The Colorado 4th congressional district's partisan voting index of R+9 and consistent Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball underpin the Republican Party's 60.5% trader consensus. Incumbent Lauren Boebert faces a June 30 primary but benefits from the district's rural Eastern Plains core and suburban conservative voters, a structural edge that has produced double-digit GOP victories in recent cycles. Democratic challengers including Eileen Laubacher have outraised Republicans in early fundraising, yet the seat's historical performance and lack of major shifts in polling or endorsements keep the implied probability aligned with established base rates for similarly rated House races.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วCO-04 House Election Winner
Republican Party
61%
Democratic Party
34%
Republican Party
61%
Democratic Party
34%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Colorado 4th congressional district's partisan voting index of R+9 and consistent Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball underpin the Republican Party's 60.5% trader consensus. Incumbent Lauren Boebert faces a June 30 primary but benefits from the district's rural Eastern Plains core and suburban conservative voters, a structural edge that has produced double-digit GOP victories in recent cycles. Democratic challengers including Eileen Laubacher have outraised Republicans in early fundraising, yet the seat's historical performance and lack of major shifts in polling or endorsements keep the implied probability aligned with established base rates for similarly rated House races.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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