Daniel Michalski enters the M15 Krakow semifinal as the clear market favorite due to his ATP ranking near 330 and consistent recent results on Polish clay, including straight-set victories over Nikola Keremedchiev and Lorenzo Berto earlier in the week. The 26-year-old right-hander has shown strong form across ITF and challenger events, leveraging greater match experience and physical maturity. Jan Sadzik, an 18-year-old ranked near 1797, reaches his first notable semifinal after limited success in prior M15 events and carries far less professional seasoning. Both players are Polish, but the significant gap in ranking, recent win rates, and head-to-head history drives trader consensus toward Michalski while leaving room for standard ITF variability such as fatigue or surface adaptation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated4h 44m 9s
Aug 22·12:00 PM
D. Michalski-
J. Sadzik-
$45.00 Vol.
NEW
This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Michalski and Jan Sadzik in the ITF M15 Krakow Men, originally scheduled for August 22, 2026 at 8:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Daniel Michalski' if Daniel Michalski advances against Jan Sadzik.
This market will resolve to 'Jan Sadzik' if Jan Sadzik advances against Daniel Michalski.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Michalski and Jan Sadzik in the ITF M15 Krakow Men, originally scheduled for August 22, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if all games and sets required to determine a match winner under governing body or event organizer rules are played to completion through normal play. Otherwise, if the match is not completed for any reason, it will resolve to "No." If a forfeit of any kind occurs, including but not limited to a walkover or retirement, this market will resolve "No." If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Michalski and Jan Sadzik in the ITF M15 Krakow Men, originally scheduled for August 22, 2026 at 8:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Michalski" if Daniel Michalski wins by 2 or more sets than Jan Sadzik, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Sadzik."
If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by September 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official ITF results.This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Michalski and Jan Sadzik in the ITF M15 Krakow Men, originally scheduled for August 22, 2026 at 8:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to “Michalski” if Daniel Michalski wins set 2. It will resolve to “Sadzik” if Jan Sadzik wins set 2.
If the match begins but set 2 is not completed with a winner determined (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50.
If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by September 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official ITF match statistics.This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Michalski and Jan Sadzik in the ITF M15 Krakow Men, originally scheduled for August 22, 2026 at 8:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to “Michalski” if Daniel Michalski wins the first set. It will resolve to “Sadzik” if Jan Sadzik wins the first set.
If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by September 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official ITF match statistics.This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Michalski and Jan Sadzik in the ITF M15 Krakow Men, originally scheduled for August 22, 2026 at 8:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of sets completed equals or exceeds 3. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." A super tie breaker is considered as one (1) set.
If the match is postponed or suspended, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. A postponement alone will not trigger a 50-50 resolution.
If the match is permanently abandoned before completion, or if the match has not been completed by September 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official ITF statistics; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Michalski and Jan Sadzik in the ITF M15 Krakow Men, originally scheduled for August 22, 2026 at 8:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed equals or exceeds 22. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks, including any Champions/Super tiebreak, count as one (1) game.
If the match is postponed or suspended, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. A postponement alone will not trigger a 50-50 resolution.
If the match is permanently abandoned before completion, or if the match has not been completed by September 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official ITF statistics; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market refers to the tennis match between Jan Sadzik and Daniel Michalski in the ITF M15 Krakow Men, originally scheduled for August 22, 2026 at 8:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Sadzik" if Jan Sadzik wins by 2 or more sets than Daniel Michalski, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Michalski."
If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by September 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official ITF results.This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Michalski and Jan Sadzik in the ITF M15 Krakow Men, originally scheduled for August 22, 2026 at 8:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed equals or exceeds 23. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks, including any Champions/Super tiebreak, count as one (1) game.
If the match is postponed or suspended, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. A postponement alone will not trigger a 50-50 resolution.
If the match is permanently abandoned before completion, or if the match has not been completed by September 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official ITF statistics; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Michalski and Jan Sadzik in the ITF M15 Krakow Men, originally scheduled for August 22, 2026 at 8:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed equals or exceeds 24. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks, including any Champions/Super tiebreak, count as one (1) game.
If the match is postponed or suspended, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. A postponement alone will not trigger a 50-50 resolution.
If the match is permanently abandoned before completion, or if the match has not been completed by September 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official ITF statistics; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Michalski and Jan Sadzik in the ITF M15 Krakow Men, originally scheduled for August 22, 2026 at 8:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in set 2 equals or exceeds 9. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
Any tiebreak in set 2 counts as one (1) game toward the total.
If set 2 is not completed for any reason (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or play has not begun by September 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official ITF results.This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Michalski and Jan Sadzik in the ITF M15 Krakow Men, originally scheduled for August 22, 2026 at 8:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 9. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total.
