Vice President JD Vance maintains a narrow edge in trader consensus at 18.8% implied probability for the 2028 presidential election winner, reflecting his incumbency advantage as Trump's running mate and heir apparent, though odds have softened from recent highs amid debates over his cautious stance on escalating Iran tensions. California Governor Gavin Newsom trails closely at 17%, bolstered by leading early Democratic polling averages like a recent UMass Lowell survey showing him at 30% against Vance's 33%, amid a fragmented field lacking a clear nominee post-2024. Secretary of State Marco Rubio's rise to 11.5% stems from hawkish foreign policy positions earning Trump praise and CPAC straw poll momentum at 35%, fueling speculation of a GOP primary challenge. With 2026 midterms looming as a shadow primary test, outcomes in swing states, economic performance, and Trump's endorsement could widen gaps in this fluid, low-probability race.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วผู้ชนะการเลือกตั้งประธานาธิบดี 2028
ผู้ชนะการเลือกตั้งประธานาธิบดี 2028
JD Vance 18.8%
Gavin Newsom 17.0%
Marco Rubio 11.5%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 7.8%
$537,348,459 ปริมาณ
$537,348,459 ปริมาณ
JD Vance
19%
Gavin Newsom
17%
Marco Rubio
11%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
8%
Kamala Harris
4%
Jon Ossoff
4%
Donald Trump
2%
Josh Shapiro
2%
Pete Buttigieg
2%
Tucker Carlson
2%
Ron DeSantis
1%
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
1%
Andy Beshear
1%
Glenn Youngkin
1%
JB Pritzker
1%
Gretchen Whitmer
1%
Thomas Massie
1%
James Talarico
1%
Elon Musk
1%
Stephen Smith
1%
Greg Abbott
1%
Michelle Obama
1%
Ivanka Trump
1%
Jamie Dimon
1%
Donald Trump Jr.
1%
Nikki Haley
1%
Ro Khanna
1%
Wes Moore
1%
Tulsi Gabbard
1%
Zohran Mamdani
1%
Eric Trump
1%
Tim Walz
1%
LeBron James
1%
Pete Hegseth
1%
Vivek Ramaswamy
1%
Kim Kardashian
1%
JD Vance 18.8%
Gavin Newsom 17.0%
Marco Rubio 11.5%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 7.8%
$537,348,459 ปริมาณ
$537,348,459 ปริมาณ
JD Vance
19%
Gavin Newsom
17%
Marco Rubio
11%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
8%
Kamala Harris
4%
Jon Ossoff
4%
Donald Trump
2%
Josh Shapiro
2%
Pete Buttigieg
2%
Tucker Carlson
2%
Ron DeSantis
1%
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
1%
Andy Beshear
1%
Glenn Youngkin
1%
JB Pritzker
1%
Gretchen Whitmer
1%
Thomas Massie
1%
James Talarico
1%
Elon Musk
1%
Stephen Smith
1%
Greg Abbott
1%
Michelle Obama
1%
Ivanka Trump
1%
Jamie Dimon
1%
Donald Trump Jr.
1%
Nikki Haley
1%
Ro Khanna
1%
Wes Moore
1%
Tulsi Gabbard
1%
Zohran Mamdani
1%
Eric Trump
1%
Tim Walz
1%
LeBron James
1%
Pete Hegseth
1%
Vivek Ramaswamy
1%
Kim Kardashian
1%
This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 11, 2025, 2:44 PM ET
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Vice President JD Vance maintains a narrow edge in trader consensus at 18.8% implied probability for the 2028 presidential election winner, reflecting his incumbency advantage as Trump's running mate and heir apparent, though odds have softened from recent highs amid debates over his cautious stance on escalating Iran tensions. California Governor Gavin Newsom trails closely at 17%, bolstered by leading early Democratic polling averages like a recent UMass Lowell survey showing him at 30% against Vance's 33%, amid a fragmented field lacking a clear nominee post-2024. Secretary of State Marco Rubio's rise to 11.5% stems from hawkish foreign policy positions earning Trump praise and CPAC straw poll momentum at 35%, fueling speculation of a GOP primary challenge. With 2026 midterms looming as a shadow primary test, outcomes in swing states, economic performance, and Trump's endorsement could widen gaps in this fluid, low-probability race.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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