Traders assign Morena the highest probability at 75 percent for winning Mexico’s next legislative election, driven by the party’s sustained voter base after its 2024 gains and the current administration’s control of the executive. President Claudia Sheinbaum’s approval ratings and policy continuity continue to anchor support for Morena-aligned candidates in the Chamber of Deputies race. PVEM’s 22.5 percent odds reflect its established coalition ties, while PRI, PAN, MC, and PT remain in the 11–15.5 percent range amid ongoing efforts to consolidate opposition votes ahead of the 2027 contest. Recent polling trends and state-level organizing reinforce these relative positions without major shifts in the past month.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMorena 77%
PT 21%
PVEM 21%
PRI 20%

PAN
14%

PRI
20%

PT
21%

PVEM
21%

MC
17%

Morena
77%
Morena 77%
PT 21%
PVEM 21%
PRI 20%

PAN
14%

PRI
20%

PT
21%

PVEM
21%

MC
17%

Morena
77%
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 15, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign Morena the highest probability at 75 percent for winning Mexico’s next legislative election, driven by the party’s sustained voter base after its 2024 gains and the current administration’s control of the executive. President Claudia Sheinbaum’s approval ratings and policy continuity continue to anchor support for Morena-aligned candidates in the Chamber of Deputies race. PVEM’s 22.5 percent odds reflect its established coalition ties, while PRI, PAN, MC, and PT remain in the 11–15.5 percent range amid ongoing efforts to consolidate opposition votes ahead of the 2027 contest. Recent polling trends and state-level organizing reinforce these relative positions without major shifts in the past month.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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