Abdul El-Sayed secured the Democratic nomination in Michigan’s open Senate race after a narrow August 4 primary victory over Rep. Haley Stevens, prevailing by under one percentage point amid heavy outside spending. Former Rep. Mike Rogers advanced unopposed on the Republican side. Recent late-August polls show El-Sayed holding narrow leads of 2–5 points over Rogers in a contest rated toss-up or lean Democratic by most forecasters, reflecting the state’s mixed partisan leanings following the 2024 presidential results and the retirement of Sen. Gary Peters. Traders appear to assign El-Sayed the stronger position based on these polling trends and Democratic turnout patterns in the battleground, while Rogers benefits from prior statewide experience and Republican efforts to highlight policy contrasts ahead of the November 3 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMichigan Senate Election Winner
Michigan Senate Election Winner
$648,394 ปริมาณ
$648,394 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Abdul El-Sayed (D)
65%
Mike Rogers (R)
36%
$648,394 ปริมาณ
$648,394 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Abdul El-Sayed (D)
$353,105 ปริมาณ
65%
Mike Rogers (R)
$295,289 ปริมาณ
36%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Abdul El-Sayed secured the Democratic nomination in Michigan’s open Senate race after a narrow August 4 primary victory over Rep. Haley Stevens, prevailing by under one percentage point amid heavy outside spending. Former Rep. Mike Rogers advanced unopposed on the Republican side. Recent late-August polls show El-Sayed holding narrow leads of 2–5 points over Rogers in a contest rated toss-up or lean Democratic by most forecasters, reflecting the state’s mixed partisan leanings following the 2024 presidential results and the retirement of Sen. Gary Peters. Traders appear to assign El-Sayed the stronger position based on these polling trends and Democratic turnout patterns in the battleground, while Rogers benefits from prior statewide experience and Republican efforts to highlight policy contrasts ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$648,394วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Abdul El-Sayed secured the Democratic nomination in Michigan’s open Senate race after a narrow August 4 primary victory over Rep. Haley Stevens, prevailing by under one percentage point amid heavy outside spending. Former Rep. Mike Rogers advanced unopposed on the Republican side. Recent late-August polls show El-Sayed holding narrow leads of 2–5 points over Rogers in a contest rated toss-up or lean Democratic by most forecasters, reflecting the state’s mixed partisan leanings following the 2024 presidential results and the retirement of Sen. Gary Peters. Traders appear to assign El-Sayed the stronger position based on these polling trends and Democratic turnout patterns in the battleground, while Rogers benefits from prior statewide experience and Republican efforts to highlight policy contrasts ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$648,394วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Abdul El-Sayed secured the Democratic nomination in Michigan’s open Senate race after a narrow August 4 primary victory over Rep. Haley Stevens, prevailing by under one percentage point amid heavy outside spending. Former Rep. Mike Rogers advanced unopposed on the Republican side. Recent late-August polls show El-Sayed holding narrow leads of 2–5 points over Rogers in a contest rated toss-up or lean Democratic by most forecasters, reflecting the state’s mixed partisan leanings following the 2024 presidential results and the retirement of Sen. Gary Peters. Traders appear to assign El-Sayed the stronger position based on these polling trends and Democratic turnout patterns in the battleground, while Rogers benefits from prior statewide experience and Republican efforts to highlight policy contrasts ahead of the November 3 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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