Anish Giri's commanding 100% implied probability in the Andrey Esipenko vs. Anish Giri FIDE Candidates 2026 Open Round 4 market reflects his decisive victory, as Esipenko resigned after a critical blunder on move 18.Qxd3, allowing Giri's precise 18...Ba4! to seize a winning advantage in the freestyle format starting from Position #104. This marks Giri's first win in the tournament, boosting him after earlier draws, while Esipenko slumped following a Round 3 loss to leader Javokhir Sindarov. Giri's higher rating (2753 vs. Esipenko's 2698) and superior form against a faltering opponent drove traders to price the outcome as virtually certain, with minimal paths to reversal barring an unprecedented scoring dispute.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAll Sports
MLB
UFC
All
Liga MX
Club Friendlies
MLS
Copa do Brasil
Categoría Primera A
K League 2
Eliteserien
Bolivian Primera División
Primera Nacional
LigaPro Serie A
SuperLiga
Chinese Super League
Allsvenskan
Brasileirão Série A
NWSL
Slovenia PrvaLiga
Brasileirão Série B
Premium Liiga
UCL
Uruguayan Primera División
Liga 1
K League 1
Ukrainian Premier League
League of Ireland Premier Division
UEL
Ekstraklasa
USL Championship
UEFA Conference League
OBOS-ligaen
Liga FPD
efbet Liga
USL League One
Virslīga
Prva Liga
Besta deild karla
NB I
Liga de Primera
Uzbekistan Super League
Scottish Premiership
Danish Superliga
Veikkausliiga
Liga Nacional de Guatemala
China League One
South Africa Premiership
Superettan
Eredivisie
Primera B (Chile)
Copa Sudamericana
Niké liga
Serbian SuperLiga
Scotland League Cup
ÖFB Cup
Categoría Primera B
Kazakhstan Premier League
Copa Libertadores
Leagues Cup
Betri deildin
Women's Champions League
2. Bundesliga
A Lyga
Primeira Liga
LaLiga
Austria Bundesliga
Australia Cup
TFF Süper Kupa
Saudi Pro League
Ligue 2
Swiss Super League
National League
J1 League
J2 League
Chance Liga
Eerste Divisie
Premier League
Bundesliga
Ligue 1
Serie A
Liga Profesional de Fútbol
EFL CUP
EFL Championship
Süper Lig
Coppa Italia
League One
League Two
Scottish Cup
Venezuelan Primera División
Belgium Pro League
LaLiga2
Portugal Super Cup
Hockey
Cycling
Poker
Chess
Pickleball
Volleyball
Esports
Andrey Esipenko – Anish Giri
Moneyline
$5.0K Vol.
If Anish Giri wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Mar 31, 2026, 11:56 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://lichess.org/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Andrey Esipenko – Anish Giri
Moneyline
$5.0K Vol.
If Anish Giri wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Mar 31, 2026, 11:56 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://lichess.org/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Anish Giri's commanding 100% implied probability in the Andrey Esipenko vs. Anish Giri FIDE Candidates 2026 Open Round 4 market reflects his decisive victory, as Esipenko resigned after a critical blunder on move 18.Qxd3, allowing Giri's precise 18...Ba4! to seize a winning advantage in the freestyle format starting from Position #104. This marks Giri's first win in the tournament, boosting him after earlier draws, while Esipenko slumped following a Round 3 loss to leader Javokhir Sindarov. Giri's higher rating (2753 vs. Esipenko's 2698) and superior form against a faltering opponent drove traders to price the outcome as virtually certain, with minimal paths to reversal barring an unprecedented scoring dispute.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedBeware of external links.
Beware of external links.


Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions