United Russia maintains a commanding lead in the September 2026 State Duma election, with partial official results showing roughly 57% of the party-list vote and strong performance in single-mandate districts, positioning it for another supermajority. This outcome reflects the party's entrenched advantages in a tightly managed system, including extensive state media access, regional organizational strength, and alignment with President Putin amid the ongoing conflict with Ukraine. Most registered opposition parties either support core government positions or were excluded from the ballot, limiting any meaningful challenge. Traders assign near-certainty to United Russia as the winner because historical patterns, pre-election polling from state sources, and current vote tallies align on its dominance. Scenarios that could still shift the result remain narrow and would require major reversals such as widespread documented irregularities overturning counts or unprecedented institutional intervention before final certification.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วผู้ชนะการเลือกตั้งสมาชิกรัฐสภารัสเซีย
ผู้ชนะการเลือกตั้งสมาชิกรัฐสภารัสเซีย
พรรครัสเซียรวมชาติ (ER) 99.8%
พรรคคอมมิวนิสต์แห่งสหพันธรัฐรัสเซีย (KPRF) <1%
พรรครัสเซียยุติธรรม – เพื่อความจริง (SRZP) <1%
พรรคเสรีประชาธิปไตยรัสเซีย (LDPR) <1%
$4,897,642 ปริมาณ
$4,897,642 ปริมาณ
Sep 29, 2026
พรรครัสเซียรวมชาติ (ER)
100%
พรรคคอมมิวนิสต์แห่งสหพันธรัฐรัสเซีย (KPRF)
<1%
พรรครัสเซียยุติธรรม – เพื่อความจริง (SRZP)
<1%
พรรคเสรีประชาธิปไตยรัสเซีย (LDPR)
<1%
พรรคคนใหม่ (NL)
<1%
Rodina
<1%
พรรคเวทีพลเมือง (GP)
<1%
Yabloko
<1%
พรรครัสเซียรวมชาติ (ER) 99.8%
พรรคคอมมิวนิสต์แห่งสหพันธรัฐรัสเซีย (KPRF) <1%
พรรครัสเซียยุติธรรม – เพื่อความจริง (SRZP) <1%
พรรคเสรีประชาธิปไตยรัสเซีย (LDPR) <1%
$4,897,642 ปริมาณ
$4,897,642 ปริมาณ
Sep 29, 2026
พรรครัสเซียรวมชาติ (ER)
$2,141,797 ปริมาณ
100%
พรรคคอมมิวนิสต์แห่งสหพันธรัฐรัสเซีย (KPRF)
$294,019 ปริมาณ
<1%
พรรครัสเซียยุติธรรม – เพื่อความจริง (SRZP)
$748,262 ปริมาณ
<1%
พรรคเสรีประชาธิปไตยรัสเซีย (LDPR)
$264,215 ปริมาณ
<1%
พรรคคนใหม่ (NL)
$267,803 ปริมาณ
<1%
Rodina
$505,710 ปริมาณ
<1%
พรรคเวทีพลเมือง (GP)
$604,433 ปริมาณ
<1%
Yabloko
$71,405 ปริมาณ
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.United Russia maintains a commanding lead in the September 2026 State Duma election, with partial official results showing roughly 57% of the party-list vote and strong performance in single-mandate districts, positioning it for another supermajority. This outcome reflects the party's entrenched advantages in a tightly managed system, including extensive state media access, regional organizational strength, and alignment with President Putin amid the ongoing conflict with Ukraine. Most registered opposition parties either support core government positions or were excluded from the ballot, limiting any meaningful challenge. Traders assign near-certainty to United Russia as the winner because historical patterns, pre-election polling from state sources, and current vote tallies align on its dominance. Scenarios that could still shift the result remain narrow and would require major reversals such as widespread documented irregularities overturning counts or unprecedented institutional intervention before final certification.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,897,642วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.United Russia maintains a commanding lead in the September 2026 State Duma election, with partial official results showing roughly 57% of the party-list vote and strong performance in single-mandate districts, positioning it for another supermajority. This outcome reflects the party's entrenched advantages in a tightly managed system, including extensive state media access, regional organizational strength, and alignment with President Putin amid the ongoing conflict with Ukraine. Most registered opposition parties either support core government positions or were excluded from the ballot, limiting any meaningful challenge. Traders assign near-certainty to United Russia as the winner because historical patterns, pre-election polling from state sources, and current vote tallies align on its dominance. Scenarios that could still shift the result remain narrow and would require major reversals such as widespread documented irregularities overturning counts or unprecedented institutional intervention before final certification.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,897,642วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia maintains a commanding lead in the September 2026 State Duma election, with partial official results showing roughly 57% of the party-list vote and strong performance in single-mandate districts, positioning it for another supermajority. This outcome reflects the party's entrenched advantages in a tightly managed system, including extensive state media access, regional organizational strength, and alignment with President Putin amid the ongoing conflict with Ukraine. Most registered opposition parties either support core government positions or were excluded from the ballot, limiting any meaningful challenge. Traders assign near-certainty to United Russia as the winner because historical patterns, pre-election polling from state sources, and current vote tallies align on its dominance. Scenarios that could still shift the result remain narrow and would require major reversals such as widespread documented irregularities overturning counts or unprecedented institutional intervention before final certification.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วที่เกี่ยวข้อง
Will New People (NL) win the fourth-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
78%
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
89%
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
98%
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย