The Quebec general election on October 5 features a fragmented vote under first-past-the-post rules that favor the Parti Québécois due to its concentrated support among francophone voters outside Montreal. Recent polling averages place the PQ near 29 percent, ahead of or tied with the CAQ at 24-27 percent after the latter gained ground in late August amid U.S. trade tensions and leadership changes under Christine Fréchette. The PLQ has slipped to around 21-22 percent, while smaller parties including the PCQ and QS trail further behind. Seat projections from models such as 338Canada assign the PQ roughly 80 percent odds of winning the most seats, reflecting regional dynamics and the challenges facing federalist parties in consolidating support. Trader consensus aligns with these structural advantages for the PQ while leaving room for late-campaign shifts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วผู้ชนะการเลือกตั้งทั่วไปในควิเบก
ผู้ชนะการเลือกตั้งทั่วไปในควิเบก
PQ 66%
พรรคก้าวหน้าควิเบก (CAQ) 31%
PLQ 6%
พรรคอนุรักษนิยมควิเบก <1%
$869,545 ปริมาณ
$869,545 ปริมาณ
Oct 4, 2026
PQ
66%
พรรคก้าวหน้าควิเบก (CAQ)
31%
PLQ
6%
พรรคอนุรักษนิยมควิเบก
<1%
PVQ
<1%
ข้อซ
<1%
PQ 66%
พรรคก้าวหน้าควิเบก (CAQ) 31%
PLQ 6%
พรรคอนุรักษนิยมควิเบก <1%
$869,545 ปริมาณ
$869,545 ปริมาณ
Oct 4, 2026
PQ
$110,836 ปริมาณ
66%
พรรคก้าวหน้าควิเบก (CAQ)
$134,994 ปริมาณ
31%
PLQ
$121,391 ปริมาณ
6%
พรรคอนุรักษนิยมควิเบก
$240,279 ปริมาณ
<1%
PVQ
$157,522 ปริมาณ
<1%
ข้อซ
$104,523 ปริมาณ
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).The Quebec general election on October 5 features a fragmented vote under first-past-the-post rules that favor the Parti Québécois due to its concentrated support among francophone voters outside Montreal. Recent polling averages place the PQ near 29 percent, ahead of or tied with the CAQ at 24-27 percent after the latter gained ground in late August amid U.S. trade tensions and leadership changes under Christine Fréchette. The PLQ has slipped to around 21-22 percent, while smaller parties including the PCQ and QS trail further behind. Seat projections from models such as 338Canada assign the PQ roughly 80 percent odds of winning the most seats, reflecting regional dynamics and the challenges facing federalist parties in consolidating support. Trader consensus aligns with these structural advantages for the PQ while leaving room for late-campaign shifts.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$869,545วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).The Quebec general election on October 5 features a fragmented vote under first-past-the-post rules that favor the Parti Québécois due to its concentrated support among francophone voters outside Montreal. Recent polling averages place the PQ near 29 percent, ahead of or tied with the CAQ at 24-27 percent after the latter gained ground in late August amid U.S. trade tensions and leadership changes under Christine Fréchette. The PLQ has slipped to around 21-22 percent, while smaller parties including the PCQ and QS trail further behind. Seat projections from models such as 338Canada assign the PQ roughly 80 percent odds of winning the most seats, reflecting regional dynamics and the challenges facing federalist parties in consolidating support. Trader consensus aligns with these structural advantages for the PQ while leaving room for late-campaign shifts.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$869,545วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...The Quebec general election on October 5 features a fragmented vote under first-past-the-post rules that favor the Parti Québécois due to its concentrated support among francophone voters outside Montreal. Recent polling averages place the PQ near 29 percent, ahead of or tied with the CAQ at 24-27 percent after the latter gained ground in late August amid U.S. trade tensions and leadership changes under Christine Fréchette. The PLQ has slipped to around 21-22 percent, while smaller parties including the PCQ and QS trail further behind. Seat projections from models such as 338Canada assign the PQ roughly 80 percent odds of winning the most seats, reflecting regional dynamics and the challenges facing federalist parties in consolidating support. Trader consensus aligns with these structural advantages for the PQ while leaving room for late-campaign shifts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย