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Sports·UFC

Allan Nascimento – Mitch Raposo

Polymarket
Allan Nascimento
Allan Nascimento
Split Decision
Mitch Raposo
Mitch Raposo
$1.05M Vol.Polymarket

Moneyline

$1.0M Vol.

Totals

$3.1K Vol.

Go the Distance?

$1.7K Vol.

Fight won by KO/TKO?

$5 Vol.

Nascimento to win by KO/TKO?

$10 Vol.

Raposo to win by KO/TKO?

$75 Vol.

Fight won by submission?

$1.5K Vol.

This market will resolve to "Allan Nascimento" if Allan Nascimento is officially declared the winner of the fight against Mitch Raposo at UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi, scheduled for June 20, 2026. It will resolve to "Mitch Raposo" if Mitch Raposo is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 4, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Allan Nascimento and Mitch Raposo at UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi, scheduled for June 20, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Draws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve "Yes." Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 4, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Allan Nascimento and Mitch Raposo at UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi, scheduled for June 20, 2026, ends by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 4, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Allan Nascimento defeats Mitch Raposo at UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi, scheduled for June 20, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 4, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mitch Raposo defeats Allan Nascimento at UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi, scheduled for June 20, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 4, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Allan Nascimento and Mitch Raposo at UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi, scheduled for June 20, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 4, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to "Over" if the fight between Allan Nascimento and Mitch Raposo at UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi, scheduled for June 20, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to "Under" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: "Over 0.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 1. "Under 0.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 1. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve "50-50." If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond July 4, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to "Over" if the fight between Allan Nascimento and Mitch Raposo at UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi, scheduled for June 20, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to "Under" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: "Over 1.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 2. "Under 1.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 2. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve "50-50." If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond July 4, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to "Over" if the fight between Allan Nascimento and Mitch Raposo at UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi, scheduled for June 20, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to "Under" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: "Over 2.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 3. "Under 2.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 3. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve "50-50." If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond July 4, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Allan Nascimento enters the June 20 UFC Fight Night prelims at the Apex with a 22-6 record and recent momentum from a second-round submission of Cody Durden plus a decision win over Jafel Filho. The Brazilian grappler from Chute Boxe relies heavily on his 15 career submissions. Mitch Raposo, 10-3, carries confidence from his first Octagon victory—a unanimous decision over Azat Maksum in October 2025—after earlier split-decision losses. The flyweight matchup was originally booked for April in Winnipeg but shifted to Las Vegas after Raposo’s illness forced a postponement, giving both fighters additional preparation time. Key factors include Nascimento’s experience edge and submission threat against Raposo’s improved striking and resilience on the feet.

This market will resolve to "Allan Nascimento" if Allan Nascimento is officially declared the winner of the fight against Mitch Raposo at UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi, scheduled for June 20, 2026.

It will resolve to "Mitch Raposo" if Mitch Raposo is officially declared the winner.

If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 4, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Volume
$1,045,591
End Date
Jun 21, 2026
Market Opened
May 30, 2026, 6:00 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.ufc.com/events

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Allan Nascimento" if Allan Nascimento is officially declared the winner of the fight against Mitch Raposo at UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi, scheduled for June 20, 2026. It will resolve to "Mitch Raposo" if Mitch Raposo is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 4, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

The “Raposo vs. Nascimento” market on Polymarket lets you trade on the outcome of the UFC game between the Mitch Raposo and the Allan Nascimento, scheduled for June 20, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET. The primary market is the moneyline — which team will win the game — where Raposo is currently priced at 100¢ (100% implied probability) and Nascimento at 0¢ (0%). Beyond the moneyline, sports markets on Polymarket may feature spreads, totals (over/under), and player props, giving you multiple ways to trade on this game. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Shares in the correct outcome pay out $1 each when the market resolves after the game ends.

As of now, the “Raposo vs. Nascimento” market has generated $1 million in total trading volume across all market types (moneyline, spreads, totals, and player props). This volume reflects active engagement from the Polymarket trading community, and a deeper pool of traders generally means more informative, reliable odds. You can track live price movements and trade on any market directly on this page.

To trade on “Raposo vs. Nascimento,” start by choosing the market type you want to trade: Moneyline (which team wins), Spreads (margin of victory), Totals (combined score over/under), or Player Props (individual player stat lines). Each market shows the current price for each side — for example, the moneyline shows MIT2 at 100¢ and ALL2 at 0¢. Select the side you want to trade, choose Buy to take a position or Sell to close an existing one, enter your amount, and click Trade. If your chosen side is correct when the game ends and the market resolves, your shares pay out $1 each. If it’s incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before the game ends to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current moneyline odds for “Raposo vs. Nascimento” show Mitch Raposo at 100¢ (100% implied probability) and Allan Nascimento at 0¢ (0%). All odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, reflecting the latest collective view of how this game will play out. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as game time approaches.

The “Raposo vs. Nascimento” market resolves based on the official final score of the UFC game as reported by UFC’s official results, including overtime if applicable. Moneyline markets resolve to the team that wins the game. Spread markets resolve based on the final margin of victory relative to the posted line. Totals (over/under) markets resolve based on the combined final score of both teams. Player prop markets resolve based on official box score statistics. If the game is postponed or canceled, the market resolution rules (available in the Rules section on this page) specify how that scenario is handled. We recommend reviewing the full resolution criteria before trading.
Sports·UFC

Allan Nascimento – Mitch Raposo

Polymarket
Allan Nascimento
Allan Nascimento
Split Decision
Mitch Raposo
Mitch Raposo
$1.05M Vol.Polymarket

Moneyline

$1.0M Vol.

