Mark Sutcliffe holds an 82.5% implied probability in the Ottawa mayoral race due to his incumbency, extensive endorsements from former mayors and provincial figures, and early campaign momentum ahead of the October 26 vote. As the sitting mayor seeking a second term, he has rolled out concrete pledges including a 2.5% property tax ceiling for the first two years, additional city savings, and steps on housing and homelessness. Leading challengers Jeff Leiper, Alex Lawson, and Neil Saravanamuttoo remain in single digits after splitting opposition support, with their tax and infrastructure proposals drawing attention in recent debates but limited polling traction. A minor candidate's unrelated legal charges have not shifted the main field. Traders appear to view Sutcliffe's structural advantages and organized fundraising as decisive barriers for the field.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMark Sutcliffe 83%
Jeff Leiper 12%
Alex Lawson 5.9%
Neil Saravanamuttoo 2.6%
$83,530 ปริมาณ
$83,530 ปริมาณ
Mark Sutcliffe
83%
Jeff Leiper
12%
Alex Lawson
6%
Neil Saravanamuttoo
3%
Catherine McKenney
1%
Mark Sutcliffe 83%
Jeff Leiper 12%
Alex Lawson 5.9%
Neil Saravanamuttoo 2.6%
$83,530 ปริมาณ
$83,530 ปริมาณ
Mark Sutcliffe
83%
Jeff Leiper
12%
Alex Lawson
6%
Neil Saravanamuttoo
3%
Catherine McKenney
1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Ottawa as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Ottawa.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 2, 2026, 4:39 PM ET
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Ottawa as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Ottawa.
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Mark Sutcliffe holds an 82.5% implied probability in the Ottawa mayoral race due to his incumbency, extensive endorsements from former mayors and provincial figures, and early campaign momentum ahead of the October 26 vote. As the sitting mayor seeking a second term, he has rolled out concrete pledges including a 2.5% property tax ceiling for the first two years, additional city savings, and steps on housing and homelessness. Leading challengers Jeff Leiper, Alex Lawson, and Neil Saravanamuttoo remain in single digits after splitting opposition support, with their tax and infrastructure proposals drawing attention in recent debates but limited polling traction. A minor candidate's unrelated legal charges have not shifted the main field. Traders appear to view Sutcliffe's structural advantages and organized fundraising as decisive barriers for the field.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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