If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or play has not begun by September 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official ITF results.This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Michalski and Jan Sadzik in the ITF M15 Krakow Men, originally scheduled for August 22, 2026 at 8:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in set 2 equals or exceeds 10. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
Any tiebreak in set 2 counts as one (1) game toward the total.
If set 2 is not completed for any reason (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or play has not begun by September 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official ITF results.This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Michalski and Jan Sadzik in the ITF M15 Krakow Men, originally scheduled for August 22, 2026 at 8:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 10. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total.
If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or play has not begun by September 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official ITF results.This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Michalski and Jan Sadzik in the ITF M15 Krakow Men, originally scheduled for August 22, 2026 at 8:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in set 2 equals or exceeds 11. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
Any tiebreak in set 2 counts as one (1) game toward the total.
If set 2 is not completed for any reason (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or play has not begun by September 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official ITF results.This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Michalski and Jan Sadzik in the ITF M15 Krakow Men, originally scheduled for August 22, 2026 at 8:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 11. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total.
If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or play has not begun by September 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official ITF results.Daniel Michalski enters the M15 Krakow semifinal as the clear market favorite due to his ATP ranking near 330 and consistent recent results on Polish clay, including straight-set victories over Nikola Keremedchiev and Lorenzo Berto earlier in the week. The 26-year-old right-hander has shown strong form across ITF and challenger events, leveraging greater match experience and physical maturity. Jan Sadzik, an 18-year-old ranked near 1797, reaches his first notable semifinal after limited success in prior M15 events and carries far less professional seasoning. Both players are Polish, but the significant gap in ranking, recent win rates, and head-to-head history drives trader consensus toward Michalski while leaving room for standard ITF variability such as fatigue or surface adaptation.
This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Michalski and Jan Sadzik in the ITF M15 Krakow Men, originally scheduled for August 22, 2026 at 8:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Daniel Michalski' if Daniel Michalski advances against Jan Sadzik.
This market will resolve to 'Jan Sadzik' if Jan Sadzik advances against Daniel Michalski.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to 'Daniel Michalski' if Daniel Michalski advances against Jan Sadzik.
This market will resolve to 'Jan Sadzik' if Jan Sadzik advances against Daniel Michalski.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 8:14 PM ET
Volume
$45End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 8:14 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/Resolver
0x65070BE91...4h 44m 9s
Aug 22·12:00 PM
D. Michalski-
J. Sadzik-
$45.00 Vol.
NEW
This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Michalski and Jan Sadzik in the ITF M15 Krakow Men, originally scheduled for August 22, 2026 at 8:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Daniel Michalski' if Daniel Michalski advances against Jan Sadzik.
This market will resolve to 'Jan Sadzik' if Jan Sadzik advances against Daniel Michalski.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Michalski and Jan Sadzik in the ITF M15 Krakow Men, originally scheduled for August 22, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if all games and sets required to determine a match winner under governing body or event organizer rules are played to completion through normal play. Otherwise, if the match is not completed for any reason, it will resolve to "No." If a forfeit of any kind occurs, including but not limited to a walkover or retirement, this market will resolve "No." If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Michalski and Jan Sadzik in the ITF M15 Krakow Men, originally scheduled for August 22, 2026 at 8:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Michalski" if Daniel Michalski wins by 2 or more sets than Jan Sadzik, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Sadzik."
If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by September 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official ITF results.This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Michalski and Jan Sadzik in the ITF M15 Krakow Men, originally scheduled for August 22, 2026 at 8:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to “Michalski” if Daniel Michalski wins set 2. It will resolve to “Sadzik” if Jan Sadzik wins set 2.
If the match begins but set 2 is not completed with a winner determined (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50.
If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by September 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official ITF match statistics.This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Michalski and Jan Sadzik in the ITF M15 Krakow Men, originally scheduled for August 22, 2026 at 8:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to “Michalski” if Daniel Michalski wins the first set. It will resolve to “Sadzik” if Jan Sadzik wins the first set.
If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by September 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official ITF match statistics.This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Michalski and Jan Sadzik in the ITF M15 Krakow Men, originally scheduled for August 22, 2026 at 8:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of sets completed equals or exceeds 3. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." A super tie breaker is considered as one (1) set.
If the match is postponed or suspended, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. A postponement alone will not trigger a 50-50 resolution.
If the match is permanently abandoned before completion, or if the match has not been completed by September 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official ITF statistics; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Michalski and Jan Sadzik in the ITF M15 Krakow Men, originally scheduled for August 22, 2026 at 8:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed equals or exceeds 22. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks, including any Champions/Super tiebreak, count as one (1) game.
