Tom Tiffany’s commanding 95% implied probability in the Wisconsin Republican primary for governor stems primarily from his January 2026 endorsement by President Donald Trump and the subsequent state party endorsement, which consolidated support among party leaders and donors. As the sitting U.S. representative for the 7th district with prior state legislative experience, Tiffany benefits from high name recognition and a largely cleared field after multiple potential rivals, including Josh Schoemann and Eric Hovde, withdrew or declined to run. Only Andy Manske remains on the August 11 ballot as a long-shot challenger. The August primary timeline leaves limited room for late developments such as unexpected health events or major scandals to shift trader consensus before voters decide.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоТом Тиффани 98.8%
Джош Шоэман <1%
Эрик Ховде <1%
Тим Майклс <1%
$91,145 Объем
$91,145 Объем
Том Тиффани
99%
Джош Шоэман
<1%
Эрик Ховде
<1%
Тим Майклс
<1%
Шон Даффи
<1%
Ребекка Клифиш
<1%
Томми Томпсон
<1%
Энди Мэнске
<1%
Том Тиффани 98.8%
Джош Шоэман <1%
Эрик Ховде <1%
Тим Майклс <1%
$91,145 Объем
$91,145 Объем
Том Тиффани
99%
Джош Шоэман
<1%
Эрик Ховде
<1%
Тим Майклс
<1%
Шон Даффи
<1%
Ребекка Клифиш
<1%
Томми Томпсон
<1%
Энди Мэнске
<1%
If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Открытие рынка: Dec 11, 2025, 10:40 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tom Tiffany’s commanding 95% implied probability in the Wisconsin Republican primary for governor stems primarily from his January 2026 endorsement by President Donald Trump and the subsequent state party endorsement, which consolidated support among party leaders and donors. As the sitting U.S. representative for the 7th district with prior state legislative experience, Tiffany benefits from high name recognition and a largely cleared field after multiple potential rivals, including Josh Schoemann and Eric Hovde, withdrew or declined to run. Only Andy Manske remains on the August 11 ballot as a long-shot challenger. The August primary timeline leaves limited room for late developments such as unexpected health events or major scandals to shift trader consensus before voters decide.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСвязанные
Победит ли Франческа Хонг на праймериз Демократической партии на пост губернатора Висконсина в 2026 году?
Выиграет ли Лиза Демут предварительные выборы Республиканской партии на пост губернатора Миннесоты в 2026 году?
Выиграет ли Меган Дегенфельдер праймериз Республиканской партии на выборах губернатора Вайоминга в 2026 году?
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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