Incumbent Ken Sim of ABC Vancouver holds the trader consensus lead in the October 17, 2026, mayoral race, supported by recent Research Co. and Pallas polls placing him at 22-30% among decided voters. A fragmented field featuring Green Party councillor Pete Fry and Vancouver Liberals candidate Kareem Allam, plus several other contenders polling in single digits, keeps the contest tight through vote splitting. Over a quarter of likely voters remain undecided, while Sim's net favorability trails rivals amid ongoing debates over housing affordability and public safety. These dynamics sustain close implied probabilities, with shifts likely from candidate forums, final nomination deadlines in early September, or late consolidation among opposition slates.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วVancouver Mayoral Election Winner
Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner
Ken Sim 37%
Pete Fry 27.5%
Kareem Allam 14%
William Azaroff 5.3%
$176,606 ปริมาณ
$176,606 ปริมาณ
Ken Sim
37%
Pete Fry
28%
Kareem Allam
14%
William Azaroff
5%
Colleen Hardwick
3%
Sean Orr
2%
Kirk LaPointe
1%
John Coupar
1%
Amanda Burrows
1%
Rebecca Bligh
1%
Stephanie Allen
1%
Tim Louis
<1%
Fred Harding
<1%
Ken Sim 37%
Pete Fry 27.5%
Kareem Allam 14%
William Azaroff 5.3%
$176,606 ปริมาณ
$176,606 ปริมาณ
Ken Sim
37%
Pete Fry
28%
Kareem Allam
14%
William Azaroff
5%
Colleen Hardwick
3%
Sean Orr
2%
Kirk LaPointe
1%
John Coupar
1%
Amanda Burrows
1%
Rebecca Bligh
1%
Stephanie Allen
1%
Tim Louis
<1%
Fred Harding
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 2, 2026, 4:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Ken Sim of ABC Vancouver holds the trader consensus lead in the October 17, 2026, mayoral race, supported by recent Research Co. and Pallas polls placing him at 22-30% among decided voters. A fragmented field featuring Green Party councillor Pete Fry and Vancouver Liberals candidate Kareem Allam, plus several other contenders polling in single digits, keeps the contest tight through vote splitting. Over a quarter of likely voters remain undecided, while Sim's net favorability trails rivals amid ongoing debates over housing affordability and public safety. These dynamics sustain close implied probabilities, with shifts likely from candidate forums, final nomination deadlines in early September, or late consolidation among opposition slates.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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