Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly prices a Bank of Mexico (Banxico) rate decrease at the May 7, 2026 meeting, with market-implied odds reflecting near-certainty after April's headline CPI eased to 4.45% year-on-year from 4.59%—its first decline of the year—despite remaining above the 3% target. This builds on Banxico's surprise 25 basis point cut to 6.75% in late March amid softening activity and downside inflation risks, aligning with TIIE 28 swap pricing for a further quarter-point reduction to 6.50%. Economists unanimously anticipate easing, underscoring the wisdom of crowds in prediction markets. Realistic challenges include unexpectedly sticky core inflation or external shocks like Middle East tensions, though proximity to resolution limits volatility.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วBank of Mexico Decision in May
Bank of Mexico Decision in May
Decrease 100.0%
No change <1%
Increase <1%
$293,296 ปริมาณ
$293,296 ปริมาณ
May 7, 2026
Decrease
Yes
No change
No
Increase
No
Decrease 100.0%
No change <1%
Increase <1%
$293,296 ปริมาณ
$293,296 ปริมาณ
May 7, 2026
Decrease
$105,263 ปริมาณ
Yes
No change
$94,482 ปริมาณ
No
Increase
$93,550 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's May 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for May 7, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly prices a Bank of Mexico (Banxico) rate decrease at the May 7, 2026 meeting, with market-implied odds reflecting near-certainty after April's headline CPI eased to 4.45% year-on-year from 4.59%—its first decline of the year—despite remaining above the 3% target. This builds on Banxico's surprise 25 basis point cut to 6.75% in late March amid softening activity and downside inflation risks, aligning with TIIE 28 swap pricing for a further quarter-point reduction to 6.50%. Economists unanimously anticipate easing, underscoring the wisdom of crowds in prediction markets. Realistic challenges include unexpectedly sticky core inflation or external shocks like Middle East tensions, though proximity to resolution limits volatility.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's May 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for May 7, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for May 7, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Feb 6, 2026, 4:57 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$293,296วันสิ้นสุด
May 7, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Feb 6, 2026, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: Yes
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: Yes
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's May 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for May 7, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly prices a Bank of Mexico (Banxico) rate decrease at the May 7, 2026 meeting, with market-implied odds reflecting near-certainty after April's headline CPI eased to 4.45% year-on-year from 4.59%—its first decline of the year—despite remaining above the 3% target. This builds on Banxico's surprise 25 basis point cut to 6.75% in late March amid softening activity and downside inflation risks, aligning with TIIE 28 swap pricing for a further quarter-point reduction to 6.50%. Economists unanimously anticipate easing, underscoring the wisdom of crowds in prediction markets. Realistic challenges include unexpectedly sticky core inflation or external shocks like Middle East tensions, though proximity to resolution limits volatility.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's May 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for May 7, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for May 7, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$293,296วันสิ้นสุด
May 7, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Feb 6, 2026, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: Yes
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: Yes
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly prices a Bank of Mexico (Banxico) rate decrease at the May 7, 2026 meeting, with market-implied odds reflecting near-certainty after April's headline CPI eased to 4.45% year-on-year from 4.59%—its first decline of the year—despite remaining above the 3% target. This builds on Banxico's surprise 25 basis point cut to 6.75% in late March amid softening activity and downside inflation risks, aligning with TIIE 28 swap pricing for a further quarter-point reduction to 6.50%. Economists unanimously anticipate easing, underscoring the wisdom of crowds in prediction markets. Realistic challenges include unexpectedly sticky core inflation or external shocks like Middle East tensions, though proximity to resolution limits volatility.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย