The open seat created by Jared Golden’s retirement has left Maine’s 2nd District competitive, with trader consensus placing Paul LePage narrowly ahead of Matthew Dunlap. The largely rural district’s consistent Republican tilt in presidential voting and LePage’s prior statewide name recognition provide the Republican an edge, yet recent polls show the matchup essentially tied. Dunlap’s victory in the June Democratic primary via ranked-choice voting over more moderate options has left him positioned as a progressive alternative in a constituency that has favored centrists. Fundraising leads for LePage and the broader national midterm environment further shape positioning. Upcoming debates, endorsements, and turnout patterns in key counties could widen or close the gap before November 3.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Paul LePage (R)
57%
Matthew Dunlap (D)
42%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Paul LePage (R)
$5,840 ปริมาณ
57%
Matthew Dunlap (D)
$2,663 ปริมาณ
42%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat created by Jared Golden’s retirement has left Maine’s 2nd District competitive, with trader consensus placing Paul LePage narrowly ahead of Matthew Dunlap. The largely rural district’s consistent Republican tilt in presidential voting and LePage’s prior statewide name recognition provide the Republican an edge, yet recent polls show the matchup essentially tied. Dunlap’s victory in the June Democratic primary via ranked-choice voting over more moderate options has left him positioned as a progressive alternative in a constituency that has favored centrists. Fundraising leads for LePage and the broader national midterm environment further shape positioning. Upcoming debates, endorsements, and turnout patterns in key counties could widen or close the gap before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 20, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$8,503วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 20, 2026, 6:15 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat created by Jared Golden’s retirement has left Maine’s 2nd District competitive, with trader consensus placing Paul LePage narrowly ahead of Matthew Dunlap. The largely rural district’s consistent Republican tilt in presidential voting and LePage’s prior statewide name recognition provide the Republican an edge, yet recent polls show the matchup essentially tied. Dunlap’s victory in the June Democratic primary via ranked-choice voting over more moderate options has left him positioned as a progressive alternative in a constituency that has favored centrists. Fundraising leads for LePage and the broader national midterm environment further shape positioning. Upcoming debates, endorsements, and turnout patterns in key counties could widen or close the gap before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$8,503วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 20, 2026, 6:15 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The open seat created by Jared Golden’s retirement has left Maine’s 2nd District competitive, with trader consensus placing Paul LePage narrowly ahead of Matthew Dunlap. The largely rural district’s consistent Republican tilt in presidential voting and LePage’s prior statewide name recognition provide the Republican an edge, yet recent polls show the matchup essentially tied. Dunlap’s victory in the June Democratic primary via ranked-choice voting over more moderate options has left him positioned as a progressive alternative in a constituency that has favored centrists. Fundraising leads for LePage and the broader national midterm environment further shape positioning. Upcoming debates, endorsements, and turnout patterns in key counties could widen or close the gap before November 3.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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