Incumbent Democrat Gary Peters' decision not to seek re-election created an open Senate seat in battleground Michigan, where Donald Trump won narrowly in 2024, yet trader consensus prices Democrats at 80.5% to hold it amid midterm headwinds for the president's party. Recent April polls, including Emerson and Data for Progress, show a tight Democratic primary among Rep. Haley Stevens, state Sen. Mallory McMorrow, and Abdul El-Sayed—all polling competitively against presumed GOP nominee Mike Rogers, who lost to Elissa Slotkin by under 20,000 votes in 2024 and dominates his primary. Hypothetical general election matchups remain close, with some favoring Democrats slightly, but superior Democratic fundraising and historical Senate strength in the state underpin the lopsided market pricing ahead of the August 4 primaries.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMichigan Senate Election Winner
Michigan Senate Election Winner
$105,572 ปริมาณ
$105,572 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
80%
Republican
21%
$105,572 ปริมาณ
$105,572 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
$78,907 ปริมาณ
80%
Republican
$26,665 ปริมาณ
21%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat Gary Peters' decision not to seek re-election created an open Senate seat in battleground Michigan, where Donald Trump won narrowly in 2024, yet trader consensus prices Democrats at 80.5% to hold it amid midterm headwinds for the president's party. Recent April polls, including Emerson and Data for Progress, show a tight Democratic primary among Rep. Haley Stevens, state Sen. Mallory McMorrow, and Abdul El-Sayed—all polling competitively against presumed GOP nominee Mike Rogers, who lost to Elissa Slotkin by under 20,000 votes in 2024 and dominates his primary. Hypothetical general election matchups remain close, with some favoring Democrats slightly, but superior Democratic fundraising and historical Senate strength in the state underpin the lopsided market pricing ahead of the August 4 primaries.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$105,572วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat Gary Peters' decision not to seek re-election created an open Senate seat in battleground Michigan, where Donald Trump won narrowly in 2024, yet trader consensus prices Democrats at 80.5% to hold it amid midterm headwinds for the president's party. Recent April polls, including Emerson and Data for Progress, show a tight Democratic primary among Rep. Haley Stevens, state Sen. Mallory McMorrow, and Abdul El-Sayed—all polling competitively against presumed GOP nominee Mike Rogers, who lost to Elissa Slotkin by under 20,000 votes in 2024 and dominates his primary. Hypothetical general election matchups remain close, with some favoring Democrats slightly, but superior Democratic fundraising and historical Senate strength in the state underpin the lopsided market pricing ahead of the August 4 primaries.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$105,572วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Gary Peters' decision not to seek re-election created an open Senate seat in battleground Michigan, where Donald Trump won narrowly in 2024, yet trader consensus prices Democrats at 80.5% to hold it amid midterm headwinds for the president's party. Recent April polls, including Emerson and Data for Progress, show a tight Democratic primary among Rep. Haley Stevens, state Sen. Mallory McMorrow, and Abdul El-Sayed—all polling competitively against presumed GOP nominee Mike Rogers, who lost to Elissa Slotkin by under 20,000 votes in 2024 and dominates his primary. Hypothetical general election matchups remain close, with some favoring Democrats slightly, but superior Democratic fundraising and historical Senate strength in the state underpin the lopsided market pricing ahead of the August 4 primaries.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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