If the match is postponed or suspended, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. A postponement alone will not trigger a 50-50 resolution.
If the match is permanently abandoned before completion, or if the match has not been completed by September 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official ITF statistics; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market refers to the tennis match between Jan Sadzik and Daniel Michalski in the ITF M15 Krakow Men, originally scheduled for August 22, 2026 at 8:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Sadzik" if Jan Sadzik wins by 2 or more sets than Daniel Michalski, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Michalski."
If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by September 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official ITF results.This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Michalski and Jan Sadzik in the ITF M15 Krakow Men, originally scheduled for August 22, 2026 at 8:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed equals or exceeds 23. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks, including any Champions/Super tiebreak, count as one (1) game.
If the match is postponed or suspended, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. A postponement alone will not trigger a 50-50 resolution.
If the match is permanently abandoned before completion, or if the match has not been completed by September 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official ITF statistics; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Michalski and Jan Sadzik in the ITF M15 Krakow Men, originally scheduled for August 22, 2026 at 8:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed equals or exceeds 24. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks, including any Champions/Super tiebreak, count as one (1) game.
If the match is postponed or suspended, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. A postponement alone will not trigger a 50-50 resolution.
If the match is permanently abandoned before completion, or if the match has not been completed by September 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official ITF statistics; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Michalski and Jan Sadzik in the ITF M15 Krakow Men, originally scheduled for August 22, 2026 at 8:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in set 2 equals or exceeds 9. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
Any tiebreak in set 2 counts as one (1) game toward the total.
If set 2 is not completed for any reason (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or play has not begun by September 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official ITF results.This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Michalski and Jan Sadzik in the ITF M15 Krakow Men, originally scheduled for August 22, 2026 at 8:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 9. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total.
If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or play has not begun by September 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official ITF results.This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Michalski and Jan Sadzik in the ITF M15 Krakow Men, originally scheduled for August 22, 2026 at 8:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in set 2 equals or exceeds 10. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
Any tiebreak in set 2 counts as one (1) game toward the total.
If set 2 is not completed for any reason (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or play has not begun by September 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official ITF results.This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Michalski and Jan Sadzik in the ITF M15 Krakow Men, originally scheduled for August 22, 2026 at 8:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 10. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total.
If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or play has not begun by September 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official ITF results.This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Michalski and Jan Sadzik in the ITF M15 Krakow Men, originally scheduled for August 22, 2026 at 8:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in set 2 equals or exceeds 11. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
Any tiebreak in set 2 counts as one (1) game toward the total.
If set 2 is not completed for any reason (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or play has not begun by September 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official ITF results.This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Michalski and Jan Sadzik in the ITF M15 Krakow Men, originally scheduled for August 22, 2026 at 8:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 11. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total.
If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or play has not begun by September 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official ITF results.Daniel Michalski enters the M15 Krakow semifinal as the clear market favorite due to his ATP ranking near 330 and consistent recent results on Polish clay, including straight-set victories over Nikola Keremedchiev and Lorenzo Berto earlier in the week. The 26-year-old right-hander has shown strong form across ITF and challenger events, leveraging greater match experience and physical maturity. Jan Sadzik, an 18-year-old ranked near 1797, reaches his first notable semifinal after limited success in prior M15 events and carries far less professional seasoning. Both players are Polish, but the significant gap in ranking, recent win rates, and head-to-head history drives trader consensus toward Michalski while leaving room for standard ITF variability such as fatigue or surface adaptation.
This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Michalski and Jan Sadzik in the ITF M15 Krakow Men, originally scheduled for August 22, 2026 at 8:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Daniel Michalski' if Daniel Michalski advances against Jan Sadzik.
This market will resolve to 'Jan Sadzik' if Jan Sadzik advances against Daniel Michalski.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to 'Daniel Michalski' if Daniel Michalski advances against Jan Sadzik.
This market will resolve to 'Jan Sadzik' if Jan Sadzik advances against Daniel Michalski.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 8:14 PM ET
Volume
$45End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 8:14 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Daniel Michalski enters the M15 Krakow semifinal as the clear market favorite due to his ATP ranking near 330 and consistent recent results on Polish clay, including straight-set victories over Nikola Keremedchiev and Lorenzo Berto earlier in the week. The 26-year-old right-hander has shown strong form across ITF and challenger events, leveraging greater match experience and physical maturity. Jan Sadzik, an 18-year-old ranked near 1797, reaches his first notable semifinal after limited success in prior M15 events and carries far less professional seasoning. Both players are Polish, but the significant gap in ranking, recent win rates, and head-to-head history drives trader consensus toward Michalski while leaving room for standard ITF variability such as fatigue or surface adaptation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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