Totals

$3.1K Vol.

Go the Distance?

$1.7K Vol.

Fight won by KO/TKO?

$5 Vol.

Nascimento to win by KO/TKO?

$10 Vol.

Raposo to win by KO/TKO?

$75 Vol.

Fight won by submission?

$1.5K Vol.

This market will resolve to "Allan Nascimento" if Allan Nascimento is officially declared the winner of the fight against Mitch Raposo at UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi, scheduled for June 20, 2026. It will resolve to "Mitch Raposo" if Mitch Raposo is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 4, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Allan Nascimento and Mitch Raposo at UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi, scheduled for June 20, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Draws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve "Yes." Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 4, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Allan Nascimento and Mitch Raposo at UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi, scheduled for June 20, 2026, ends by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 4, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Allan Nascimento defeats Mitch Raposo at UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi, scheduled for June 20, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 4, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mitch Raposo defeats Allan Nascimento at UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi, scheduled for June 20, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 4, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Allan Nascimento and Mitch Raposo at UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi, scheduled for June 20, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 4, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to "Over" if the fight between Allan Nascimento and Mitch Raposo at UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi, scheduled for June 20, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to "Under" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: "Over 0.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 1. "Under 0.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 1. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve "50-50." If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond July 4, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to "Over" if the fight between Allan Nascimento and Mitch Raposo at UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi, scheduled for June 20, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to "Under" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: "Over 1.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 2. "Under 1.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 2. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve "50-50." If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond July 4, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to "Over" if the fight between Allan Nascimento and Mitch Raposo at UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi, scheduled for June 20, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to "Under" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: "Over 2.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 3. "Under 2.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 3. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve "50-50." If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond July 4, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Allan Nascimento enters the June 20 UFC Fight Night prelims at the Apex with a 22-6 record and recent momentum from a second-round submission of Cody Durden plus a decision win over Jafel Filho. The Brazilian grappler from Chute Boxe relies heavily on his 15 career submissions. Mitch Raposo, 10-3, carries confidence from his first Octagon victory—a unanimous decision over Azat Maksum in October 2025—after earlier split-decision losses. The flyweight matchup was originally booked for April in Winnipeg but shifted to Las Vegas after Raposo’s illness forced a postponement, giving both fighters additional preparation time. Key factors include Nascimento’s experience edge and submission threat against Raposo’s improved striking and resilience on the feet.

This market will resolve to "Allan Nascimento" if Allan Nascimento is officially declared the winner of the fight against Mitch Raposo at UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi, scheduled for June 20, 2026.

It will resolve to "Mitch Raposo" if Mitch Raposo is officially declared the winner.

If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 4, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Volume
$1,045,591
End Date
Jun 21, 2026
Market Opened
May 30, 2026, 6:00 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.ufc.com/events

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Allan Nascimento" if Allan Nascimento is officially declared the winner of the fight against Mitch Raposo at UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi, scheduled for June 20, 2026. It will resolve to "Mitch Raposo" if Mitch Raposo is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 4, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

The “Raposo vs. Nascimento” market on Polymarket lets you trade on the outcome of the UFC game between the Mitch Raposo and the Allan Nascimento, scheduled for June 20, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET. The primary market is the moneyline — which team will win the game — where Raposo is currently priced at 100¢ (100% implied probability) and Nascimento at 0¢ (0%). Beyond the moneyline, sports markets on Polymarket may feature spreads, totals (over/under), and player props, giving you multiple ways to trade on this game. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Shares in the correct outcome pay out $1 each when the market resolves after the game ends.

As of now, the “Raposo vs. Nascimento” market has generated $1 million in total trading volume across all market types (moneyline, spreads, totals, and player props). This volume reflects active engagement from the Polymarket trading community, and a deeper pool of traders generally means more informative, reliable odds. You can track live price movements and trade on any market directly on this page.

To trade on “Raposo vs. Nascimento,” start by choosing the market type you want to trade: Moneyline (which team wins), Spreads (margin of victory), Totals (combined score over/under), or Player Props (individual player stat lines). Each market shows the current price for each side — for example, the moneyline shows MIT2 at 100¢ and ALL2 at 0¢. Select the side you want to trade, choose Buy to take a position or Sell to close an existing one, enter your amount, and click Trade. If your chosen side is correct when the game ends and the market resolves, your shares pay out $1 each. If it’s incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before the game ends to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current moneyline odds for “Raposo vs. Nascimento” show Mitch Raposo at 100¢ (100% implied probability) and Allan Nascimento at 0¢ (0%). All odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, reflecting the latest collective view of how this game will play out. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as game time approaches.

The “Raposo vs. Nascimento” market resolves based on the official final score of the UFC game as reported by UFC’s official results, including overtime if applicable. Moneyline markets resolve to the team that wins the game. Spread markets resolve based on the final margin of victory relative to the posted line. Totals (over/under) markets resolve based on the combined final score of both teams. Player prop markets resolve based on official box score statistics. If the game is postponed or canceled, the market resolution rules (available in the Rules section on this page) specify how that scenario is handled. We recommend reviewing the full resolution criteria before trading.