Lauren Boebert holds a strong edge in Colorado’s 4th Congressional District due to its consistent Republican tilt, including Donald Trump’s 14.5-point margin there in 2024, combined with her status as the unopposed GOP nominee after the June 30 primaries. Eileen Laubacher, a retired Navy rear admiral and former National Security Council official, secured the Democratic nomination and has built a significant cash advantage through aggressive small-dollar fundraising, outpacing Boebert by a wide margin in recent reports. This financial disparity has narrowed the projected margin in some models but has not overcome the district’s structural Republican advantage or historical voting patterns. Traders appear to weigh Boebert’s incumbency and party registration edge more heavily than Laubacher’s resources or any recent internal GOP tensions, keeping the implied probability for a Republican hold near 80 percent ahead of the November 3 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วCO-04 House Election Winner
CO-04 House Election Winner
$16,800 ปริมาณ
$16,800 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Lauren Boebert (R)
78%
Eileen Laubacher (D)
23%
$16,800 ปริมาณ
$16,800 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Lauren Boebert (R)
$12,180 ปริมาณ
78%
Eileen Laubacher (D)
$4,621 ปริมาณ
23%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Lauren Boebert holds a strong edge in Colorado’s 4th Congressional District due to its consistent Republican tilt, including Donald Trump’s 14.5-point margin there in 2024, combined with her status as the unopposed GOP nominee after the June 30 primaries. Eileen Laubacher, a retired Navy rear admiral and former National Security Council official, secured the Democratic nomination and has built a significant cash advantage through aggressive small-dollar fundraising, outpacing Boebert by a wide margin in recent reports. This financial disparity has narrowed the projected margin in some models but has not overcome the district’s structural Republican advantage or historical voting patterns. Traders appear to weigh Boebert’s incumbency and party registration edge more heavily than Laubacher’s resources or any recent internal GOP tensions, keeping the implied probability for a Republican hold near 80 percent ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$16,800วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Lauren Boebert holds a strong edge in Colorado’s 4th Congressional District due to its consistent Republican tilt, including Donald Trump’s 14.5-point margin there in 2024, combined with her status as the unopposed GOP nominee after the June 30 primaries. Eileen Laubacher, a retired Navy rear admiral and former National Security Council official, secured the Democratic nomination and has built a significant cash advantage through aggressive small-dollar fundraising, outpacing Boebert by a wide margin in recent reports. This financial disparity has narrowed the projected margin in some models but has not overcome the district’s structural Republican advantage or historical voting patterns. Traders appear to weigh Boebert’s incumbency and party registration edge more heavily than Laubacher’s resources or any recent internal GOP tensions, keeping the implied probability for a Republican hold near 80 percent ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$16,800วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Lauren Boebert holds a strong edge in Colorado’s 4th Congressional District due to its consistent Republican tilt, including Donald Trump’s 14.5-point margin there in 2024, combined with her status as the unopposed GOP nominee after the June 30 primaries. Eileen Laubacher, a retired Navy rear admiral and former National Security Council official, secured the Democratic nomination and has built a significant cash advantage through aggressive small-dollar fundraising, outpacing Boebert by a wide margin in recent reports. This financial disparity has narrowed the projected margin in some models but has not overcome the district’s structural Republican advantage or historical voting patterns. Traders appear to weigh Boebert’s incumbency and party registration edge more heavily than Laubacher’s resources or any recent internal GOP tensions, keeping the implied probability for a Republican hold near 80 percent ahead of the November 3 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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