Trader consensus strongly favors Democrats (84.5%) to regain House control in the November 2026 midterms, driven by consistent generic ballot polling averages showing a Democratic edge of around 5-6 points, including recent YouGov (April 3-6: D+2) and RCP aggregates (D 47.5%-R 41.9%). Historical midterm patterns disadvantage the president's party—averaging 26 seat losses—with Republicans holding a slim current majority vulnerable in battleground districts. Low presidential approval ratings in the mid-30s, amid economic concerns and foreign policy tensions like the Iran situation, have prompted shifts such as Cook Political Report moving five races toward Democrats on April 7. Primaries begin soon, with potential for further volatility from retirements or scandals.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วฝ่ายใดจะเป็นผู้ชนะในสภาในปี 2026?
ฝ่ายใดจะเป็นผู้ชนะในสภาในปี 2026?
$4,594,584 ปริมาณ
$4,594,584 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
รับ 4%
พรรคเดโมแครต
85%
พรรครีพับลิกัน
16%
$4,594,584 ปริมาณ
$4,594,584 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
รับ 4%
พรรคเดโมแครต
$2,343,428 ปริมาณ
85%
พรรครีพับลิกัน
$2,260,574 ปริมาณ
16%
This market will resolve according to the party that controls the House of Representatives following the 2026 U.S. House elections scheduled for November 3, 2026.
House control is defined as having more than half of the voting members of the U.S. House of Representatives.
If the outcome of this election is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will remain open until the Speaker of the House is selected following the 2026 U.S. general election, at which point it will resolve to the party the Speaker is affiliated with at the time of their election to that position. If the elected Speaker does not caucus with any listed party this market will resolve “Other”.
Determination of which party controls the House after the 2026 U.S. House elections will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final federal and/or state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2026 election results.Trader consensus strongly favors Democrats (84.5%) to regain House control in the November 2026 midterms, driven by consistent generic ballot polling averages showing a Democratic edge of around 5-6 points, including recent YouGov (April 3-6: D+2) and RCP aggregates (D 47.5%-R 41.9%). Historical midterm patterns disadvantage the president's party—averaging 26 seat losses—with Republicans holding a slim current majority vulnerable in battleground districts. Low presidential approval ratings in the mid-30s, amid economic concerns and foreign policy tensions like the Iran situation, have prompted shifts such as Cook Political Report moving five races toward Democrats on April 7. Primaries begin soon, with potential for further volatility from retirements or scandals.
This market will resolve according to the party that controls the House of Representatives following the 2026 U.S. House elections scheduled for November 3, 2026.
House control is defined as having more than half of the voting members of the U.S. House of Representatives.
If the outcome of this election is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will remain open until the Speaker of the House is selected following the 2026 U.S. general election, at which point it will resolve to the party the Speaker is affiliated with at the time of their election to that position. If the elected Speaker does not caucus with any listed party this market will resolve “Other”.
Determination of which party controls the House after the 2026 U.S. House elections will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final federal and/or state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2026 election results.
House control is defined as having more than half of the voting members of the U.S. House of Representatives.
If the outcome of this election is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will remain open until the Speaker of the House is selected following the 2026 U.S. general election, at which point it will resolve to the party the Speaker is affiliated with at the time of their election to that position. If the elected Speaker does not caucus with any listed party this market will resolve “Other”.
Determination of which party controls the House after the 2026 U.S. House elections will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final federal and/or state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2026 election results.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 11, 2025, 3:48 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,594,584วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 11, 2025, 3:48 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
This market will resolve according to the party that controls the House of Representatives following the 2026 U.S. House elections scheduled for November 3, 2026.
House control is defined as having more than half of the voting members of the U.S. House of Representatives.
If the outcome of this election is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will remain open until the Speaker of the House is selected following the 2026 U.S. general election, at which point it will resolve to the party the Speaker is affiliated with at the time of their election to that position. If the elected Speaker does not caucus with any listed party this market will resolve “Other”.
Determination of which party controls the House after the 2026 U.S. House elections will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final federal and/or state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2026 election results.Trader consensus strongly favors Democrats (84.5%) to regain House control in the November 2026 midterms, driven by consistent generic ballot polling averages showing a Democratic edge of around 5-6 points, including recent YouGov (April 3-6: D+2) and RCP aggregates (D 47.5%-R 41.9%). Historical midterm patterns disadvantage the president's party—averaging 26 seat losses—with Republicans holding a slim current majority vulnerable in battleground districts. Low presidential approval ratings in the mid-30s, amid economic concerns and foreign policy tensions like the Iran situation, have prompted shifts such as Cook Political Report moving five races toward Democrats on April 7. Primaries begin soon, with potential for further volatility from retirements or scandals.
This market will resolve according to the party that controls the House of Representatives following the 2026 U.S. House elections scheduled for November 3, 2026.
House control is defined as having more than half of the voting members of the U.S. House of Representatives.
If the outcome of this election is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will remain open until the Speaker of the House is selected following the 2026 U.S. general election, at which point it will resolve to the party the Speaker is affiliated with at the time of their election to that position. If the elected Speaker does not caucus with any listed party this market will resolve “Other”.
Determination of which party controls the House after the 2026 U.S. House elections will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final federal and/or state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2026 election results.
House control is defined as having more than half of the voting members of the U.S. House of Representatives.
If the outcome of this election is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will remain open until the Speaker of the House is selected following the 2026 U.S. general election, at which point it will resolve to the party the Speaker is affiliated with at the time of their election to that position. If the elected Speaker does not caucus with any listed party this market will resolve “Other”.
Determination of which party controls the House after the 2026 U.S. House elections will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final federal and/or state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2026 election results.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,594,584วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 11, 2025, 3:48 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Trader consensus strongly favors Democrats (84.5%) to regain House control in the November 2026 midterms, driven by consistent generic ballot polling averages showing a Democratic edge of around 5-6 points, including recent YouGov (April 3-6: D+2) and RCP aggregates (D 47.5%-R 41.9%). Historical midterm patterns disadvantage the president's party—averaging 26 seat losses—with Republicans holding a slim current majority vulnerable in battleground districts. Low presidential approval ratings in the mid-30s, amid economic concerns and foreign policy tensions like the Iran situation, have prompted shifts such as Cook Political Report moving five races toward Democrats on April 7. Primaries begin soon, with potential for further volatility from retirements or scandals.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย