The Parti Québécois holds a consistent lead in recent polling aggregates ahead of the October 5 election, driven by strong francophone support and a fragmented federalist vote split between the CAQ and PLQ. The CAQ has narrowed the gap in late August surveys through gains among older voters and suburban ridings following leadership changes, though it trails in overall projections. Trade tensions with the United States and immigration policy have emerged as early campaign themes, with the PQ emphasizing reductions in temporary and permanent inflows. Seat models from aggregators such as 338Canada currently assign the PQ the highest probability of securing the most seats in the National Assembly, consistent with trader pricing that places smaller parties like the PLQ, PCQ, QS, and PVQ well behind due to regional concentration and limited path-to-victory scenarios.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วผู้ชนะการเลือกตั้งทั่วไปในควิเบก
ผู้ชนะการเลือกตั้งทั่วไปในควิเบก
PQ 66%
พรรคก้าวหน้าควิเบก (CAQ) 27%
PLQ 6%
พรรคอนุรักษนิยมควิเบก <1%
$870,413 ปริมาณ
$870,413 ปริมาณ
Oct 4, 2026
PQ
66%
พรรคก้าวหน้าควิเบก (CAQ)
27%
PLQ
6%
พรรคอนุรักษนิยมควิเบก
<1%
PVQ
<1%
ข้อซ
<1%
PQ 66%
พรรคก้าวหน้าควิเบก (CAQ) 27%
PLQ 6%
พรรคอนุรักษนิยมควิเบก <1%
$870,413 ปริมาณ
$870,413 ปริมาณ
Oct 4, 2026
PQ
$110,862 ปริมาณ
66%
พรรคก้าวหน้าควิเบก (CAQ)
$135,836 ปริมาณ
27%
PLQ
$121,417 ปริมาณ
6%
พรรคอนุรักษนิยมควิเบก
$240,279 ปริมาณ
<1%
PVQ
$157,522 ปริมาณ
<1%
ข้อซ
$104,523 ปริมาณ
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).The Parti Québécois holds a consistent lead in recent polling aggregates ahead of the October 5 election, driven by strong francophone support and a fragmented federalist vote split between the CAQ and PLQ. The CAQ has narrowed the gap in late August surveys through gains among older voters and suburban ridings following leadership changes, though it trails in overall projections. Trade tensions with the United States and immigration policy have emerged as early campaign themes, with the PQ emphasizing reductions in temporary and permanent inflows. Seat models from aggregators such as 338Canada currently assign the PQ the highest probability of securing the most seats in the National Assembly, consistent with trader pricing that places smaller parties like the PLQ, PCQ, QS, and PVQ well behind due to regional concentration and limited path-to-victory scenarios.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$870,413วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).The Parti Québécois holds a consistent lead in recent polling aggregates ahead of the October 5 election, driven by strong francophone support and a fragmented federalist vote split between the CAQ and PLQ. The CAQ has narrowed the gap in late August surveys through gains among older voters and suburban ridings following leadership changes, though it trails in overall projections. Trade tensions with the United States and immigration policy have emerged as early campaign themes, with the PQ emphasizing reductions in temporary and permanent inflows. Seat models from aggregators such as 338Canada currently assign the PQ the highest probability of securing the most seats in the National Assembly, consistent with trader pricing that places smaller parties like the PLQ, PCQ, QS, and PVQ well behind due to regional concentration and limited path-to-victory scenarios.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$870,413วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...The Parti Québécois holds a consistent lead in recent polling aggregates ahead of the October 5 election, driven by strong francophone support and a fragmented federalist vote split between the CAQ and PLQ. The CAQ has narrowed the gap in late August surveys through gains among older voters and suburban ridings following leadership changes, though it trails in overall projections. Trade tensions with the United States and immigration policy have emerged as early campaign themes, with the PQ emphasizing reductions in temporary and permanent inflows. Seat models from aggregators such as 338Canada currently assign the PQ the highest probability of securing the most seats in the National Assembly, consistent with trader pricing that places smaller parties like the PLQ, PCQ, QS, and PVQ well behind due to regional concentration and limited path-to-victory scenarios.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย