Trader consensus on Polymarket gives Democrats a slight 54.5% edge to win Senate control in the 2026 midterms, reflecting historical midterm penalties for the president's party amid recent polling shifts in battleground states. Republicans hold a 53-47 majority and defend 22 seats, mostly in safe red territory, while Democrats protect 13 but eye flips in North Carolina, Alaska, Ohio, and Maine—races tilted or leaning Democratic per Inside Elections' early April ratings update. Tossups like Texas, Nebraska, and Iowa keep the map competitive, with generic ballot models showing D+8 leads. Primaries underway could solidify nominees and shift dynamics, alongside economic trends or national events through November 3.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วฝ่ายใดจะชนะวุฒิสภาในปี 2026?
ฝ่ายใดจะชนะวุฒิสภาในปี 2026?
$2,028,323 ปริมาณ
$2,028,323 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
รับ 4%
พรรคเดโมแครต
55%
พรรครีพับลิกัน
46%
$2,028,323 ปริมาณ
$2,028,323 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
รับ 4%
พรรคเดโมแครต
$1,098,110 ปริมาณ
55%
พรรครีพับลิกัน
$930,213 ปริมาณ
46%
This market will resolve according to the party that controls the Senate following the 2026 U.S. Senate elections scheduled for November 3, 2026.
Senate control is defined as having more than half of the voting Senate members, or half of the voting Senate members and the Vice Presidency.
If the outcome of this election is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will remain open until the Majority Leader of the US Senate is selected following the 2026 US general election, at which point it will resolve to the party the majority leader is affiliated with at the time of their election to that position. If the elected majority leader does not caucus with any listed party this market will resolve “Other”.
Determination of which party controls the Senate after the 2026 US Senate elections will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final federal and/or state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2026 election results.Trader consensus on Polymarket gives Democrats a slight 54.5% edge to win Senate control in the 2026 midterms, reflecting historical midterm penalties for the president's party amid recent polling shifts in battleground states. Republicans hold a 53-47 majority and defend 22 seats, mostly in safe red territory, while Democrats protect 13 but eye flips in North Carolina, Alaska, Ohio, and Maine—races tilted or leaning Democratic per Inside Elections' early April ratings update. Tossups like Texas, Nebraska, and Iowa keep the map competitive, with generic ballot models showing D+8 leads. Primaries underway could solidify nominees and shift dynamics, alongside economic trends or national events through November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party that controls the Senate following the 2026 U.S. Senate elections scheduled for November 3, 2026.
Senate control is defined as having more than half of the voting Senate members, or half of the voting Senate members and the Vice Presidency.
If the outcome of this election is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will remain open until the Majority Leader of the US Senate is selected following the 2026 US general election, at which point it will resolve to the party the majority leader is affiliated with at the time of their election to that position. If the elected majority leader does not caucus with any listed party this market will resolve “Other”.
Determination of which party controls the Senate after the 2026 US Senate elections will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final federal and/or state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2026 election results.
Senate control is defined as having more than half of the voting Senate members, or half of the voting Senate members and the Vice Presidency.
If the outcome of this election is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will remain open until the Majority Leader of the US Senate is selected following the 2026 US general election, at which point it will resolve to the party the majority leader is affiliated with at the time of their election to that position. If the elected majority leader does not caucus with any listed party this market will resolve “Other”.
Determination of which party controls the Senate after the 2026 US Senate elections will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final federal and/or state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2026 election results.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 11, 2025, 3:47 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,028,323วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 11, 2025, 3:47 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
This market will resolve according to the party that controls the Senate following the 2026 U.S. Senate elections scheduled for November 3, 2026.
Senate control is defined as having more than half of the voting Senate members, or half of the voting Senate members and the Vice Presidency.
If the outcome of this election is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will remain open until the Majority Leader of the US Senate is selected following the 2026 US general election, at which point it will resolve to the party the majority leader is affiliated with at the time of their election to that position. If the elected majority leader does not caucus with any listed party this market will resolve “Other”.
Determination of which party controls the Senate after the 2026 US Senate elections will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final federal and/or state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2026 election results.Trader consensus on Polymarket gives Democrats a slight 54.5% edge to win Senate control in the 2026 midterms, reflecting historical midterm penalties for the president's party amid recent polling shifts in battleground states. Republicans hold a 53-47 majority and defend 22 seats, mostly in safe red territory, while Democrats protect 13 but eye flips in North Carolina, Alaska, Ohio, and Maine—races tilted or leaning Democratic per Inside Elections' early April ratings update. Tossups like Texas, Nebraska, and Iowa keep the map competitive, with generic ballot models showing D+8 leads. Primaries underway could solidify nominees and shift dynamics, alongside economic trends or national events through November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party that controls the Senate following the 2026 U.S. Senate elections scheduled for November 3, 2026.
Senate control is defined as having more than half of the voting Senate members, or half of the voting Senate members and the Vice Presidency.
If the outcome of this election is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will remain open until the Majority Leader of the US Senate is selected following the 2026 US general election, at which point it will resolve to the party the majority leader is affiliated with at the time of their election to that position. If the elected majority leader does not caucus with any listed party this market will resolve “Other”.
Determination of which party controls the Senate after the 2026 US Senate elections will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final federal and/or state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2026 election results.
Senate control is defined as having more than half of the voting Senate members, or half of the voting Senate members and the Vice Presidency.
If the outcome of this election is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will remain open until the Majority Leader of the US Senate is selected following the 2026 US general election, at which point it will resolve to the party the majority leader is affiliated with at the time of their election to that position. If the elected majority leader does not caucus with any listed party this market will resolve “Other”.
Determination of which party controls the Senate after the 2026 US Senate elections will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final federal and/or state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2026 election results.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,028,323วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 11, 2025, 3:47 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Trader consensus on Polymarket gives Democrats a slight 54.5% edge to win Senate control in the 2026 midterms, reflecting historical midterm penalties for the president's party amid recent polling shifts in battleground states. Republicans hold a 53-47 majority and defend 22 seats, mostly in safe red territory, while Democrats protect 13 but eye flips in North Carolina, Alaska, Ohio, and Maine—races tilted or leaning Democratic per Inside Elections' early April ratings update. Tossups like Texas, Nebraska, and Iowa keep the map competitive, with generic ballot models showing D+8 leads. Primaries underway could solidify nominees and shift dynamics, alongside economic trends or national events through November 3.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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