Catalina Lauf leads trader consensus at 47% implied probability in the open FL-19 Republican primary to replace Byron Donalds, fueled by her dominant Q1 2026 fundraising of $541,000—topping $2 million total support—and a fresh $750,000 ad buy from Protect Freedom PAC, signaling strong grassroots and outside backing ahead of the August 18 contest. Madison Cawthorn holds 15% on name recognition from his prior House tenure despite carpetbagger critiques, bolstered by Johnny Fratto's late-February dropout and endorsement. Local businessman Jim Schwartzel's 13% reflects his $1.28 million war chest entering 2026, while Jim Oberweis lingers at 10% amid a fragmented field of 10+ candidates emphasizing America First credentials, with no recent polls to shift dynamics.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วCatalina Lauf 47%
Madison Cawthorn 14.9%
Jim Schwartzel 13.1%
Jim Oberweis 10.0%
$21,088 ปริมาณ
$21,088 ปริมาณ
Catalina Lauf
47%
Madison Cawthorn
15%
Jim Schwartzel
13%
Jim Oberweis
10%
Spencer Roach
2%
Bob Rommel
2%
Catalina Lauf 47%
Madison Cawthorn 14.9%
Jim Schwartzel 13.1%
Jim Oberweis 10.0%
$21,088 ปริมาณ
$21,088 ปริมาณ
Catalina Lauf
47%
Madison Cawthorn
15%
Jim Schwartzel
13%
Jim Oberweis
10%
Spencer Roach
2%
Bob Rommel
2%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Nov 25, 2025, 6:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Catalina Lauf leads trader consensus at 47% implied probability in the open FL-19 Republican primary to replace Byron Donalds, fueled by her dominant Q1 2026 fundraising of $541,000—topping $2 million total support—and a fresh $750,000 ad buy from Protect Freedom PAC, signaling strong grassroots and outside backing ahead of the August 18 contest. Madison Cawthorn holds 15% on name recognition from his prior House tenure despite carpetbagger critiques, bolstered by Johnny Fratto's late-February dropout and endorsement. Local businessman Jim Schwartzel's 13% reflects his $1.28 million war chest entering 2026, while Jim Oberweis lingers at 10% amid a fragmented field of 10+ candidates emphasizing America First credentials, with no recent polls to shift dynamics.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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