Amazon’s current market capitalization near $2.69 trillion reflects robust Q2 2026 results, including 20% revenue growth to $200.6 billion and AWS sales accelerating 36.7% year-over-year amid rising AI demand. With resolution only three months away, trader sentiment centers on the $2.50–3.00 trillion bin as the modal outcome, supported by sustained e-commerce and advertising momentum alongside heavy capital expenditures for data-center expansion. Recent share-price softness around $249–250 has kept the implied distribution weighted toward the $2.00–3.50 trillion range, while analyst price targets near $328 signal potential upside if Q3 earnings on October 29 confirm continued operating leverage and cloud-margin expansion. Macro factors such as Treasury yields and broader equity volatility could still shift the final tally.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$2.50-$3.00T 36%
$3.00-$3.50T 19%
$2.00-$2.50T 19%
$3.50-$4.00T 8%
<$2.00T
6%
$2.00-$2.50T
19%
$2.50-$3.00T
36%
$3.00-$3.50T
19%
$3.50-$4.00T
8%
$4.00-$4.50T
5%
$4.50T+
5%
$2.50-$3.00T 36%
$3.00-$3.50T 19%
$2.00-$2.50T 19%
$3.50-$4.00T 8%
<$2.00T
6%
$2.00-$2.50T
19%
$2.50-$3.00T
36%
$3.00-$3.50T
19%
$3.50-$4.00T
8%
$4.00-$4.50T
5%
$4.50T+
5%
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 5, 2026, 7:54 AM ET
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47de9d...If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47de9d...Amazon’s current market capitalization near $2.69 trillion reflects robust Q2 2026 results, including 20% revenue growth to $200.6 billion and AWS sales accelerating 36.7% year-over-year amid rising AI demand. With resolution only three months away, trader sentiment centers on the $2.50–3.00 trillion bin as the modal outcome, supported by sustained e-commerce and advertising momentum alongside heavy capital expenditures for data-center expansion. Recent share-price softness around $249–250 has kept the implied distribution weighted toward the $2.00–3.50 trillion range, while analyst price targets near $328 signal potential upside if Q3 earnings on October 29 confirm continued operating leverage and cloud-margin expansion. Macro factors such as Treasury yields and broader equity volatility could still shift the final tally.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว



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