Incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues holds a clear edge in trader pricing for the October 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election due to structural advantages including mid-to-high 50s approval ratings sustained by state investments in infrastructure, education, and interior municipalities. This positioning contrasts with recent polling volatility, where some May surveys from Paraná Pesquisas and Genial/Quaest showed technical ties or modest leads for challenger ACM Neto amid his alignment with national right-wing figures following the União Brasil break with the Lula administration. Market consensus reflects Rodrigues’s incumbency, prior 2022 runoff victory, and localized support consolidation, while noting risks from national polarization and potential first-round dynamics. Other candidates remain negligible given the dominant two-way contest.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วBahia Governor Election Winner
Bahia Governor Election Winner
Jerônimo Rodrigues 64%
ACM Neto 37%
José Carlos Aleluia <1%
João Roma <1%
$26,804 ปริมาณ
$26,804 ปริมาณ
Oct 4, 2026
Jerônimo Rodrigues
64%
ACM Neto
37%
José Carlos Aleluia
<1%
João Roma
<1%
Kleber Rosa
<1%
Bruno Soares Reis
<1%
Rui Costa
<1%
Jerônimo Rodrigues 64%
ACM Neto 37%
José Carlos Aleluia <1%
João Roma <1%
$26,804 ปริมาณ
$26,804 ปริมาณ
Oct 4, 2026
Jerônimo Rodrigues
$9,041 ปริมาณ
64%
ACM Neto
$7,222 ปริมาณ
37%
José Carlos Aleluia
$3,246 ปริมาณ
<1%
João Roma
$1,652 ปริมาณ
<1%
Kleber Rosa
$2,087 ปริมาณ
<1%
Bruno Soares Reis
$1,748 ปริมาณ
<1%
Rui Costa
$1,810 ปริมาณ
<1%
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues holds a clear edge in trader pricing for the October 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election due to structural advantages including mid-to-high 50s approval ratings sustained by state investments in infrastructure, education, and interior municipalities. This positioning contrasts with recent polling volatility, where some May surveys from Paraná Pesquisas and Genial/Quaest showed technical ties or modest leads for challenger ACM Neto amid his alignment with national right-wing figures following the União Brasil break with the Lula administration. Market consensus reflects Rodrigues’s incumbency, prior 2022 runoff victory, and localized support consolidation, while noting risks from national polarization and potential first-round dynamics. Other candidates remain negligible given the dominant two-way contest.
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$26,804วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues holds a clear edge in trader pricing for the October 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election due to structural advantages including mid-to-high 50s approval ratings sustained by state investments in infrastructure, education, and interior municipalities. This positioning contrasts with recent polling volatility, where some May surveys from Paraná Pesquisas and Genial/Quaest showed technical ties or modest leads for challenger ACM Neto amid his alignment with national right-wing figures following the União Brasil break with the Lula administration. Market consensus reflects Rodrigues’s incumbency, prior 2022 runoff victory, and localized support consolidation, while noting risks from national polarization and potential first-round dynamics. Other candidates remain negligible given the dominant two-way contest.
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$26,804วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues holds a clear edge in trader pricing for the October 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election due to structural advantages including mid-to-high 50s approval ratings sustained by state investments in infrastructure, education, and interior municipalities. This positioning contrasts with recent polling volatility, where some May surveys from Paraná Pesquisas and Genial/Quaest showed technical ties or modest leads for challenger ACM Neto amid his alignment with national right-wing figures following the União Brasil break with the Lula administration. Market consensus reflects Rodrigues’s incumbency, prior 2022 runoff victory, and localized support consolidation, while noting risks from national polarization and potential first-round dynamics. Other candidates remain negligible given the dominant two-way contest.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย