. Historical patterns of prosecutorial timelines for similar cases inform the current trader consensus reflected in pricing.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring

The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$424,613
Открытие рынка
Apr 30, 2026, 5:49 PM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x65070BE91...

Связанные

icon for Обама арестован до 2027 года?

Обама арестован до 2027 года?

3%
Да
icon for Будет ли арестован Хосе Луис Родригес Сапатеро до 31 декабря 2026 года?

Будет ли арестован Хосе Луис Родригес Сапатеро до 31 декабря 2026 года?

13%
Да
icon for Ли Чжэ Мён будет арестован до 2027 года?

Ли Чжэ Мён будет арестован до 2027 года?

7%
Да

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Кого арестуют до 2027 года?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 24 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Джон Бреннан» с 24%, за ним следует «Махмуд Халиль» с 18%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 24¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 24%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Кого арестуют до 2027 года?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $424.6K с момента запуска рынка Apr 30, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Кого арестуют до 2027 года?», просмотри 24 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Кого арестуют до 2027 года?» — «Джон Бреннан» с 24%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 24%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Махмуд Халиль» с 18%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Кого арестуют до 2027 года?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.