In this pivotal Ligue 2 promotion showdown at Stade Geoffroy-Guichard, trader consensus reflects a razor-thin contest between table-topping ES Troyes AC (58 points from 29 matches) and second-placed AS Saint-Étienne (54 points), with all outcomes priced at 50% implied probability. Saint-Étienne's recent 3-2 away win over Troyes in November 2025, combined with home advantage and a clearing injury list—Gautier Larsonneur back in goal, Mahmoud Jaber selectable after nine weeks out, and João Ferreira resuming full training—bolsters their challenge. Troyes maintain momentum as leaders with strong recent form, but face a stern test in the title race, where both sides' defensive solidity and attacking output keep the draw viable amid high stakes for automatic promotion.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedIf AS Saint-Étienne wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Apr 12, 2026, 3:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.ligue2.fr/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If AS Saint-Étienne wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Apr 12, 2026, 3:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.ligue2.fr/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In this pivotal Ligue 2 promotion showdown at Stade Geoffroy-Guichard, trader consensus reflects a razor-thin contest between table-topping ES Troyes AC (58 points from 29 matches) and second-placed AS Saint-Étienne (54 points), with all outcomes priced at 50% implied probability. Saint-Étienne's recent 3-2 away win over Troyes in November 2025, combined with home advantage and a clearing injury list—Gautier Larsonneur back in goal, Mahmoud Jaber selectable after nine weeks out, and João Ferreira resuming full training—bolsters their challenge. Troyes maintain momentum as leaders with strong recent form, but face a stern test in the title race, where both sides' defensive solidity and attacking output keep the draw viable amid high stakes for automatic promotion.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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