Michigan's open U.S. Senate seat, vacated by retiring Democrat Gary Peters, features a competitive Democratic primary on August 4 among Haley Stevens, Abdul El-Sayed, and Mallory McMorrow, while Mike Rogers holds the Republican nomination after his narrow 2024 loss. Recent polling shows general election matchups remaining close, with outcomes often within a few points depending on the Democratic nominee. Forecasters rate the race a toss-up, reflecting Michigan's status as a battleground where neither party holds a decisive structural edge. Trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at this stage aligns with the party's primary depth and historical performance in statewide contests, though the outcome hinges on nominee selection, turnout patterns, and any shifts in the broader midterm environment ahead of November 2026.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMichigan Senate Election Winner
Michigan Senate Election Winner
$116,003 ปริมาณ
$116,003 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
66%
Republican
34%
$116,003 ปริมาณ
$116,003 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
$82,757 ปริมาณ
66%
Republican
$33,246 ปริมาณ
34%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Michigan's open U.S. Senate seat, vacated by retiring Democrat Gary Peters, features a competitive Democratic primary on August 4 among Haley Stevens, Abdul El-Sayed, and Mallory McMorrow, while Mike Rogers holds the Republican nomination after his narrow 2024 loss. Recent polling shows general election matchups remaining close, with outcomes often within a few points depending on the Democratic nominee. Forecasters rate the race a toss-up, reflecting Michigan's status as a battleground where neither party holds a decisive structural edge. Trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at this stage aligns with the party's primary depth and historical performance in statewide contests, though the outcome hinges on nominee selection, turnout patterns, and any shifts in the broader midterm environment ahead of November 2026.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$116,003วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Michigan's open U.S. Senate seat, vacated by retiring Democrat Gary Peters, features a competitive Democratic primary on August 4 among Haley Stevens, Abdul El-Sayed, and Mallory McMorrow, while Mike Rogers holds the Republican nomination after his narrow 2024 loss. Recent polling shows general election matchups remaining close, with outcomes often within a few points depending on the Democratic nominee. Forecasters rate the race a toss-up, reflecting Michigan's status as a battleground where neither party holds a decisive structural edge. Trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at this stage aligns with the party's primary depth and historical performance in statewide contests, though the outcome hinges on nominee selection, turnout patterns, and any shifts in the broader midterm environment ahead of November 2026.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$116,003วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Michigan's open U.S. Senate seat, vacated by retiring Democrat Gary Peters, features a competitive Democratic primary on August 4 among Haley Stevens, Abdul El-Sayed, and Mallory McMorrow, while Mike Rogers holds the Republican nomination after his narrow 2024 loss. Recent polling shows general election matchups remaining close, with outcomes often within a few points depending on the Democratic nominee. Forecasters rate the race a toss-up, reflecting Michigan's status as a battleground where neither party holds a decisive structural edge. Trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at this stage aligns with the party's primary depth and historical performance in statewide contests, though the outcome hinges on nominee selection, turnout patterns, and any shifts in the broader midterm environment ahead of November 2026.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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