Asu Almabayev enters as the clear favorite in this flyweight main-card bout due to his elite grappling pedigree, recent submission win over Alex Perez, and overall 23-3 record that includes victories against ranked competition. The Kazakh prospect’s wrestling and BJJ transitions have overwhelmed most opponents, and the Baku event location offers a significant home-crowd advantage. Charles Johnson, ranked No. 14 at 19-8, brings veteran experience, knockout power, and prior wins over top flyweights like Joshua Van, yet faces a substantial stylistic mismatch against a younger, higher-ranked grappler on a quick turnaround. Recent form, reach disparity, and Almabayev’s finishing rate shape trader consensus around the Kazakh contender’s dominance.
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Asu Almabayev – Charles Johnson
Moneyline
$421K Vol.
Totals
$19.0K Vol.
Go the Distance?
$6.2K Vol.
Fight won by KO/TKO?
$788 Vol.
Almabayev to win by KO/TKO?
$302 Vol.
Johnson to win by KO/TKO?
$376 Vol.
Fight won by submission?
$510 Vol.
It will resolve to "Charles Johnson" if Charles Johnson is officially declared the winner.
If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 11, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Market Opened: Jun 13, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.ufc.com/eventsResolver
0x65070BE91...Asu Almabayev – Charles Johnson
Moneyline
$421K Vol.
Totals
$19.0K Vol.
Go the Distance?
$6.2K Vol.
Fight won by KO/TKO?
$788 Vol.
Almabayev to win by KO/TKO?
$302 Vol.
Johnson to win by KO/TKO?
$376 Vol.
Fight won by submission?
$510 Vol.
It will resolve to "Charles Johnson" if Charles Johnson is officially declared the winner.
If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 11, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Market Opened: Jun 13, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.ufc.com/eventsResolver
0x65070BE91...Asu Almabayev enters as the clear favorite in this flyweight main-card bout due to his elite grappling pedigree, recent submission win over Alex Perez, and overall 23-3 record that includes victories against ranked competition. The Kazakh prospect’s wrestling and BJJ transitions have overwhelmed most opponents, and the Baku event location offers a significant home-crowd advantage. Charles Johnson, ranked No. 14 at 19-8, brings veteran experience, knockout power, and prior wins over top flyweights like Joshua Van, yet faces a substantial stylistic mismatch against a younger, higher-ranked grappler on a quick turnaround. Recent form, reach disparity, and Almabayev’s finishing rate shape trader consensus around the Kazakh contender’s dominance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedBeware of external links.
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