Early group-stage results and fixture difficulty have shaped trader views on the lowest-finishing UEFA side at the 2026 World Cup, with implied probabilities reflecting recent form and group contexts. Czechia and Türkiye opened with defeats—1-2 to South Korea and 0-2 to Australia—while Portugal managed only a 1-1 draw against DR Congo and Norway sits alongside France in Group I despite a 4-1 win over Iraq. Several other sides, including Bosnia and Herzegovina and Switzerland, collected just one point from their openers in balanced groups, leaving room for further slippage. Stronger UEFA teams have posted convincing victories, widening the gap in early standings and underscoring why mid-tier or struggling nations lead market pricing for the worst outcome.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоCzechia 100.0%
Bosnia and Herzegovina 11%
Austria 7.9%
Croatia 7.6%
$17,923 Объем
$17,923 Объем
3 авг. 2026 г.
Austria
No
Belgium
No
Bosnia and Herzegovina
No
Croatia
No
Czechia
Yes
England
No
France
No
Germany
No
Netherlands
No
Norway
No
Portugal
No
Scotland
No
Spain
No
Sweden
No
Switzerland
No
Türkiye
No
Czechia 100.0%
Bosnia and Herzegovina 11%
Austria 7.9%
Croatia 7.6%
$17,923 Объем
$17,923 Объем
3 авг. 2026 г.
Austria
$887 Объем
No
Belgium
$2,978 Объем
No
Bosnia and Herzegovina
$361 Объем
No
Croatia
$511 Объем
No
Czechia
$1,147 Объем
Yes
England
$763 Объем
No
France
$359 Объем
No
Germany
$1,182 Объем
No
Netherlands
$767 Объем
No
Norway
$786 Объем
No
Portugal
$943 Объем
No
Scotland
$1,310 Объем
No
Spain
$1,607 Объем
No
Sweden
$2,025 Объем
No
Switzerland
$1,387 Объем
No
Türkiye
$908 Объем
No
This market will resolve in favor of the nation in UEFA (Europe) that is eliminated at the earliest stage (places lowest) in the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that recorded fewer total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that scored fewer total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that conceded more total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the worst-placed UEFA nation cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Early group-stage results and fixture difficulty have shaped trader views on the lowest-finishing UEFA side at the 2026 World Cup, with implied probabilities reflecting recent form and group contexts. Czechia and Türkiye opened with defeats—1-2 to South Korea and 0-2 to Australia—while Portugal managed only a 1-1 draw against DR Congo and Norway sits alongside France in Group I despite a 4-1 win over Iraq. Several other sides, including Bosnia and Herzegovina and Switzerland, collected just one point from their openers in balanced groups, leaving room for further slippage. Stronger UEFA teams have posted convincing victories, widening the gap in early standings and underscoring why mid-tier or struggling nations lead market pricing for the worst outcome.
This market will resolve in favor of the nation in UEFA (Europe) that is eliminated at the earliest stage (places lowest) in the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that recorded fewer total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that scored fewer total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that conceded more total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the worst-placed UEFA nation cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that recorded fewer total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that scored fewer total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that conceded more total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the worst-placed UEFA nation cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jun 5, 2026, 7:04 PM ET
Объем
$17,923Дата окончания
3 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 5, 2026, 7:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve in favor of the nation in UEFA (Europe) that is eliminated at the earliest stage (places lowest) in the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that recorded fewer total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that scored fewer total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that conceded more total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the worst-placed UEFA nation cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Early group-stage results and fixture difficulty have shaped trader views on the lowest-finishing UEFA side at the 2026 World Cup, with implied probabilities reflecting recent form and group contexts. Czechia and Türkiye opened with defeats—1-2 to South Korea and 0-2 to Australia—while Portugal managed only a 1-1 draw against DR Congo and Norway sits alongside France in Group I despite a 4-1 win over Iraq. Several other sides, including Bosnia and Herzegovina and Switzerland, collected just one point from their openers in balanced groups, leaving room for further slippage. Stronger UEFA teams have posted convincing victories, widening the gap in early standings and underscoring why mid-tier or struggling nations lead market pricing for the worst outcome.
This market will resolve in favor of the nation in UEFA (Europe) that is eliminated at the earliest stage (places lowest) in the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that recorded fewer total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that scored fewer total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that conceded more total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the worst-placed UEFA nation cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that recorded fewer total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that scored fewer total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that conceded more total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the worst-placed UEFA nation cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$17,923Дата окончания
3 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 5, 2026, 7:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Early group-stage results and fixture difficulty have shaped trader views on the lowest-finishing UEFA side at the 2026 World Cup, with implied probabilities reflecting recent form and group contexts. Czechia and Türkiye opened with defeats—1-2 to South Korea and 0-2 to Australia—while Portugal managed only a 1-1 draw against DR Congo and Norway sits alongside France in Group I despite a 4-1 win over Iraq. Several other sides, including Bosnia and Herzegovina and Switzerland, collected just one point from their openers in balanced groups, leaving room for further slippage. Stronger UEFA teams have posted convincing victories, widening the gap in early standings and underscoring why mid-tier or struggling nations lead market pricing for the worst outcome.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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