President Trump has publicly dismissed Mojtaba Khamenei, appointed Iran's Supreme Leader after his father Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's death in late February 2026 US-Israel strikes, as a "lightweight" unfit to lead and possibly dead or incapacitated, repeatedly stating in March interviews that he questions Khamenei's authority and visibility. Amid ongoing military actions, including threats to Iranian power plants and Strait of Hormuz tensions, Trump announced indirect US talks with an unnamed "top respected" Iranian figure via envoys like Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner, framing them as steps toward regime change rather than direct engagement with Khamenei. A former Trump official reiterated on April 15 that Khamenei holds no real power. Traders reflect low odds on direct Trump-Khamenei contact by June 30 due to these public rejections and preference for backchannel diplomacy, with a second round of negotiations possibly imminent.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПоговорит ли Трамп с Мойтабой Хаменеи...?
Поговорит ли Трамп с Мойтабой Хаменеи...?
$355,223 Объем
30 апреля
1%
30 июня
6%
$355,223 Объем
30 апреля
1%
30 июня
6%
A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Mar 25, 2026, 4:44 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump has publicly dismissed Mojtaba Khamenei, appointed Iran's Supreme Leader after his father Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's death in late February 2026 US-Israel strikes, as a "lightweight" unfit to lead and possibly dead or incapacitated, repeatedly stating in March interviews that he questions Khamenei's authority and visibility. Amid ongoing military actions, including threats to Iranian power plants and Strait of Hormuz tensions, Trump announced indirect US talks with an unnamed "top respected" Iranian figure via envoys like Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner, framing them as steps toward regime change rather than direct engagement with Khamenei. A former Trump official reiterated on April 15 that Khamenei holds no real power. Traders reflect low odds on direct Trump-Khamenei contact by June 30 due to these public rejections and preference for backchannel diplomacy, with a second round of negotiations possibly imminent.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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