Recent polling shows the Parti Québécois holding a narrow lead or tie in popular vote support ahead of the October 5, 2026, Quebec general election, driven by strong francophone backing that translates into favorable seat projections in multiple models. The Quebec Liberal Party remains competitive, drawing concentrated support outside francophone areas, while the Coalition Avenir Québec has gained ground following its leadership transition to Christine Fréchette. Trader consensus reflected in current market prices assigns the PQ the highest probability of forming government, consistent with these trends and historical patterns where popular vote margins and regional distribution determine seat outcomes in Quebec's first-past-the-post system. The race remains fluid with several months until voting day.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วผู้ชนะการเลือกตั้งทั่วไปในควิเบก
ผู้ชนะการเลือกตั้งทั่วไปในควิเบก
PQ 57%
PLQ 28%
พรรคก้าวหน้าควิเบก (CAQ) 17%
พรรคอนุรักษนิยมควิเบก <1%
$545,012 ปริมาณ
$545,012 ปริมาณ
Oct 5, 2026
PQ
57%
PLQ
28%
พรรคก้าวหน้าควิเบก (CAQ)
17%
พรรคอนุรักษนิยมควิเบก
<1%
ข้อซ
<1%
PVQ
<1%
PQ 57%
PLQ 28%
พรรคก้าวหน้าควิเบก (CAQ) 17%
พรรคอนุรักษนิยมควิเบก <1%
$545,012 ปริมาณ
$545,012 ปริมาณ
Oct 5, 2026
PQ
$56,068 ปริมาณ
57%
PLQ
$59,398 ปริมาณ
28%
พรรคก้าวหน้าควิเบก (CAQ)
$67,411 ปริมาณ
17%
พรรคอนุรักษนิยมควิเบก
$168,933 ปริมาณ
<1%
ข้อซ
$70,303 ปริมาณ
<1%
PVQ
$122,899 ปริมาณ
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling shows the Parti Québécois holding a narrow lead or tie in popular vote support ahead of the October 5, 2026, Quebec general election, driven by strong francophone backing that translates into favorable seat projections in multiple models. The Quebec Liberal Party remains competitive, drawing concentrated support outside francophone areas, while the Coalition Avenir Québec has gained ground following its leadership transition to Christine Fréchette. Trader consensus reflected in current market prices assigns the PQ the highest probability of forming government, consistent with these trends and historical patterns where popular vote margins and regional distribution determine seat outcomes in Quebec's first-past-the-post system. The race remains fluid with several months until voting day.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$545,012วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling shows the Parti Québécois holding a narrow lead or tie in popular vote support ahead of the October 5, 2026, Quebec general election, driven by strong francophone backing that translates into favorable seat projections in multiple models. The Quebec Liberal Party remains competitive, drawing concentrated support outside francophone areas, while the Coalition Avenir Québec has gained ground following its leadership transition to Christine Fréchette. Trader consensus reflected in current market prices assigns the PQ the highest probability of forming government, consistent with these trends and historical patterns where popular vote margins and regional distribution determine seat outcomes in Quebec's first-past-the-post system. The race remains fluid with several months until voting day.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$545,012วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling shows the Parti Québécois holding a narrow lead or tie in popular vote support ahead of the October 5, 2026, Quebec general election, driven by strong francophone backing that translates into favorable seat projections in multiple models. The Quebec Liberal Party remains competitive, drawing concentrated support outside francophone areas, while the Coalition Avenir Québec has gained ground following its leadership transition to Christine Fréchette. Trader consensus reflected in current market prices assigns the PQ the highest probability of forming government, consistent with these trends and historical patterns where popular vote margins and regional distribution determine seat outcomes in Quebec's first-past-the-post system. The race remains fluid with several months until voting day.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย