Missouri’s 8th congressional district, encompassing rural southeastern Missouri including the Bootheel, maintains a strong Republican partisan lean exceeding R+25. Incumbent Jason Smith secured the Republican nomination with 86 percent of the primary vote on August 4, 2026, while Democrat Christopher Reichard advanced from a competitive primary. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Smith’s substantial fundraising advantage and the district’s consistent support for Republican candidates in recent cycles underpin the overwhelming trader consensus reflected in current pricing. A major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unprecedented national partisan shift would be required to alter the outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMO-08 House Election Winner
MO-08 House Election Winner
$46,136 ปริมาณ
$46,136 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
96%
Democratic Party
4%
$46,136 ปริมาณ
$46,136 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$27,583 ปริมาณ
96%
Democratic Party
$18,553 ปริมาณ
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri’s 8th congressional district, encompassing rural southeastern Missouri including the Bootheel, maintains a strong Republican partisan lean exceeding R+25. Incumbent Jason Smith secured the Republican nomination with 86 percent of the primary vote on August 4, 2026, while Democrat Christopher Reichard advanced from a competitive primary. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Smith’s substantial fundraising advantage and the district’s consistent support for Republican candidates in recent cycles underpin the overwhelming trader consensus reflected in current pricing. A major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unprecedented national partisan shift would be required to alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$46,136วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri’s 8th congressional district, encompassing rural southeastern Missouri including the Bootheel, maintains a strong Republican partisan lean exceeding R+25. Incumbent Jason Smith secured the Republican nomination with 86 percent of the primary vote on August 4, 2026, while Democrat Christopher Reichard advanced from a competitive primary. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Smith’s substantial fundraising advantage and the district’s consistent support for Republican candidates in recent cycles underpin the overwhelming trader consensus reflected in current pricing. A major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unprecedented national partisan shift would be required to alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$46,136วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Missouri’s 8th congressional district, encompassing rural southeastern Missouri including the Bootheel, maintains a strong Republican partisan lean exceeding R+25. Incumbent Jason Smith secured the Republican nomination with 86 percent of the primary vote on August 4, 2026, while Democrat Christopher Reichard advanced from a competitive primary. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Smith’s substantial fundraising advantage and the district’s consistent support for Republican candidates in recent cycles underpin the overwhelming trader consensus reflected in current pricing. A major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unprecedented national partisan shift would be required to alter the outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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