Regional officials have received instructions to target around 50% turnout for the September 18–20 State Duma elections, aligning with Kremlin priorities for demonstrating legitimacy amid fluctuating approval ratings and an economic slowdown. Administrative tools including remote electronic voting expansion in dozens of regions, workplace mobilization of public-sector employees, and party primaries are expected to support this level, while independent polls show declared voting intent near 66% yet widespread lack of awareness about the date. These competing dynamics—coordinated efforts to meet the benchmark versus underlying voter disengagement—keep the distribution tightly clustered between the 50–53% and 53–56% brackets. Late-campaign developments in mobilization intensity, electronic voting uptake, or regional compliance could shift outcomes toward the lower or higher ranges.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วRussia Parliamentary Election: Turnout
Russia Parliamentary Election: Turnout
50-53% 31%
53-56% 28.9%
62%+ 12.3%
59-62% 9.3%
$35,239 ปริมาณ
$35,239 ปริมาณ
Sep 20, 2026
<47%
9%
47-50%
7%
50-53%
31%
53-56%
29%
56-59%
9%
59-62%
9%
62%+
12%
50-53% 31%
53-56% 28.9%
62%+ 12.3%
59-62% 9.3%
$35,239 ปริมาณ
$35,239 ปริมาณ
Sep 20, 2026
<47%
$1,576 ปริมาณ
9%
47-50%
$4,940 ปริมาณ
7%
50-53%
$3,589 ปริมาณ
31%
53-56%
$2,405 ปริมาณ
29%
56-59%
$4,452 ปริมาณ
9%
59-62%
$3,911 ปริมาณ
9%
62%+
$14,366 ปริมาณ
12%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.Regional officials have received instructions to target around 50% turnout for the September 18–20 State Duma elections, aligning with Kremlin priorities for demonstrating legitimacy amid fluctuating approval ratings and an economic slowdown. Administrative tools including remote electronic voting expansion in dozens of regions, workplace mobilization of public-sector employees, and party primaries are expected to support this level, while independent polls show declared voting intent near 66% yet widespread lack of awareness about the date. These competing dynamics—coordinated efforts to meet the benchmark versus underlying voter disengagement—keep the distribution tightly clustered between the 50–53% and 53–56% brackets. Late-campaign developments in mobilization intensity, electronic voting uptake, or regional compliance could shift outcomes toward the lower or higher ranges.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 21, 2026, 3:46 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$35,239วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 21, 2026, 3:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.Regional officials have received instructions to target around 50% turnout for the September 18–20 State Duma elections, aligning with Kremlin priorities for demonstrating legitimacy amid fluctuating approval ratings and an economic slowdown. Administrative tools including remote electronic voting expansion in dozens of regions, workplace mobilization of public-sector employees, and party primaries are expected to support this level, while independent polls show declared voting intent near 66% yet widespread lack of awareness about the date. These competing dynamics—coordinated efforts to meet the benchmark versus underlying voter disengagement—keep the distribution tightly clustered between the 50–53% and 53–56% brackets. Late-campaign developments in mobilization intensity, electronic voting uptake, or regional compliance could shift outcomes toward the lower or higher ranges.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$35,239วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 21, 2026, 3:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Regional officials have received instructions to target around 50% turnout for the September 18–20 State Duma elections, aligning with Kremlin priorities for demonstrating legitimacy amid fluctuating approval ratings and an economic slowdown. Administrative tools including remote electronic voting expansion in dozens of regions, workplace mobilization of public-sector employees, and party primaries are expected to support this level, while independent polls show declared voting intent near 66% yet widespread lack of awareness about the date. These competing dynamics—coordinated efforts to meet the benchmark versus underlying voter disengagement—keep the distribution tightly clustered between the 50–53% and 53–56% brackets. Late-campaign developments in mobilization intensity, electronic voting uptake, or regional compliance could shift outcomes toward the lower or higher ranges.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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