Official Russian election authorities reported turnout of approximately 59.3% for the September 18–20, 2026 State Duma vote, the highest since 2011 and squarely within the leading 59-62% bracket. This outcome stemmed from sustained administrative mobilization of state-sector employees, expanded remote electronic voting across dozens of regions, and multi-day balloting that enabled higher reported participation rates than the 51.7% recorded in 2021. Kremlin-linked regional targets near or above 50% reinforced these mechanics. Trader consensus on the frontrunner reflects the confirmed Central Election Commission figures that resolve the market. Independent statistical analyses have questioned the scale of actual participation and suggested possible inflation, yet any shift would require an official revision or reinterpretation of the resolution criteria.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วRussia Parliamentary Election: Turnout
Russia Parliamentary Election: Turnout
59-62% 98.4%
56-59% <1%
62%+ <1%
47-50% <1%
$1,276,915 ปริมาณ
$1,276,915 ปริมาณ
47-50%
<1%
50-53%
<1%
53-56%
<1%
56-59%
<1%
59-62%
98%
62%+
<1%
59-62% 98.4%
56-59% <1%
62%+ <1%
47-50% <1%
$1,276,915 ปริมาณ
$1,276,915 ปริมาณ
47-50%
<1%
50-53%
<1%
53-56%
<1%
56-59%
<1%
59-62%
98%
62%+
<1%
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 21, 2026, 3:46 PM ET
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47de9d...This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47de9d...Official Russian election authorities reported turnout of approximately 59.3% for the September 18–20, 2026 State Duma vote, the highest since 2011 and squarely within the leading 59-62% bracket. This outcome stemmed from sustained administrative mobilization of state-sector employees, expanded remote electronic voting across dozens of regions, and multi-day balloting that enabled higher reported participation rates than the 51.7% recorded in 2021. Kremlin-linked regional targets near or above 50% reinforced these mechanics. Trader consensus on the frontrunner reflects the confirmed Central Election Commission figures that resolve the market. Independent statistical analyses have questioned the scale of actual participation and suggested possible inflation, yet any shift would require an official revision or reinterpretation of the resolution criteria.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วที่เกี่ยวข้อง
Will United Russia (ER) win 55-60% of the party-list vote in the 2026 Russian State Duma election?
Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
Will the Russian Party of Pensioners for Social Justice win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย